for what period of time will be enough american aid for ukraine, what problems will ukraine be able to solve with the help of american weapons, hold on and not fall or drive russian troops beyond ukrainian borders, when will american aid arrive and in what volumes are we looking for answers to these questions today , my name is vlasta lazur, this is svoboda life. let's start with the timing of the arrival of american aid. they are currently unclear, according to the washington post, citing unnamed officials, after if the bill passes the senate and is signed by president joe biden, it will take less than a week for some of the weapons to be on the battlefield. this, of course, depends on where else the weapon is stored. the new york times notes that

some of the weapons, such as artillery shells, could start arriving relatively quickly, but ukrainian command and military analysts warn that it could be weeks before us aid begins to have a direct impact on the course of hostilities. us democratic senator mark warner said on cbs that the new package of us military aid, including atakamse missiles, and the presenter specifically asked about atakamse separately. well, volner said that... that the aid package could be sent to ukraine as early as next week. i expect that when this legislation goes to the president, on tuesday or wednesday, that these shipments of weapons will be shipped along with the longer-range atacamas missiles. i hope that the president will sign the law and these shipments will be on the way by the end of the week. as for the atakams, i think the administration has been preparing for the last couple of months prepare or commit to attacks. this is written into the law. and in the meantime, the american institute of studies. in its current report

predicts that russian forces are likely to intensify offensive operations in the coming weeks, even before the arrival of american aid, just as ukrainian forces are poorly equipped. well, as bloomberg notes, the aid to ukraine voted for by congress on april 20 is unlikely to turn the tide of the war. yes, it will give the ukrainian military a break, help slow down the advance and reduce losses, but in order to move forward to... more help is needed. what do ukrainian servicemen think about the approved aid package? journalists asked artillerymen serving in the kharkiv region? listen well, i wouldn't say that i'm beaming with joy and so on, but it's good, my opinion. it is good that

the aid package was signed, that we will have something to shoot at, it is very good, then i think that the shells will quickly reach the front, literally on the same day as they arrive in ukraine, they will be unloaded and immediately sent by brigades, to be work to shoot, or so that it would be possible to repulse an attack and counterattack and so on, 446, well, this is good news, there will be weapons, there will be... we would have paid less for ours then, i would say, if we had decided earlier. then ours

would give up their positions a little less, then they would even take some on the contrary, if we try to take their equipment even in such a small amount, they drop it when they leave, someone brings us their shells, then we send them back, but in a different form , and if it was still approved then, it would be drastic changed, of course, it would be better for them to attack, and we would simply defend, and when the package is already approved for us, there will be shells, drones, that's when we will turn around, pull up some forces, we have reserves, then we can go on the offensive, plus aviation and... not only artillery needs ammunition, we all need ammunition that will be used against the opponent, the amount of fire damage affects the hit of the war, will we work once a day? or 40

twice, that's the difference, we have the difference, fire damage. well, we will continue to talk about when to expect american aid, and actually whether it will be enough for the coming year 2024, but first we will remind you what and how much aid for ukraine is provided for by the draft law that was passed by congress on april 20. let's listen. in the draft law on aid to ukraine and 60.7 billion us dollars, 23.2 billion dollars goes to the replenishment. us military stockpiles, which have already been provided to ukraine, $13.8 billion for the pentagon's purchase of the latest weapons systems for the ukrainian army, directly from the american defense enterprises. $11.3 billion goes to the costs of current us military operations in the region.

