appoint higher. the democratic governor there. so let's move drop down south to racine county here. it is a competitive county. it's 49.5 to 49.2. the republican slightly ahead in the governor's race. let's flip over and look at the senate. race they have a more healthy lead for ron johnson there. so, democratic incumbent governor is performing more strongly, stronger than his lieutenant governor as who's the senate candidate here. and if you pull it, i just want to see where we are missing votes here, where the live outstanding votes are, and you still see, especially down the largest basket of o six in milwaukee suburbs, here but you see these big red dots. there are a lot of republican votes as. well so in a highly competitive, case state, ron johnson is taking a narrow lead. and if you are the johnson campaign, you see all these red dots up here, jake, you think okay we're in pretty good shape. let's keep counting. >> all right, john king, thanks so much, and right now polls are about to close in the political powerhouse of california as well as three other states out west. we have some projections for you now. two for democrats, one for

republican in california. cnn is projecting that senator alex padilla, who is appointed to that seat after kamala harris became the vice president, that he will be elected senator from california, defeating mark mosier. in illinois, so cnn is projecting incumbent democratic senator tammy duckworth will be reelected, defeating kathy salvi. and in idaho, cnn is projecting that incumbent republican senator mike crapo will be elected, defeating david roth. states that are too early to call at this hour -- in washington state, incumbent democratic senator patty murray is running against a strong challenge from tiffany smiley, the republican. that race, right now, cnn deems it too early to call. in oregon, senator ron wyden is running for reelection that race as well is too early to call. let's look at the balance of power -- as you know they're 100 seats in the u.s. senate.

democrats currently have 4:42 of them. republicans currently have 44 of them. the fight of these 14 remaining seats is what we will be covering for the next few hours. republicans need to pick up one net democratic seat in order to wrest control of the u.s. senate. we have some races port for you now. -- >> and all of them the incumbent keeping the governor's mansion. we begin in california with governor gavin newsom. remember, he survived a recall election last year. there are whispers he may be considering a presidential run in 2024. he easily defeats election questioner brian dolley to win reelection in california. and the most expensive governors race in the country, but perhaps one of the least competitive, incumbent democrat billionaire jb pritzker, who largely self funded his own campaign -- he defeats election denier darren bailey to win reelection in illinois. let's get a look at may now. they are, the incumbent democrats, janet mills, had a close race this summer but --

luke page fumbled a question about abortion rights during a debate and needles never looked back, maintaining an advantage. tonight she wins another four years in maine. in idaho, the republican incumbent, brad little, he will win reelection in a state that donald trump carried by some 60 percentage point in -- in idaho. some key race alerts now to bring you, beginning in a true toss-up state in wisconsin. remember, joe biden won here by very slim margin in 2020. right now tony ever's leads by 62,000 votes ahead of election questioner tim michaels. 62% of the vote is in in the state of wisconsin. we have an update for you now from michigan. gretchen whitmer growing her lead against tudor dixon, a conservative -- 98,000 votes ahead, 33% of the vote is in in michigan. and what would a key race alert slough be without the fate of georgia? brian kemp, republican

incumbent, 305,000 votes ahead, right now, of stacey abrams, about nine percentage points with 86% of the vote in the state of georgia, as we case headed over to casey hunt -- i would be surprised if you did not update us. >> your update would be useless if we did not have georgia in there. and of course, we are starting with georgia. yet again, because look at these vote totals. 32,000 votes separate herschel walker from raphael warnock right now. it's actually a little bit bigger than it has been at some point throughout the night. look at that, 39.4 to 38.5%. again, nobody is over 50, heading to a potential runoff. 86% of the vote is in. we can see this change back and forth still all night long if these votes get counted. all right, let's move to wisconsin, where won johnson, the republican, is setting at 58 point -- and mandela barons -- 16,000 votes separating them. and we can actually compare this with -- just gave us and the governor's

race showed ever, is the democrat, ahead at 51.2%, about 62,000 votes separating him from the republican who is sitting at 47.4%. so, you can see this is becoming another one of these examples where we are seeing a difference in terms of people potentially splitting their tickets here. now let's check in on pennsylvania, where john fetterman -- man, that is close. 49.5 to 48% over doctor mehmet oz here. so, again, the questions that i have when i look at this, and jake, of course, as we, know is from the commonwealth of pennsylvania. but to john king and david shiner are going to know what votes spell out what we are looking at in terms of, is it philadelphia that could give the fetterman campaign some hope? there's still a long way to go there. 30% of the vote still out. north carolina -- let's just check in quickly. ted but here is republican sitting at 58.8%. cheri beasley at 46.9, there's about 143,000 votes separating

them at this hour. so, perhaps a pretty comfortable place to be when you are looking at 91% of the vote in. a reminder, this is curly republican seat, with republican richard burr retiring. >> okay, casey, thanks so much. and just a reminder, we are looking at 82 competitive house seats. that is really what we are looking at in order to determine whether or not republicans are going to wrest control of the house of representatives. of the 23 competitive seats that republicans need to win in order to take control, they are currently leading in 17 of them. 17 out of 23. so, that is pretty good. let's take a look at the democrats now. democrats have a tall order on their hands. they need to win 50 of the 82 competitive seats. right now they are leading in 35 of them. so, neither party is where they need to be. republicans have a slight lead, an easier job to do in terms of what they need to do.

