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tv   [untitled]    April 22, 2024 12:30pm-1:00pm EEST

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a lot of resources have been accumulated for the fight, the iranian regime is relatively stable, no matter how hard they try to shake it there, and there are also certain fears of an attack on american bases in arab countries, which, in particular, do not want this, and here the biden administration has to deal with these things take into account, including the left-wing community, since the left-wing community... which is currently running for elections in europe and in many places, or a conditionally liberal community, is critical of israel's actions, often accusing it of genocide, gas, and so on, so here americans must take this into account and somewhere try to follow such a middle path in order to support, but if they refrain from taking too active actions, it is the same as shrugging off any guilt. are there strikes on
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russian oil facilities that were discussed, that is, it is the same policy, you know, we are outside of this escalation, they clearly draw the lines that they are not ready for more, and israel's response was weaker than even iran's a blow to israel, although i will say it again, it is such that on the surface, in fact, israel is enough it hurts the iranians. proxy in syria, and now in iraq, and i think it will continue to do so in the future. and tell me, here is iran itself, it immediately announced that it will stop further actions against israel, now it is not reacting to the israeli attack either. to what extent is iran generally interested in the situation calming down? interested in a certain sense, but the fact is that the iranians have already achieved their goals. certain, they
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conducted such a piaraction inside their country, since there are stories about many ballistic missiles that reached the target, and if it is said that it is not, well, they say it is old weapons, weapons that we tried to write off anyway, well, somewhere for some reason they even copy russian propaganda, then, since israel's allies were involved, they show that, look, israel is weak, without the americans. dances and about some regimes, such as in jordan, israel itself says it can't do anything, that is, they have achieved a certain goal here. on the other hand, iran is also trying somewhere not to go beyond this balance of interests, just now the issue with iraq is going on, because if the americans leave iraq, and there will be a strengthening of the regime of bashar al-assad, then in essence the democratic kurdish forces, it is in the north of iraq significantly behind... because sooner or
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later the entire shiite axis will simply take them in a ring from syria to iran and will try to clean up these oil and gas-bearing regions, well and there is generally a question of how the situation in iraq will develop further, because after the overthrow of hussein in 2003, we see that iraq has undergone such an evolution, in fact, to the creation of such a fairly moderate, but pro-iranian. what, in fact, americans and israelis do not would like to admit, but what is happening now, that is why iran is putting pressure here through its proxies and as long as it has the resources, because even the sanctions regime that acts against iran is extremely limited, that is, no one wants to annoy iran so much, so and so the iranians themselves are now solving internal issues, there are disputes between the clerics and... skovs, there is
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a question of who will be next after ayatollah khamenei, who is already 85 years old, and it is possible that even these certain israeli strikes on the islamic revolution guards corps, strengthen this old clerical revolutionary guard, removing from power or even exterminating certain opponents of the military, this is a bit of a conspiratorial version, but it has its basis, therefore, in principle, the regime... is interested in having such old cadres there who still remember they are persecuting khomeini himself, and not some military personnel who would have shed blood on the borders of iran, but for this regime, but do not have such bonuses from him as raisi himself and others who gathered around him. and tell me, mr. mykhailo, here is the president now erdoğan will go to iraq for the first time in 12 years, is this a challenge to iran, or is it still turkish? and
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iran can cooperate on their interests in baghdad? well, apparently, turkey has assumed the function of a negotiator between iran and israel, and now... turkey is even trying to redeploy hamas to your territory, because doha, qatar, where the leadership of hamas is now located, is already asking questions about the fact that you'd better go yourself, because the americans and europeans are putting pressure on us. qatar also does not want only with hamas to associate, but the situation with iraq is really complicated. now, for example, erdogan has improved relations with egypt, with abdelfattah assisi. although sisi, in principle, remains the same pro-american politician, and somewhere with iraq, erdogan will not go beyond this american policy either, but here it is quite profitable for him to play on this
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front as well, to show that he is still worth something there, you know. it didn't work out, it's russia's leveling with ukraine, which he constantly talked about, putin. however, the visit has also been postponed, well, let's go to egypt, let's go to iraq now, let's not forget that verdogan's local elections did not go in his favor, accordingly, it is necessary to show what kind of politician he is in international terms, how he protects the interests of turkey, and this is powerful for him, and it is very important , because they have strong economic ties there, turkey actually receives oil from iraq , including... and this is a very important partner for it and the only one is again the question of the kurds, the question of the kurds and once again what i said, will this axis not close, and here to the forces that support the kurdish movements, including the european, american and israeli ones,
