see the president on thursday. >> state of the union address live on thursday on c-span and c-span ouró and on c-span. org. >> watch c-span's live coverage of 15 states and american

samoa territory for their nominee and take your calls and social media with candidate speeches. watch at 8:00 p.m. eastern on the c-span network online at c-span. org/campaign2024. c-span. your unfiltered view of politics. nj kurk bado. it is super tuesday today. what is the matter? guest: what matters right now is on the question of if but rather than when. nikki haley after losing in her home state and in

michigan vowed to stay in the race until superis could be a la future campaign. all of the polling has trump leaning in the best case scenario is to pull off a few delegates, eight of the 15 the reward delegates at a level an's not favored in any statewide races. it's now a question of when does trump have that delicate threshold? after last night in north dakota , 273 delegates. the number i am washington nine is 1016. he will be on paceo map manically switch the

nomination in seven days. host: about one third of the delegates are awarded on super tuesday. minnesota has unbound delegates but for the most part, they will be bound to the results after today. is heavily favored in all of the statewide races but we will be watching that were consistently on the congressional level. what we are looking for our high educational level beats. about 26 congressional districts have an education level of a college

degree of about 40% and those of the areas where nikki haley has performed the best. if she gets in delegate it will be in those districts. host: she did when did d.c. primary. guest: it tells us more about d.c. republicans than it does nikki haley. it was conducted in a hotel there is that diploma divide, not trump's bread and butter. if you look at the other district, south carolina's first is very highly educated in the

one county in iowa was to the home of the university of iowa. virginia is phonghern virginia r nikki haley. host: any comments or questions for kurk bado you can do thaon the line five party for republicans (202) 748-8001, for democrats (202) 748-8000, for independents (202) 748-8002. can nikki haley stay in the race if she does not do it today? guest: she has been fundraising while in the past few weeks and she vowed to stay in the race until super tuesday but no promises aer that.

it would not be surprising when the dust settles tonight and if she does not do well in those in the next few days she could conclude her campaign. host: you mentioned congressional races song and ask you about california specifically. guest: california and new york are the front line for the bottle of the house. we will look at california's 27th where a moderate republican , he had a far right challenger

and among the democrats because california is an all party primary. they could divide the vote and you could have aublican and a challenger advance. democratgeneral election it wile races on the table. every race manners. we are really paying attention to the senate race there. adam schiff is the favorite and this is a race for second. katie porter is a well-funded representative with steve garvey .

he has not done a whole lot of campaigning but adam schiff who entered this season with 30 million has spent a lot of money boosting his republican opponent . this is the tried and true playbook to choose the turnout. host: there are some incumbents i could be on the chopping block . who are the people you're looking out for? there is tony gonzales and sheila jackson lee. guest: with those races it is two different sides of the divide. tony gonzales is a moderate

republican who represents the 23rd border. he's moderate on border policy, same-sex marriage for an independent committee to investigate january 6 and got in the ire of a lot of conservatives. he has challengers now. sheila jackson lee is an interesting case. one of her former staffers, she was going to run she ran for the mayor of houston. she losat on the saturday and all not monday she filed for reelection and it's

been a bitter race. of the two we mentioned, the most vulnerable incumbent. host: we will have the coverage of the results of super tuesday. the largest primary election da of the 2024 presidential election. 15 states in the u.s.erritory or voting today. that live coverage will include on the ground coverage that kick 8:00 p.m. eastern here on c-span. let's start with paul in new

york, and independent. caller: as the new motor i feel disenfranchised. i would like to be able to vote for nikki haley and feel it my vote matters. i would like to ask the guests opinion on why the primary elections are so fractured with different rules and etc.. just a few states get to decide who is a candidate. it seems like it is set up that way to benefit the party. what could be done to get the whole electorate involved or do we just want the status and with the states deciding? guest: that's one that democrats have been grappling with. after president biden won the

white house he rearranged the primary candidate to be more representative of the party as a whole. there are different ways that the party is trying to make it more representative. why different states haveization different rules about filing deadlines. there are certain rules, you have to be 35 years old to be president. but the states of more■ control over their system. in new jersey you have the county line that andy kim is railing against.