$7.85 billion is economic aid to ukraine in the form of a loan, and $26 million is continued oversight and accountability. with the help and equipment provided by ukraine. and how are american weapons used at the front? for example, our colleagues, the military correspondents of radio liberty, visited the gunners of the 148th separate artillery brigade, who, among other types of weapons, actively use the m-777 gun provided by the united states. and actually, on the front line claim that if they had more such guns and ammunition, the war on their particular front would have ended a long time ago. what is the effectiveness of such weapons and how it all works, see.

i am an assistant of a narodnik, i am the one who directly fires a shot in the direction of the enemy, the gun, well, the same one for sure, well , i don’t, i don’t have any comparison with other guns, i studied on this gun, i work on this gun, well, how about me , then it is the best gun, because... it is the most accurate, it is the best, it has shells after all, that now it is certain, what is more important, well , in general, it is usually infantry, that is, we practice in general, well, we understand what we are working on, what projectile, what kind

of charge, in what direction, well, there are usually assaults, so this infantry, here we are practicing, in general, mainly in infantry. shoot , go, i agreed there, starlink, the general , now the gunners of the armed forces are firing at the russian troops. directly from the m777 barker, it is a fighter jet provided by the united states of america to the armed forces to counter of the russian army, well, in fact, the shells are also american, this is what helps the armed forces to restrain the russian army and what

currently helps in principle to hold the line of defense, in fact, without it, as they say, there would be a warehouse on the front line. this is our colleague maryan kushnir, who researched how american equipment works at the front, and just now yehor firso, a soldier of the 109th battalion of the armed forces, a sergeant of attack drones, joined our broadcast. egor, good evening. yes, i wish everyone good health. mutually, have the moods changed on at the front with you, with your fellow soldiers, after the congress approved american aid to ukraine. to say that the mood has changed is to say nothing, of course, they have changed very significantly, because guys, well, now we are going through difficult times on the eastern front, there are assaults everywhere, there are offensives, offensive actions everywhere, i understand that, for sure, that

and the enemy understands that while we are without proper western aid, we have the most, shall we say, smaller forces, so he is trying to... take something, fight back some positions, here, and the enemy is pressing, and of course, all the guys in the armed forces now, it is very difficult to restrain this offensive, well, here are the recent events, they gave us hope, and here, and, hope gave us energy to fight, and here we are very - we really expect that in the near future we will still see western weapons, but here we are like no one else, if there in kyiv somewhere at all the residents of ukraine there see it with some numbers, news and everything else, we just see it firsthand , we can do it...

budanova, the head of intelligence, claims that in in the middle of may, in the beginning of june, there will be a rather difficult situation, he says that it will not be catastrophic, but it will be difficult. in addition, it should be added here that, for example, the american institute for the study of war reported in its current report that until american aid has yet arrived at the front, russia will actively press and intensify its offensive operations, or do you expect, i will say so, aggravation of the situation, although it is there... it is always quite acute at the front, but literally in the coming days, weeks, this a period of time until help arrived, and

you know, probably this aggravation has already begun, this is the first, second point, i also had the opportunity to communicate with the head of the institute of war, kimkogan, and i communicated including on this matter, of course the enemy clearly analyzes and probably even, i don't know, knows better than us the delivery calendar and... how long it will take for the american aid to arrive to us, and 100% they will want to use it, we see, well, let's say, the strengthening of their, their personnel, it is constantly replenished, we see and know that more planes have started to fly, so of course everyone understands that in the coming weeks, maybe months, it will be very, very difficult until it comes... this help, the enemy will use it, in principle, we we can even see this, that is, for understanding, there are still

positions that have not changed since the 14th year, since the 14th year, that is, they did not move anywhere, and the enemy almost never conducted active hostilities there, well, now even there , the enemy is conducting active hostilities, that is, if we take a map of the donetsk region and look out of sight there. relatively speaking, to lehman there is fire everywhere, offensive actions everywhere, and there is nothing like it was before, that somewhere, well, relatively speaking, more adequate warm conditions, and somewhere less, the enemy is trying to break through the defenses everywhere. yegor, i have one last question, do you agree with these theses and opinions that yes, the aid package is quite large, but in any case, more is needed for the offensive, and... and what ukraine will receive, well, this will be enough only for defense? oh, i'll tell you frankly, yes i do