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it is necessary to carefully monitor this so as not to lose a region that is actually an ally for you and an ally for you by proxy, tell me, you must be watching the rhetoric now.. . states in relation to the people's republic of china, begins to strengthen every day. and now the secretary of state of the united states, anthony blinkin, who is to visit beijing in the next few days on april 24, it seems that this will happen, he is talking about punitive measures, even to china, if china will continue to cooperate with the military-industrial complex of the russian federation, how effective can such threats be? well, for now it remains at the level of conversations, but we know that some chinese banks are already trying somewhere, actually, to block certain payments from russia, and they do not want to become, you know, such a shadow zone, that is, china is not the dprk and not iran, he will work with russia, but not so much as
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to cross certain boundaries with the americans there, there is another interesting point, this is that the global market has grown, grown the number of... transactions in yuan, but the number of transactions in euros fell and again increased in dollars, that is, both the dollar and the yuan, well, the dollar, of course, to a greater extent, remains such a stable currency, that is , these are markets that have quite a good contact, and here the americans and the chinese have much more in common economically than politically, i think this is the argument... this is where the conversation will take place, and it is possible that there will be some such mini-trade wars , but to some significant military and political sanctions, it seems to me that it will not be possible this year, especially since china behaves quite cautiously, in some moments, well, again
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, they already have a lot of experience of such, you know, mutual controversy, which, again, economic issues are under... doubt does not ask, because china is needed by the united states, and the united states is needed by china, moreover, even in a dialogue it is necessary to say, well, something like that, why do you need russia, let’s be better with us, according to our rules, and you and us profitable, let's put pressure on putin, tim more so in the light of the fact that macron, he is going to macron's sidneypin, there should be a dialogue in europe, scholz has already gone there, accordingly, too. expressed certain hopes there after his visit, so here, well, the chinese are playing the long game again, they have nowhere to hurry, they can calmly continue in the same geopolitical regime until the american elections, but what will happen after that, this is already a question that many why depends on
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the united states itself. and it is not better for china to come to an agreement with the current administration now, if beijing is afraid of the victory of donald trump. we know that trump is biased towards china. much more hostile than biden, formally, but what he will be like realistically, that again, there can be a lot of questions about that, so trump in his election ... constantly called biden a chinese agent, and biden did a lot to to wash away from this, but in this case we recall the same rhetoric of trump in the fight against global terrorism, his actions there in relation to the entry of citizens of some countries into the united states, that is, his policy in relation to china may not be predictable, not exclusively, that there will be statements about some kind of dialogue, er... you have to look at how the circle of businessmen and those who finance
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trump himself, what trade and economic ties they have with china, they are there, and some of them are quite significant, so i don't think that trump, in the event of victory, will become so anti-thai, especially with his constant statements about some negotiations and peacemaking, well, you can expect anything and everything. .. once it is predicted, hardly anyone will take it. and you understand why, until things, yesterday, when the aid bills were voted on, well, we saw the distribution of forces in ukraine, it may have surprised some, well , it did not surprise many, but in the asia-pacific region in taiwan, there were already more democrats than republicans who were in favor this help, and i was confused to say the least. well, first of all, they obviously had some backroom arrangements. which preceded all this, although we even saw a vote for and against israel, since the democrats themselves were
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against taiwan, here the situation is that the united the states in this case, well , the biden administration, in particular, it is trying to put pressure somewhere, including in the light of the fact that xi jinping is now making his visit to the ocean regions, he went all the way to papua new guinea, and there... he is trying to do something like that , you know, the axis, which, by the way, will be interesting to recognize the palestinian state, because xi jinping said that it is necessary to make palestine a full member of the un, that is, these things actually intersect, because this is a means of trolling the united states, well, there it is setting up the economic cooperation, and in particular, it is trying to convince these countries to try to bypass cooperation with taiwan, that is, in essence. severed ties with what is called the republic of china, actually taiwan, and in light of that, well, in principle, there is