let's take a look at where we are now in the battle for control of the house of representatives. and again, this is where -- these are not called races, necessarily. this is where the vote is. >> this is where the vote is, as you fill in across the country we are now at the west coast poll closing. we will get more and more. so, this is everything, all 435 districts. narrow it down just make it easier to understand the stakes in the battleground competitive districts. to bring them up -- >> now and you just see, just as you just are looking at the map, you don't need the map to see more blue than republicans had hoped. you still mentioned the key, point, though, this is a very tough climate for democrats even if the margin is so small. republicans need only a net gain of five, which is eminently doable when you look at the map. but -- but, we talked earlier, could republicans pick up seats in new england? again, we are not done now. let me stretch it out for you a little bit, stretch out the map of new england. if you look at the map right now, again, a lot of these races are not called. republicans thought they could pick up one or two in new hampshire, they pick up one in

maine, they might get one in rhode island and they might get one in connecticut. they are all blue at the moment. they are all blue at the moment. so, if you had a lot of red on this snap here, just in new england, he would be taking that would be the building block away. you have no such building block here. it does not mean republicans don't get the majority. but you do not have it. and so, again, some of these races are yet to be called, including the main race, i just want to peek at it to bring it up here. ranked towards voting, this could go on for, while that you could just see that we call the democratic governor's reelection, the democratic candidates here in what is a republican plus six district. jarred golden has proven he's a tough democrat, often at odds with his national party. he's leading here, again, there's still a ways to go. let's go down to the state of new york in the competitive districts there. if you walk right through it here, i still want to peek in on this one. this is sean patrick maloney. he's ahead of the democratic congressional campaign committee. he's 55% of the vote now and he is losing by 11 points, look at that, it does not mean we are down. we still have more votes to count. but this would be a trophy for republicans in their quest not

only for a house majority but to knock off the very prominent democrat and the deputy of the speaker nancy pelosi. so, jake, as we go back to you, we are still working on a house map. it looks okay for the republicans but it does not look like a blowout. >> not necessarily. not and we have another big projection for you right now. cnn is projecting that in the state of new hampshire, live free or die, democratic incumbent senator maggie hassan we'll be reelected, defeating retired general don bolduc. maggie hassan will be reelected, cnn is projecting. this is a seat that republicans thought they could win. they thought they could defeat hassan. they were very bullish. they were talking all week about momentum being their way. and instead, maggie hassan, the democratic senator, holds on to that seat, cnn is projecting. let's look at the balance of power right now in the u.s. senate. you know 100 seats -- democrats currently controlled 43 of those seats, with the senator hassan keeping her

seat. -- there are 13 seats remaining. republicans need to pick up one net democratic seat in order to wrest control of the u.s. senate. those 13 seats are what we are waiting to see to determine if they are able to achieve that. but there are governors races too and we are going to go to -- sanchez with some more news there. >> jake, there is a major projection we are making right now. republican incumbent brian kemp is projected to win reelection in the state of georgia. this is a huge deal for camp. remember, he drew donald trump's ire back in 2020 when he refused to fund those 11,000 or so votes that trump was looking. four kemp is known for restricting abortion access in georgia, for remaking the states voting system, the electoral system there. and of course, his defeat over stacey abrams stamps him, earning another -- in the state of georgia. let's turn it over to dana bash for some analysis. >> thank you so much for us. and we did just get word that stacey abrams called and

conceded. this is a very big win for governor camp kemp not necessarily surprise the way that we have seen it go. but very, very clear and decisive win for republican governor, split from donald trump and lead the state of georgia in a way that, obviously, his constituents approved of. >> not just a split from trump -- trump tried to take him down in the republican primary with former senator david perdue. and republicans in georgia rejected that. and you are exactly right, they rejected it because, first, republicans, now the entire state, voters like the way brian kemp was running the state. and i think the biggest thing was the way he handles covid. in fact, remember, when he opened up the state, trump said -- this is back in 2020 -- i think he may be going a little too fast. it turns out that there were no severe repercussions in georgia. and they reopened the state and the economy came back.