well, i have similar thoughts, that is, we are talking about the fact that this aid package will allow us to hold on for a while, what time to hold on, whether it is six months, or a year and a half, well, it is unclear to me, because, frankly, we, let's put it this way, we know only general information, yes, we know there about... caliber and some other positions, yes, but not more deeply, and therefore, of course, this is in order for us to hold the defense firmly, and i will definitely say that it is possible , there for offensive successes, for offensive successes, maybe this aid will not be enough, and the second point, very, very important, very important, yesterday's or when there is the aid from yesterday, they... do not solve the issue, the issue related to people, with people, deficit, people, those who are

now is fighting, they are tired, they are already fighting for the third year, the replenishment is minimal, a lot of guys with contusions, with injuries, continue to hold on, but as we can see, the mobilization is not very active, if, well, not as we would like, so here it is... the final decision, it's basically up to us, it's homemade task, it no longer lies in washington somewhere or in london, we need people, but equipment is good, shells are good, but well... after all, equipment does not go without a person and even a drone does not fly without a person, therefore, we are waiting for a significant reinforcement of ukrainians, ukrainians, well, we are waiting for people for new additions, that's what i can say. yehor, thank you very much for finding the opportunity to join us on the air, yehor firso, a soldier of the 109th battalion of the armed forces, a sergeant of anti-aircraft drones from

donetsk region, was on radio liberty. thank you very much. one of the innovations proposed by the bill on american aid to kyiv provides that within 45 days , the us congress must receive from the administration of president biden a strategy for supporting ukraine, which must be multi-year and contain a list of specific goals that the administration seeks to achieve. the lack of a strategy for ukraine is what political opponents have most often accused the biden administration of. they said the white house is asking for billions of dollars, but a clear plan for ukraine. not at the same time provides, the same house speaker mike johnson complained late last year. american billionaire elon musk spoke about the lack of a strategy, after the house of representatives voted for aid, on the x network, where, by the way, he has more than 180 million readers. so musk said that he is worried that there is no exit strategy from the war. he

was answered here, however, by the adviser of the president's office mykhailo podolyak, who said that the strategy is obvious, russia should just leave the ukrainian one. but the question is whether it will be enough in ukraine's forces and means of assistance from partners, in the end, to force russia to leave ukrainian territories, and what exactly can the strategy from the white house, which biden has to present in 45 days, include? mykhailo samus, director of the network of new geopolitical studies, joins our broadcast. mykhailo, good evening. i congratulate you. and what do you expect from biden within the framework of the strategy that he has to present in ukraine in 45 days? strategy is actually ukraine's business, not biden's. biden's strategy, johnson's strategy, trump's strategy - that's it internal election processes that are going on in the united states, they concern the united states. the strategy of winning or the strategy of conducting this war is entirely a ukrainian affair, and here it is a question of trust or

distrust of ukraine, to provide us with such help, but now it is clear that... the united states has a consolidated trust in ukraine, because 61 billion dollars will be transferred to a country that , which you do not trust, is obviously a very dangerous and very risky business, because let me remind you, these 61 billion, they did not fall from the sky, but these are the taxes of the americans, these are taxpayers, now we they help, it’s not johnson who helps, it’s not biden, but it’s the americans, the americans, in fact, who paid taxes, they’re giving us 61 billion now, and we have to... be aware that this is really a very important matter, it’s not just help, these are the americans, the citizens of the united states are trying to help us with their money, and the strategy is, after all , a ukrainian affair, and it is very simple, it is the liberation of our territories, it is the liberation of our territories from the russian invaders, then it is more a matter

of the operational level and tactics like we this... this we will achieve the task and i, for example, by the way, do not support the thesis that was launched now that this aid will not be enough to carry out offensive operations, well, excuse me, well, just now, just now yehor firsov told us about it on the air, that is well, i'm sorry, but the atakamsa somehow do not attract defensive weapons for 300 km, well, if we already want to sit on the defensive for several years, then let's not hand over the atakamsa, but they will provide us with defense, weapons, artillery, ammunition, maximum and so on, in fact it is already with us these games were played, they didn't want to give us offensive weapons in the 22nd year, they actually didn't give us offensive weapons in the 23rd year, because they didn't give us atakams there, they gave us 20 pieces, sorry, that's just it, well no i know that it was, it is definitely not a strategy for victory and definitely not for