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an understanding that this poses certain threats to the cooperation of the americans and taiwan, and therefore the reaction is accordingly, but will it always be so, will there be any new impulses for change, well, here again next year and the american elections will show, thank you, thank you for these answers. mykhailo yakubovych, orientalist, candidate of historical sciences in our country was in touch. we're going to break for just a few minutes now, but please stay with us, friends. laughter, physical activity, sneezing. even during such a small load, urinary incontinence can make itself felt. feminost uro helped me. thanks to the natural ingredients , feminost uro helps restore control over urination. feminost-uro - graduation under control. turn on well, that's when everything is as you want. click and now you control the game. the bird and
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sponsor of the national team represents. united by football, stronger together! we continue the politclub program on the espresso tv channel, vitaly portnikov is with you, and we are now let's talk about ukrainian energy with oleksiy orzhel, head of the kyiv office of the energy community secretariat, minister of energy and environmental protection of ukraine in 2019-20. congratulations, mr. oleksia. good evening, well, let's try to see how the ukrainian energy industry looks after the latest russian attacks and what we should prepare for? well, let's assume that the russians carry out their terrorist attacks on civilian infrastructure, try to strike precisely at the objects of maneuverability,
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that is, these are coal-fired and hydroelectric generation facilities'. stations, and why are these objects needed in the system? these objects are connected to the generation of electrical energy, the moments of peak consumption, our peak consumption in the evening and in the morning, which means that just by knocking these objects out of the system, the raters are limiting our ability to balance the system, thereby actually creating conditions where we need to do the restrictions of our consumers, what else? it must be said that, after all, these objects that they are destroying today are objects that were built in soviet times, they are unique, the equipment they destroy is one-of-a-kind, in fact, in order to restore them, it requires quite serious time frames and logistical challenges, and here it is also necessary to understand that such
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equipment can be snatched by our turboatom, which is in kharkiv, is again under fire, other manufacturers, which, well, in principle, you still need to make very serious organizational efforts to produce all this, or look for such manufacturers as general electric or siems, but these are completely different time frames and completely different equipment, ago it's well because of usually a big challenge to restore it, so it will take time a. in addition , it should be added that it is not possible to simply restore these centralized objects, why, because it is clear that the rashists can hit them again, which means that we need to ensure the protection of these objects if we are going to restore them, or there is an alternative that is being considered today, which is to build a decentralized system, this is
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a system of small generation facilities that are simply unwise to destroy with missiles. because the rocket costs more than the generation facility, which is 1-2 mw there. in this aspect, this equipment is easier to find, it is easier to bring it, it is easier to install it, and the most important thing is that it takes less time, and we need very, very seriously now that resource, time in order to have time to install these new entities, and in particular in kharkiv, or potentially in kherson in order to... prepare for the disgraceful season, so here it is necessary to make principled decisions now, which way we go, whether we restore centralized systems and for and... obligations we must provide protection, or not after all, the decentralized system, which is more reliable, and on the other hand, our
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centralized system is not so adapted for them, and yet, can there be energy without shunting generation at all? maybe because of consumer restrictions at the moment of peak consumption? well, it's simple, very simple, simple answer: if... after all, all of us ukrainians can be responsible for our consumption precisely at peak hours, for example, at 8:9 o'clock in the evening, do not turn on the right car, boiler, turn it on at night, then so we can potentially pass without disconnection, but it is so absolutely true that what if there is no block of theses, in particular trypilska tes, which provided the load of kyiv, if it simply cannot... turn on, and just when everyone in kyiv came in the evening and turned on the kettles to to heat water, well, there will simply be limitations, this is an objective reality, and if we really want to have a constant supply of electricity,
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we just need to change our attitude to this issue a little and wait until the energy sector makes it impossible, they always do this in our ukrainian energy sector and yet will restore the energy system after the shelling. you know, mr. oleksiy, when i studied at the university back in the soviet era, my classes started at 11:45 a.m., because, as you know, the big enterprises of the dnipro began to work from early in the morning and tried to disperse workers and students to different transport hours, because they understood that the transport at that time could not cope with the possibility of transporting such a number of passengers. i always think, maybe we just need to somehow change the work of enterprises, shops, just to understand what you need to change it to this from the point of view of work