it's a complex system that's supposed to make it difficult for anyone person to control the entire thing. we have two pud running. all of these nominating contest on the republican side, very competitive because trump is already running like an incumbent president. host: we havte from david, has anyone estimated the number of democrats that voted for ry? guest: we have it run those numbers yet that's an interesting question but we have a reporter on that. host: bill in connecticut, and independent. this gentleman kees using the word highly educated

and i think that's the nomenclature. i think it should be highly indoctrinated. our public school system is left-wing propaganda. guest: i'm not sure thus the case here. host: we have a text saying that wisconsin, alabama and new york are three states redrawing their districts. guest: we covered a lot of the redistricting stuff. wisconsin is not going to change their congressional lines. alabama did, they have to make an district. the new york mines are going to

change but not in the aggressive way they tried. they shifted a few things around but the battlefield will remain the same. there are four members in districts that biden won. caller: i was interested in the idea between us being a democracy which is being touted by the democrats compared to republic and how that fits into our voting system. 50.1% would rule over everybody and that would not be very good.

illinois, new york and california running things. do we need to uer about how our election system evens that out? guest: the state of civic education is not the best. it would help tonderstand if these esoteric rules help but the sys prevent the tyranny of one small how mas haley need to open up the convention and challenge trout? ump.

guest: zach on our team did an analysis where he asked if it would be impossible for haley after today? she would end the night with 249 delegates. after march 15 when we get to the winner take all portion. it's not a question of if but when. i think haley needs to ask yourself if she has the resources to do that. the stomach for the■

convention. host: george is in missouri on the line for democrats. guest: if the republicans vote trump. we are looking at a dictatorship. that's all about to say. host:■l minnesota is the home state of dean phillips who is challenging president biden. what did we expect to see there? guest: not a whole lot. his performance in minnesota will make nikki haley's loss look like a big three.

i think he's going to really struggle. he finished third in the two person race. host: linda in texas wants to know, who will win in texas? guest: paul allred is a popular former nfl player who is challenging ted cruz and a lot of people hope he can capture mt he had in 2018. roland gutierrez is from the uvalde area and he has made gun-control central to his campaign. colin allred has led the primary.

he will be well-positioned to give crews a tough race. but all the competitive senate races texas and florida are the biggest pickup opportunities that are on the low end. host: roger in massachusetts, and independent. caller: i have a question about how our congress functions. it's a shame the way that ukraine is going to be defeated shortly because of the lack of

governments to continue thei■r fight. the speaker of the house is the one who determines bills can be voted on on the floor. it's my understanding if it were brought to the floor it would pass because there's enough ort between democrats and republicans. host: we're really just talking about super tuesday. es is the same story of any legislation but because the house is so divided and conservative members of so much power they can kill any

legislation there. host: washington, d.c., on the democric line. caller: my question is geared towards the younger voters. we see a push to vote independently to stop biden to ensure he does not run in the next election. is that something you are seeing across■ther states as well. i'm kind sheltered where i am. guest: that's a great question and one that has caused a lot of handwringing. in the new york times poll 73%

of voters said that biden is too saw a little bit of pushback not so much on the age question but his policies in the middle war in israel where 13% of the total electorate voted uncommitted to send a message to biden. michigan is a swing state and he carried only about a hundred 50,000 votes. it is a major concern for the campaign. the problem with joe biden dropping out his timing. when lyndon j out,

campaigns have changed a whole lot in the past 50 years. and something major happens would be the nominee. there are always concerns about e issues but i don't think they will be looking at the results of primaries to decide whether or not he should run for reelection. it could change how he approaches voters gen z. whether it's how they reach out to those voters, they been trying to cultivate them. but i don't think you will be seeing at those results in terms of whether or,w not he will run for reelection. host: susan, a republican in georgia. caller: i just had aomi was goi

haley. i think everyone one of rcies ik she would be a great president. when i saw that judge and how he valued trumps property in he let them get away with that in the veins did not care mhe got totat deal. guest: after every one of his indictments his support only solidifies. not just from the base voters

but even among his opponents who are competing for the nomination. if you're trying to beat someone in a race and they get indicted for fraud or hush money or classified documents and you can't turnha you, you're not really competing for a race. and that victimization with trump play sent to his strategy. they are not after me, there after you but i'm standing in the way and they are internalizing that. host: fm eggs, donald trump cannot get over 90%.