the offensive, but if now the aid law clearly states the obligation to transfer for... the president of the united states to transfer long-range atakams to ukraine, and it says atakams under increased range , that is, we are not talking about 160 km, but about 300 km, and i believe that this is evidence that the ukrainian command has its own strategy for conducting, including counteroffensive operations this year, i simply do not see the point now and then to talk about the fact that we will not conduct any ... offensive operations this year and allocate 61 billion to us. this is exactly what russia wanted to prove to the americans, that there is no need to help ukraine, what is the point if we sit on the defensive? let's sign then. capitulation and all, that's what the russians say, but allow them to attack, ibid., this law does not oblige the president to transfer them, the president has that option, but he may not transfer there,

given the needs or the national security interests of the united states, well , now we'll see how far biden, sullivan or anyone else will continue to draw red lines, that is, if we we're talking about what we're being handed over to the attacks with... i then conclude that we can conduct offensive operations, and if they don't hand over, if they don't hand over to the attacks, then really the biden administration has become indecisive again, let's say, and is stopping our ability to conducting offensive operations. and can i clarify about the strategy, because you said that it is important that there is a strategy in kyiv, not in washington, but it is important that the strategy that will be in washington corresponds to the strategy that is in... in kyiv, and the strategy in ukraine is victory, i don't know whether joe biden has the same strategy and whether he will have the same strategy, the victory of ukraine, or the defeat of russia? well, biden has a campaign

now, in fact, the strategy of ukraine, the strategy of the united states may not coincide, in each has its own national interests. slovakia has its own national interests , hungary has its own, france has its own, ukraine has its own, they do not always, but as a rule, do not coincide, we have them. to look for a common denominator, in principle, until now, a common denominator that would be suitable in ukraine is the destruction of the russian empire, that is, we have to prove it, we have to convey it, that any, any preservation of the russian empire in that the state in which it is now preserved will lead to the same thing that led to, let's say, softness western politicians in the year 91, well... in the year 21, it was possible to complete the destruction of the soviet empire, then the russian

empire, completely effectively, calmly and with relatively small resources, and at the moment, after 30 years, we would not have absolutely such problems in europe, it would be problems somewhere there, some conflicts on the territory of the former russian empire, the rsfsr and so on, now we can make the same mistake again, that is, we can de-occupy crimea, we can... de-occupy donbas, but keep russia, and then through for some time all this will return again, because revanchism, it will only increase. yes, we can break russia economically, in a military sense, but mentally we will not be able to break the russians, the imperialists, the revanchists, who sooner or later will come to power again, so this time our strategy, the common denominator, the strategies of the united states of europe and ukraine must coincide destruction of the russian empire, but you know that neither in the united states, nor in france, nor in other countries of the european union are they ready to talk about it yet, they things, for the past six months, when we didn't get

aid from the united states, i had a feeling, it's just a feeling that i 'm saying, that we were being tested again, and this test was very similar to how we were tested in february, in march, april of 22 , we were prophesied that ukraine would collapse in 3 days, so we need to move. continue to carry out some humanitarian actions and get used to the new reality, when russia controls ukraine, completely occupied it, but in reality it did not turn out that way, they started helping us. now again there was a check, if ukraine stops, will not fight, then in principle it is possible to move on to the next act of the marlizon ballet and allow russia to dictate the terms of ukraine's capitulation. it didn't work out again, the united states returned to