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, different shifts, and then there will be no peak load, because nobody will come home in the evening, in the evening people will work, some people will work and other people will come, and on the other hand that it will be the same during the day, those who will not work during the day will be able to turn on the right machine and boiler, well, if this is the situation, well, this is the right example that you give, and in fact, you can really just think about optimizing the consumption schedule, and it, for example, electric transport, which can be limited only by consumption, and potentially this, and this business will find this solution by itself, it will optimize if it is proven by the outage schedules, and it is already proven by the outage schedules that in the evening they can be limited, they will simply transfer changes, for example, at night time, so we have there... certain requirements in the labor code, but maybe now something can be changed so that these restrictions that people cannot work at night, i think that people themselves will be
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interested in not losing work because if a process needs work it just stops because of peak hour restrictions, i think everyone is interested both potential business owners and those who work to still work and let it will be... from one o'clock there to three o'clock in the morning, we have curfew restrictions, other restrictions, but i think it can all be solved, and the objective one is the demand of the time, and an example of how at one time a that soviet union nevertheless tried to optimize and transport, and electric energy, he proves that it is possible, so i really think that just today we are in the period of spring, spring load, it is... at least we have just left the ignition season, we are moving into the summer season, there where there are more air conditioners, well, it is still easier than the heating season,
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when there is a maximum load and when people really need electricity and heat supply, i think that this period will allow us to optimize as much as possible, come on let's remember that there were special regulations for businesses that if they want and are ready to pay more for the import of electricity, they , accordingly... were on certain lists and were not disconnected, this is also a decision, and what will happen to electricity prices in general and as a result with commodity prices, because we understand that everything will start to go up in price, and the price of electricity will start to rise, and people will have to pay for it, and if the business pays more for electricity, it will pass the price of products on shoulders of the same consumers who and so they will not have money, because they will pay much more, many times more, i think so for communal services already in a certain time. true, this will be reflected in the final prices, and in fact, if you look at the price for tomorrow, there is such a segment of the market, the market needs to be ahead, today it already
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showed that... these levels of the upper limit of uah 7,500 per megawatt, and you add that there as well as transportation and distribution, the price there is up to uah 10 per kilowatt, that is, if we compare it with household 2.63, and for business it is already more there 10 hryvnias per kilowatt, and this was shown by the market today, taking into account the deficit that we potentially have, so yes, on the example of the 22-23rd year of the period when we had... blackouts, restrictions and some enterprises were looking for the possibility of saving technological process, they took electricity from the importer and saw that imports were much more expensive, and they simply lost their competitive ability, and then it became a question of simply stopping the business, stopping production, so in this aspect, this will be reflected in the final prices , on it's a pity, well, let's look at the situation objectively, if there was an object that produced pe'.
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products, then this object was partially destroyed, and now it is necessary to invest money so that it simply starts to continue, to produce the same product, that is, there are appropriate costs to restore it and where these costs should be put, of course, in the cost of the final product, so we will be helped, we will be helped by donors, we will be helped by our friends, and for that we are very grateful to europe, the united states and... this help would be very difficult, because it is very fast, on the other hand, there are still huge costs that today the energy industry will bear in order to recover, they will, unfortunately, be included in the product that will be directly offered to the consumer, so again, very balanced decisions that have be adopted, moreover, it is possible that these decisions should be adopted as a corresponding
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plan, a schedule - an increase in tariffs, so that simply the household consumer can plan his own budget, that there, for example, from june 1, from july 1, from september 1 may be raised not so much and the tariff, then from january 1, because it is easier to perceive, but unfortunately, the situation is such that for sure such unpopular decisions will have to be made, and indeed it will be, and for business it will really be reflected in the final product. in everything we buy today in the store. thank you, mr. oleksiy. oleksiy orzhal, head of the kyiv energy community secretariat, with a story about how ukrainian energy will look in the coming months. we're going to break for a few minutes now, but please stay with us. tired of heavy and bulky saws. then strong saws from unpack tv are just
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