>> trump tried to take him out in the primary and failed. >> yeah, absolutely. and i think that that became a really key part of his message to georgia voters. and he wasn't beholden to trump. he did not get weighed down by some of the negatives, the clear negatives associated with trump in all the shenanigans. remember, in the state of georgia, trump did not do particularly well. and is kemp is over performing. >> i'm going to go right over to boris for our projection. >> right, dana, another projection just minutes after the last one. in the state of pennsylvania, josh shapiro, will become the governor of that state. shapiro had a big lead in polls throughout. he continued to tie doug mastriano to donald trump, and it appears to have paid off. he takes over the open sea let's to behind by incumbent governor tom wolf. >> thanks so much, for us. so, josh shapiro becoming the next governor of pennsylvania

-- and a pattern that we have just seen in the last ten minutes of republicans who are election deniers losing, both in the governor's race, doug mastriano, in pennsylvania, and then in new hampshire the senate race there, john bolduc. he definitely was a rabid election denier in the primary there and then he kind of switched back for a nanosecond in the general and then went back again. i wonder if, at the end of the night, we are going to be able to say anything about that as a pattern or maybe if these are two isolated incidents. >> well, exactly. we will have to see -- >> what happens when we go out west -- >> affirmatively, josh shapiro, attorney general of pennsylvania, is very popular, and somebody who for donald trump when he was contesting the results of the results in pennsylvania. -- mastriano, it just way too hard to the right for pennsylvania, an election denier, was down in

washington january 6th, brought buses there, was very strongly antiabortion -- this was really never a competitive race. >> and then the two questions we still have, we just talked about kemp. we are projecting him to win in georgia. and josh shapiro in pennsylvania -- one of the storylines of the night that is still a big question mark is whether or not they can bring their fellow democrats across the finish line in the senate races. >> right. i think you are going to see -- the question is sort of moving in opposite direction than in those states, in pennsylvania. josh shapiro is doing so much better than fetterman, really throughout this race. and will that pull help fetterman in what is still a very, very tight race? that remains to be seen. in georgia, brian kemp has been able to really perform well ahead of herschel walker in that race. again, will he be able to pull herschel walker up? as you are talking i just want to point out that, on the

screen, you see how incredibly close it is. >> yeah, john fetterman at 49% -- >> -- basically saying, we are going to make different choices, up from the top of the ballot, to further down. and that is not often something we see in american politics. but i think it says a lot about these candidates up and down the ballot. there are just factors with the candidates that are changing the way voters interpret what they need to do. and they are splitting -- >> and they are evidence, as we talk about it, as we are looking at those numbers, walking out 49.5, warnock 49 point 85. nobody yet at 50 -- >> and one point, in addition to what abby said, it's not just a matter of candidates, it's also the senate is up for grabs here. and i think a lot of people are not just voting for one of the candidates or the other. they are also thinking, who do i want to be running the u.s. senate? do i want the republicans? it do i want the democrats? so, that is different from the governor's race. i mean, this has a different stake to it.

>> i will say this, also, about the pennsylvania governor's race, josh shapiro ran a very hard on the issue of abortion. and he could make a credible case. doug mastriano was a very far to the right on the issue of abortion and would have been a key player if that state were to move to restrict abortion rights. and yoshiro ran on that immediately and he ran on it a very hard with -- >> election rights. remember, in pennsylvania, the governor appoints the secretary of state. so he would have had a lot of control in the 2024 election. >> i just want to mention, quickly, one more time, new hampshire. that is a heartbreak for republicans. because even though maggie hassan is an incumbent democrat, she was governor. they, of late, thought maybe john boulder could actually overtake her and that could be a pick up. i think you are going to see a lot of questions about what happened there. because mitch mcconnell's super pac pulled their money out of that race.

and the national republican senatorial committee tried to put more money in. but it did -- it was too late. >> yeah, look -- bolder quiz not the candidate that they wanted. >> no. >> they knew he would be a pretty tough sell even in new hampshire, where it's a little bit more of a freethinking state, you could put. but toward the end, i think this last couple of weeks in this election has really tightened up a lot of these races, -- but what we are starting to see tonight is that some of these states are reverting back to their dna. i think in new hampshire, each reverted back to its middle of the road dna and projected rejected some of these more extreme candidates. i think you are seeing that in some of the districts that we have been seeing, the surprises democrats are holding on to -- >> one of the other interesting things in that state is, remember, democrats actually campaigned against a much more moderate republican in the republican primary, the state

senate president, chuck morris, because they thought that don bolduc would be an easier candidate. we have seen this in several states. >> and that was, again, don bolduc paid off -- that >> i'm going to go over to jake for projection. >> that's right, dana, we have a major projection. cnn is projecting that in ohio, venture capitalist j.d. vance will defeat congressman tim ryan and be the next u.s. senator from the state of ohio. j.d. vance will be elected the next senator from ohio, taking the place of retiring republican senator rob portman. the balance of power is 100 seats in the senate -- 43 of them belong to democrats, 45 belong to republicans. 12 seats remain. all republicans need to do is pick up one net democratic seat and they will be able to wrest control of the u.s. senate. let's go to melanie zanona right now, who is at events headquarters. melanie, a big achievement for a man who has never been elected to anything before.