not very good. guest: there are some good points in that. what we are paying attention to, were not looking at his performance in the primaries right now. he has underperformed in the lot of the primary polls. whether that is because they're not accounting for democratic or independent voters. iowa was a low turnout because of a massive snowstorm. we have a relatively small sample size. he still has nominal challengers and a portion of the republican party would like someone else. he is probably still cannot be

the nominee. -- going to be the nominee. host: i was just released the results of their iowa caucus. why did they wait so long? guest: this is part of the change of the calendar we were talking about where i it is whiter andal is not representative of the democratic coalition. he made the decision along with leaders in the party to elevate another state.

they still wanted to save face and have voting had a male and primary. ave weeks to mail in their votes until today and now they're counting it all today. we have certain traditions and we will nominate people but in actuality we get the results a few weeks later. host:ñ the resul a being released tonight. carol in new york. caller: i would like to ask the asked a question about new york. said the congressional districts will be

redrawn. i currently live in the 19th district. since it is a very competitive election, at least it is billed as being a competitive campaign. what are the things mark molinaro should do to ensure his victoryion for josh riley what should he do to ensure his victory? guest: were looking a little further down the calendar but those types of majority makers that were polled last time in congress, they are trying to tow the line. they are not going to necessarily embrace biden, they

will run as a moderate. there are a lot of retirements ingr side and a lot of the dysfunction in congress. molinaro needs to float above the partisan fray but this congress hasctive, last year wae least effective congress since 1971. you haveo show that you're bringing home the bacon. host:n in clevela heights, ohio. even if she does not w t election to her observations continue to influence the either side? guest: her observations on trump

and criticisms of his foreign policy might not necessarily stick with republican voters but the softer republican voters in the suburbs and with a college degr that's can that be in her mind. host: a republican from point pleasant, new jersey. caller: i can't believe i heard what you say about trump underperforming? some of the stacy underperformed and he won 30% more. -- some of the states he won

30% more. the guest you had on before this guy was just lying to you. ohio. nancy from caller: where do you think in the long term the old guard republicans will fit into the party? if president trump gets reelected or not do you see the trump component having a strong grip on the gop or do you like e koch's will return? guest: but speaks of the big question of the republican party.

like establishment republicans. he is a former president he is establishment. there are republicans interested in governing and others who are not so interested in governing. the mitch mcconnell's and fred upton and liz cheney you are so conservative. they are losing ground to this american first wing of the republican party. trumps influence is very singular, is personality drithee trump has spawned a whole lot of politicians who may not try to be like him but govern like and you see that with the rapid

amount of retirement that those who are interested in governing our heading for the exit. host: we will he our super tuesday coveragejv■ >> watch c-span's live campaign 2024 super tuesday coverage as 15 states including the american samoa territory cast their votes in primaries or caucuses for their vote for president. we'll take your calls and get your social media reactions to live results as they come in, along with candidate speeches. watch live tonight beginning at 8:00 p.m. eastern on the c-span networks, c-span now, our free

mobile app, or online at c-span.org/campaign2024. c-span, your unfiltered view of politics. >> on thursday, president biden is set to give the annual state of the union address. ahead of the speech, we're asking what issue is most important to you. to participate, scan the q.r. code on your screen or go to c-span.org/poll. to add your voice to the conversation. a look here at the voting so far. as is customary, the president will bsp joint session of congress where he's expected to outline some of these policy priorities and share his thoughts on the state of the country this. will be the third state of the union address of his presidency and likely his last speech in front of congress before the 2024 presidential election. we'll keep this poll open leading up to the president's address. a reminder, our the state of the union begins thursday at 8:00 p.m. eastern

with a preview, followed by the president's speech, the g.o.p. response by alabama senator katy britt, and viewer reaction. that'll be on c-span, on our free c-span now video app, and online at c-span.org. >> a healthy democracy doe't just look like this. it looks like this. where americans can see democracy at work. when citizens are truly informed, our republic thrives. get informed, straight from the source. on c-span. unfiltered, unbiased, word-for-word. from the nation's capital to wherever you are, because the opinion that matters the most is your own. this is what democracy looks like. span, powered by cable. e court n the front page of the major national papers.