the ... on one part of the front , super-fortified fortifications, super-fortified defense lines, which are simply not, are now being built the russians will have a chance to pass, in other areas, and i think that general syrskyi, the commander-in-chief of the armed forces of ukraine, already has such plans, to plan in other areas. counteroffensive operations that will really, really surprise the russians, especially since again , another small aspect, the russians are already conducting very intense, powerful offensive operations in october and very exhausting, exhausting offensive operations, if they continue to advance now, they will sooner or later late exhaust and it will come about i would said in june, when we will have an optimum, not yet... a maximum, but an optimum of western aid and the united states and europe, and then in the second half of the summer we will already have opportunities for more, let's say,

variability in conducting ours. operations, but this is partly, what you said, it partly contradicts what kyrylo budanov, whom i already quoted today, said that from the middle of may to the beginning of june, a rather difficult situation awaits ukraine, as if it will not be a catastrophe , i do not know what he means disaster as a subword, but it will be difficult, the second half of the summer and june, the beginning of june are slightly different months, right, that is, look now, russia was counting on from october to... a certain period, a window of opportunity, when they can break through the front, this it was obvious, they knew that congress would block, that there might be no help at all, and in principle, this is a check for six months, in principle , our fate depended on trump's decision, because johnson began to work in a positive direction after the meeting with trump, obviously with trump's headquarters, and where the decision was made to lead the process of helping

ukraine. before that, the concept was to bring the second afghanistan to the situation and show what a weak leader biden is, now the concept has changed, and in principle the window of opportunity, i emphasize once again, the optimum of aid will be around june, but most likely the beginning of june, the middle of june, when and the czech initiative will begin to work with ammunition, european ammunition will begin to flow and american aid will begin to arrive. already on an industrial scale, but this one period, precisely may, the beginning of june, russia will really try to make the most of this period, for example, to take the time of iv, because it is really from a tactical point of view very important panim heights are there, i do not exclude that they can, for example, stop advancing in other directions, there are four or five directions, as they are now trying to advance in the donbass and in the zaporizhzhia region and concentrate on one or two

times of the ravine and also, for example, one more of the directions where they can focus their efforts, and during may try to break through the ukrainian defenses, because they understand, well, they are not idiots, that from about the end of june, july, august, september and october will be very difficult for the russians, because if they continue to advance even after the ukrainians have received quite enough ammunition, and takams, we will have f16 and all other capabilities, they are exposed to such a ... situation when suddenly they are flanked, or, moreover, not at the tactical level of the flank, at the operational level of the flank, an operation will be conducted, general syrsky is such able to conduct operations in this war, we already had such experiences, and then the russians will have a very difficult time in this situation, and this american aid, how long will it be possible to stretch it, do i understand correctly that it is until september, is it possible that it will still be enough,

why? well, because in september, the end of september, the beginning of october, the new financial year will begin, and we also need to hand over all the automatic weapons or use the rockets, write off everyone in the accounting department, well, as i understand it, then the next aid must be approved, isn’t it mandatory definitely, will they use this one dopo, the question of the americans, well, look, this is the question of the americans, we will not receive money, we will receive weapons, weapons do not need to be in the accounting department, that’s right, but they must be produced, look at us... weapons must be transferred to 61, well, no 61 billion, there are american packages, specifically for weapons, so look, we had this aid stretched over 12 months, now we have to use it in eight, and simple arithmetic shows that the concentration of weapons, the concentration of ammunition, the concentration of attacks should increase, if we count on each day of aid, that is, the ukrainian command

will actually be more. opportunities than planned, especially there will be more of these opportunities, because in october of last year europe was not yet ready to help us as it is now, europe had not yet handed over seven, for example, patriot complexes to us, there was no czech initiative then, and in in september , no one will take ammunition from us, that is , ammunition will be transferred to us within the framework of the financial resources that are currently allocated, and these ammunition will not disappear like cinderella 12 hours night or september 1, they will be transferred to us according to the paid plan that now the american government will pay private american companies that will produce glsdb, ammunition, atacams, pulled out of the arsenal, because they are no longer produced, they are old weapons in fact, or weapons to f16, so in fact ukrainians paid with their lives for the concentration from may to december of this

year... the weapons that are transferred to us have increased.