>> right. that's exactly right. and i am being told that democratic congressman tim ryan has called j.d. vance to concede in this race. tim ryan was always viewed as the underdog. he thought that this race was overlooked and that people had a lot of support from the national party -- as you can hear, the crowd is getting very excited right now as the race is being called. there is a lot of energy in the room right now. j.d. vance is someone who is going to be very different than his predecessor. his predecessor, rob portman, is a long time centrist. j.d. vance, meanwhile, has been a fierce supporter of donald trump, then an election denier, i-2020 election denier, though he did say he will accept the results tonight. i have yet to hear whether he is going to come out and make a speech. we are expecting that to happen at some point. but we will keep you posted, jake. >> all right, melanie zanona at j.d. vance headquarters in ohio. cnn's projecting did events will be the next u.s. senator from ohio. let's take a look at the next

big picture for the u.s. senate. right now, democrats are leading at 48, republicans leading at 48, one in a republican seat, one in a democratic seat. it is really quite something. >> so, a couple different ways to look at it -- let's just start with our live voting vote counting a look at the map -- that's the democrat leading in the republican seat. that's the republican leading at the democratic seat -- >> pennsylvania and georgia. >> pennsylvania and georgia. how many times have we said pennsylvania and georgia? remember, coming in, the democrats thought that if we have a good night, maybe, maybe we could pick up -- two of the three are off the board. this one, north carolina -- this one, we see -- with a lead there, unlikely. we just called the ohio race for j.d. vance. you come up here, republicans hold that. j.d. vance in place of rob portman in the senate. wisconsin was the third. it's a very, very close competitive race, senator johnson -- lead over the democrat lieutenant governor. it just change again. it's up to 43,000. now this is what republicans count on in the states. they think, as we get through

the night and we count the late votes, the dna kicks in and incumbent republican. but we will see. 69% -- 69%. there's still a ways to go here. so, we have to count these votes. but let's just come out here and look at the importance. we look at the senate's battle for control in -- up this way. look at the importance for, what, let's go back to where we are to remind -- people this is where we started tonight. the narrowest of majorities only because the democratic president -- vice president breaks the tie. look at it this way. we come into the states. the democrat is leading right here at the moment. this race is not over. it is not call. just think about the importance of this race. for now, to begin the conversation, let's say fetterman holds that narrow lead there. then herschel walker is ahead there. no one is above 50% right now, so, for the purposes of this argument i'm going to make that a toss-up. because neither candidate is above 50%. right, now again, we are waiting to call wisconsin. we are still counting votes out west. but we will see what happens in washington state and we will see what happens in arizona. democrat mark kelly i was a

narrow lead, we will see if it holds. republicans are very confident about winning this one. we also counting votes. sometimes nevada takes a while to. but for the sake of the hypothetical argument let say that the republicans are right and they take this. so, where does that leave us? when we come out? it leads us in a potential situation where, if fetterman can hold on to this, and the republicans take that and nothing else changes and everything else phase where was, when we woke up this morning, then we could have a 50 republican seats, 49 democratic seats, and we go again to a georgia runoff in december, assuming none of the candidates gets above 50% there. that is what makes, as we watch the outstanding, that is what makes this map so important, assuming, if republicans are right and they could take nevada -- and we are not counting votes here yet. if oz can come back and win the seat tonight and you come out in this scenario, if nothing else changed on the map, republicans would have a majority and this would be for the extra, and the best democrats could do is 49 -- again, that is assuming that republicans are right, and they're very confident about

nevada and mark kelly holds on in arizona -- but it just gets you, as you just come back to where we are, it just gets you into the mat that we are in a very narrow chess game for control of the senate right now. and we have fewer pieces in play in a sense that we are waiting on pennsylvania, waiting on georgia, and then nevada. right now, if you are the democrats, jake, you are watching the nevada vote count and you are nervous. >> indeed. and cnn now has two major projections in earth carolina. cnn projects that congressman ted budd will become the next u.s. senator, defeating former north carolina supreme court justice cheri beasley. ted budd, endorsed by donald trump in this primary, and then donald trump rally for him throughout north carolina. he will become the next u.s. senator from north carolina. and connecticut -- this one is no surprise. incumbent democratic senator richard blumenthal will be reelected, defeating republican laura levy. let's take a look at the balance of power at this hour. as you know, 100 senate votes,

democrats have 44 of them -- republicans have 46 of them. there are ten seats remaining, ten seats remaining. and cnn reminds, you of course, that republicans just need to pick up one notch republican seat, won that democratic seat in order to take control of the u.s. senate. so, that is where we. our 44 to 46. and casey hunt has some announcement for us at the senate desk. >> we do, jake. and this really shows you, to john king's point, that we are getting down to the brass tacks here in the senate, as we try to figure out which way it's going to go, perhaps by one seat. and let's start, as always, in georgia, where herschel walker has a very narrow lead over raphael warnock, just 15,000 votes, such a small amount considering the millions that have been cast. but that 88% of the vote in their, election officials are saying we might not know tonight. pennsylvania -- john fetterman is at 49.2%, and mehmet oz at 48.3%, 37 votes

separating them, again, among millions past cast, and this race is one we are going to be counting, potentially, for days here -- and as john outlined, this is what will save democrats if they lose that race out in nevada, which republicans are very confident about, and giving a shot to actually retained control. 75% of the vote isn't in pennsylvania at this hour. now let's check in on wisconsin, which remains very, close 51% of the incumbent, ron johnson, over the democrat mandela barnes at 48.8% -- this remains very, very close. rana mandela barnes has been under four forming. democratic governor ever's so far tonight -- only about six, well, was's -- senate votes. we have only about 30 -- of the vote outstanding. we let's check in now on arizona, where mark kelly is sitting pretty comfortably right now with 58% over like masters, the republican 39.7%. that is a 240 or so thousand vote gap. i want to check in with john king and david chalian to figure out what is outstanding

because there's only about 58% of the vote in in arizona. and we could see that tighten up. but now we are going to turn to boris, who has some critical updates in the governor's race. >> yeah, casey, it's really interesting, as you pointed out, the lead for the republican in the senate race in wisconsin, as we get to the -- race in that state, the democratic incumbent in the governor's race is currently leading. right now, tony evers 43,000 votes ahead of election questionnaire two michaels. it just changed. now it is a 45,000 vote advantage with 69% of the vote in in wisconsin. we want to update you on the state of michigan right now. michigan -- it is change again. now it is 88,000 votes, the lead is slightly thinning there for gretchen whitmer, with 39% of the vote in in michigan. in kansas, perhaps the most vulnerable democratic incumbent running for reelection, or kelly in a state that -- had won by 15 percentage points, she currently leads against eric schmidt, an election denier, 32,000 vote advantage

for laura kelly with 83% of the vote in in kansas. meantime, the most unusual governors race you are going to see on the map tonight, a three-way race between tina kotek, a democrat, christine brazen, of republican, and former democrat turned independent betsy johnson. right now the democrat in this race is within 18,600 vote advantage -- 53% of the vote is in there. we send it back over to jake tapper. jake? >> thank you so much, for us. and i want to remind everyone of the competitive seats. there are 82 competitive seats. republicans have to win 23 of them and they are leading in 22 of them. so, that is for control of the u.s. house. republicans are on their way, of the 23 competitive seats they have to win their currently leading in 22. what about democrats? what do democrats have to do? they have to win 49 of the 82 competitive seats -- 49 of them. and right now they are leading in 42 of them. not bad. but not as close as where the

republicans are. and i want you to take a look at some of these margins. right now when it comes to these house races. in oregon, alex skarlatos is ahead by 0.08%. in -- zach nunn -- in california congresswoman michelle steele up by 0.4%. in new york, mola now row up 0.6 7%. in arizona, eli crane is up 1.38%. democrats as well, there leads are pretty narrow as well. we are looking at kermit jones up by 0.06% in california, and tony vargas up by 0.1 5% in nebraska. ryan -- congressman ryan is up by 0.36% in new york. tom l announced ski in new jersey is up by 0.88%. and in connecticut, johanna hayes is up by 1.72%. these are competitive seats and their margins of victory right

now or so narrow. so narrow -- we have not called any of those competitive races and the truth is, any one of them could flip at any second as the votes come in, josh. >> it is remarkable. we will begin to fill in the map all the way over. now you see this, blue especially on the southern california coast, the blue appear, in washington and oregon, keep an eye on that as we get later into the deep vote count. overnight, tomorrow, problem, probably as, well because we do have competitive races out there. let's just isolated competitive races. that's what i was trying to do. you remember katie porter, she's a prominent district -- but let's just come to the middle of the country for a minute and look at these races because, as you said, there's a number of these vulnerable frontline democrats. ulises lock, and you look at this right now, and you say, 43%, the republican has the lead. i just want to isolate it by county. and go through some of these -- this is what is going on in their campaign headquarters right now. remember, spanberger held on, right? slotkin is another one of those frontline democrats. this is a democrat -- zero plus nine.

it's a 50/50 district. -- one of by less than one percentage point by these lines. so, you are looking at this, you are saying, red county, red county, red county -- this is a very republican county by 20 points. but it is a small county, population wise. most of the people in this district live here. they live in bingham county, which is lansing. it is a 32 point. joe biden won this county by 32 points and only 11% of the vote is in. so, melissa slotkin, when you pull out to the district, she is losing right now. but you only have 11% of the vote counted in the giant by far the largest county vote in the district. so, this one right here is fall from over. you pull it out there is, michigan in the midwest, you see the -- jake was just talking about how close many of these races are and these are just a competitive races right,? so, you want to look at wind win margin. the lighter the color, the more the -- let me get that to kick in. look at all these races that are incredibly competitive as you go through them. let's pop up the state of new york. this one through, this here in

the rochester area, you have a democratic incumbent who is losing -- joseph moral -- losing, it's a -- 3300 votes. and you see it is up by county now and you see it is rochester in the county let me turn the county up and get to the entire district and come out here. another race right down here. you have, i think jake mentioned this -- one mark-mile-an-hour the republican -- 1700 votes. this is the environment that is playing out across the country right now, democrats fighting to hold their house majority or at least to keep any new republican majorities as small as possible. one race that is not close, if you look here, this is the chairman of the democratic campaign committee, who, with 68% of the vote in, is using losing quite significantly. we will see if that holds up. again, i said this earlier, this would be a trophy for republicans because he is such a prominent lieutenant of nancy pelosi and runs the campaign fund raising arm. but that one is not done yet either. i just want to pull out back to the national map again. you see the white or the lighter, those who are closer

or competitive races. so, they are coast to coast. the vote count has to be more early out here. let me talk of the race here and look as well -- to mueller in, a vulnerable democrat in the state of arizona, losing by 2100 votes to eli crane. these are the building blocks, you try to think republicans need a net gain of five -- it is these frontline democrats who are in the tough districts who you want to watch, especially as we get closer to knowing, calling more races in the east and coming out to the west. and so you see more of the light races out here, we will continue to count them. again, republicans are favored to take the house majority but you are looking at this map right now, jake, and it is incredibly competitive, democrats fighting tenaciously, at least to limit that -- >> that is right, john, and we have some more projections for you from the u.s. senate. cnn projects that in washington say to come undemocratic senator patty murray will hold on to her seat, beating a challenge from republican tiffany smiley. patty murray, senator patty murray, reelected, cnn projects. and then just south of washington, in oregon, cnn projects that incumbent democratic senator ron wyden

will defeat a challenge from joe ray perkins. so, that is two democratic seats held on. where does that leave us in the balance of power? obviously, you know 100 seats right now. right now we have democrats with 46 of them -- republicans with 46 of them -- eight seats are remaining. remember, republicans just need to pick up one net democratic seats in order to wrest control of the u.s. senate. right now it is 46 to 46. and john king, big picture. let's look at the big u.s. senator. we have 48 democrats leading, one in a republican seat. that is pennsylvania. 49 republicans are leading. that's one in a democratic seat, that is georgia. >> and so the question, was whether any takeaways from the map? democrats pick up republican seats? republicans, more likely, you would think, at least the beginning of this election, but what we are seeing right now is remarkably low turnover in a 50/50 senate -- you mentioned the current -- [interpreter] they are not called races but the ones that are tilting in the other direction right now, very close. john fetterman, who is a republican held seat, the

incumbent pat toomey did not run for reelection. so you, have the lieutenant governor in the democrat john famine against mehmet oz, the tv celebrity, dr. oz, -- just shy of 80% of the vote. but we know this from living through competitive elections in pennsylvania, we are going to be counting for a while here. i just want to take a peek at where the outstanding vote is. and you see the majority -- the fetterman campaign, you are saying, okay, the majority of the outstanding vote is down. here philadelphia, and the suburbs around it. the only caveat i would add to that, though, is there is a test, we don't have enough of the voters there yet. we will see a vase can perform better than trump in the suburbs. we will see if that plays out. but if you are the fetterman campaign you are looking at most of the vote is down here. that is what it benefited joe biden as a -- pennsylvania, the presidential race. we will see. let's come back out here and let's check in again on this one. it is the seesaw all night. but herschel walker is maintaining his lead but it is a tiny lead. 14,976 votes. 49.2 to 48.8. walker is ahead but is -- i know where the sound

redounded here but it is important. he needs 50% plus one vote or else there is a december 6th runoff in georgia. so, keep an eye on that. both campaigns will tell you if chase oliver starts getting up around 2.5 or two point fix 2.6 than we are guaranteed to go to a runoff. -- still some more votes to count. again, what are we missing in terms of outstanding vote? you see the biggest circles are up in atlanta and the suburbs. we see some republican areas here. republicans -- and i want to emphasize this point. these are small circles, meaning that as a percentage of the statewide outstanding vote, that is a pretty tiny amount. but that is a lot of republicans -- >> that is a lot -- >> that is republican counties. -- 250 votes there. there is a lot still to be counted. so, we have a lot a long way to go in georgia. -- a lot of room for walker to get a lot of votes by piecing together little pieces. >> i want to bring in brianna keilar, at the voting desk right now, to get some insight into what she is seeing in georgia. >> yeah, let's look at some of

these key counties in georgia. just a short time ago there was an official in the secretary of state's office who said that the georgia senate races when that we may not have full clarity on by the time we all go to bed tonight. i guess it depends on when you are going to bed tonight. but nonetheless, so -- >> you sleep -- >> no, it's not allowed, actually, it's part of our job description. but we are learning some new details about fulton county. let's look at fulton county for us because there are actually more than halfway done with counting. we are hearing here that they are expected to be finished by midnight, john and jake, so that could be revealing some information here just in the next half hour. >> absolutely. very interesting. >> you look at it -- and breonna, you can go through the rest. you look at the margin here. 72. this is fulton county. atlanta is by far -- 159 counties, georgia has a lot of -- them it's 10% of the population. so, it's your largest atlanta and the suburbs around it, you are largely -- vote. 73.7%, again, we have called the governor's race here.

stacey abrams at 69%. this is why brian kemp was reelected in a democratic area. you say 30% he. gotcha lack. well he, narrow the margin some, right? -- herschel walker getting shy of 25% in atlanta in the close this in suburbs around it. that matters. >> can i ask, how did biden do in fulton county in 2020? >> 2020 -- >> 72.6. and warnock is a little bit ahead, 73 point something. >> there you go. 74 a few roundup. i'm sorry, brianna kailer, go ahead. >> -- in georgia and they stayed open a little later. two of those one cobbe county and they stayed open later. they are also halfway down on their count and we don't know, though -- we don't have an estimate on win the counties going to be finished here. so, we are actually not sure when we are going to be getting this better picture of what is happening there. >> cobb county. >> so, again, joe biden wins

this county by 14 points, right? that's what you see right there, 15 points, it's essentially tracking the presidential race in cobb county. again, herschel walker -- the governor's race. this is why brian kemp -- >> -- >> this is one of those counties, again, if you go back -- the suburbs to be republican county territory, or at least competitive territory. in the 2018 election the suburbs may nancy pelosi speaker, 2020 that make joe biden president. you come for the senate race here, that is the challenge of our time. without donald trump, and republicans become more competitive in the suburbs? in bryan camps kemp dr. georgia -- >> -- >> right out here, right out here. >> finally, we are looking at gwinnett county. they have counted this -- >> the wrong -- >> they are saying they will not wrap up by midnight tonight. so, we are waiting tonight to

see when they will wrap up. of course, these are all counties that are leading democrats. so, obviously that is going to perhaps shift things as we see these numbers coming in. >> very interesting. very interesting. >> to that point, 56% estimated vote count in gwinnett. it's a second largest county in the state. it's a shy of 9% of the. so that's why, a number, one it matters when it comes to -- it is a democratic county. warnock will get more votes. the question is, will he keep that margin, the big margin he has? you watch these come in and you go up from here. if you keep this margin, in the places where there are more votes, you are going to move up. again, i just want to come back to this just for the context, though. because, yes, most of the votes are here. right? you see a couple of large red circles in more republican areas, where there is a lot of votes out. the larger the circle means the larger the share of the votes of. and you see these little -- they look almost like pockets. well, they don't matter. but they do, they do when you are running up margins like that. right? when you are running out

margins like that and so if you keep getting -- >> that's 8000 votes? >> it's 1000 votes there. so, if you had a couple hundred or a couple dozen even in a close race, it matters, which is why this is a state. you can look at things and you could have trans, the campaign headquarters, they're going to pretend by friesen can you look at the race this close without much left to count, you just -- this is why you brukovskiy. >> -- only won the state by under 12,000 votes in 2020. david chalian, you have some more information at the battleground desk about where the outstanding vote is. >> yeah, or the kind of vote that is outstanding, and it gets to the margin issue as well, that john which is talking about. so, again, we break it down, mail vote and early in person vote and election day vote. i want to note something here. so, let me bring in the uncounted vote. among the uncounted -- about a quarter of the male vote is still out and that is a 36.5 -- advantage carer -- so that is significant because a quarter of it is still out. he also has an 8.4 advantage

point against early in person voting. but there is very little left of that to count. here is what i find super interesting. herschel walker's margin of success over warnock with election day voters is now at about 19.1%. that's a little bit lower than we had seen earlier and there's a huge amount of the election day vote and counted early when we talk about this race, guys. now down to -- that remains to be counted. and i want to remind everyone, i'm going to click off here the election day vote. these two categories of early vote, the mail, early and in-person combined, we expect to be the larger share of the overall vote. we expect that to make up about 61% of the overall vote. the election day vote, which is the walker category here, where he is beating warnock by about 19% now with the election day vote, that, we expect, at the end of the day, is going to be about 40% of the overall vote

-- so, we don't think it is going to make up as big of a share as that early vote category in georgia. >> very interesting, very interesting. >> to david's point about the proportion, the bulk of the -- that is out, the larger slide, warnock is getting the bigger margins and then you see the size of the circles of where, we are geographically in the state it is. that is why, if you are the one of campaign, you never want to be behind. but there is plenty of votes here. by the proportions just david just laid out, the mail-in votes, if they continue to come in as disproportionately democratic as they are now, when you see the size of the circles, meaning the share -- where he has got the margin -- the percentage of the different kinds of the votes and then you say, where are they coming from? then, you look at this -- this is not over. this is not over. and they're both below 50, by the way, now. we will see when it comes in. >> i have something i want to talk to you about with pennsylvania. but before we do that i am going to throw to anderson cooper, whose panel --

whose august panel wants to chew over all of what we have been doing. >> we finished showing on the pizza now we are going to chew on this. and gardens what else we have been doing on. there's a lot of food here. gloria, this is not the night a lot of democrats worried about, a lot of republicans hope for. it may be different tomorrow in the morning, or in the late afternoon, or the next day. but tonight it looks different than a lot of people thought. >> people are voting. and it seems to me, from looking at this so far, that they are voting on their candidates. they are actually saying, i think this person would be a better senator than that other person. and i think this house member than would be better than another one. it just does not seem to have any sense of a wave or not going to vote straight republican -- or, we don't see a lot of ticket splitting historically in this country. i know the state of montana is kind of famous for that. by the other than that, we don't see that a lot.

and >> i think what we are seeing tonight is people doing that. look at -- look at the state of new hampshire, for example. you have very popular we've publican incumbent governor. and people elected -- and he was up for reelection, sununu and then maggie hassan waiting for senate. so, people were splitting their tickets. and i think that is what we are seeing. >> i would just, say everyone talked about this early, on democracy is on the ballot, i said this earlier -- democracy on the ballot? democracy won tonight. and that's the good news for america. as -- gloria borger talked about in pennsylvania, you have joe shapiro up winning 11 points over doug mastriano, a landslide for josh shapiro. and we are 33,000 votes apart in the senate race. so, people are going through, looking at these candidates and making -- van is probably going to be consoling me here. i'm a lot less often investech

than i was at the beginning of this evening. but it is a night that is changing and we are going to see -- we talked about this as well -- with a number kevin mccarthy has. under 20? we talked about -- people thought they would be 30. >> right, right. >> i think if -- you take their ball and go home tomorrow. >> i'm sorry, go ahead. >> that big sound that you hear is democrats having a big sigh of relief across the country, because people woke up scare this morning. people said, my god, we've got these election deniers, we have got these people who are winking and nodding at insurrectionists. we have people that we are afraid of, if we they get in there and -- that was the fear this morning. >> i've got to say, van, you are the person -- [laughs] you are the person, for days, saying that the people i'm talking to on the ground are fighting and knocking on the doors, are telling me that they are optimistic. >> exactly. when you listen to the people on the doors and on the ground, what happened was, people got

scared of those republican polls saying that this big tidal wave is coming. and let me just -- you can get your turn, i'll get my turn. a bomb came out and that helped. and i think the grassroots folks, if there had been more money spent on them than these dog ads, -- >> let me ask, you the democratic strategy in some races of actually getting ads for some of the more extreme candidates, like mastriano, without successful? >> apparently so. and certainly in that case, it was. so, yeah, you look across -- yeah, we have to wait how -- >> new hampshire, didn't they give money to don bolduc in new hampshire? >> on the whole, probably so -- >> it was controversial. a lot thought it inappropriate -- >> what? >> a lot thought it was

controversial. >> it was controversial. and it was a gamble. and it looks like the gamble may pay off. but you know, i think it is more than looking at the candidates. and certainly, that is part of what is going on. but this sort of defies history. if it keeps going in this direction, the races out west we have yet to see -- but if it keeps going in this direction, as you are scrolling through the house races, this is not like a normal midterm election. and we have been talking here about whether or not gravity would take code, hold, whether the normal thing would happen, and whether the president's normal approval rating is low, the economy is bad, therefore the challenging party will make significant gains. but the question was, with these other things come into play? the dobbs decision, extremism,

trump -- all of these have played into this to make this not the normal midterm election. it is really, really interesting. >> scott jennings, how much of the blame -- i mean, depending on what happens in the coming hours -- but if a lot of some of these candidates that trump's elected or pushed for don't deliver, what blamed as he get? >> there's another possible desantis commercial. >> i don't have to make a commercial when the guy wins that big. >> [laughs] >> there's a potential narrative out of this night that, if you are a discerning republican voter trying to figure out the future direction of this party, we once again learned that trump is not a national winner for the republicans. but desantis may be the next evolution of someone who can nary what you like about trump but also recover some people that went away from the party during trump. -- on the senate, by the way, i'm like a broken record.

it's really the three. pennsylvania, -- and nevada. -- pennsylvania sort of close and then nevada we have not started getting results and their. if republicans win two out of three of those, they will be home. and so that would solve salve the wound -- by just looking around this map, if i was wrong desantis or someone who wanted to help rounded santas, that would be the message i would be on tomorrow which is, my way is the way to a national majority. his way is the way to a national minority. >> the fact is that this is not an obama style show lacking. you can't really call this a red wave, even though we still have some outstanding votes. so, to scott's point, this is the time that the republican party need to ask themselves, are they going to continue to nominate poor quality candidates to appease donald trump? he is right now over on his truth social site celebrating the demise of republicans who lost, criticizing don bolduc, a

bad candidate. maggie hassan was a beatable candidate. that could've been a pick up for republicans. but solely because of donald trump he ended up being the nominee. he is celebrating a day, a moderate losing in colorado. if you want the republican party to thrive, we have got to just finally speak out and say, this man is a loser, he lost 2020, he is -- he's losing a seat that is winnable this time, in time towards looking what the future might look like. >> is there another lesson here also? which is that, people kind of sick of both parties in many ways. the fact that it wasn't declarative one way or another -- again, we don't know all the results. but the people are just saying, look, i'm going to look at this candidate because, yeah, the democrats i don't, like i don't like the way that they have handled the economy. but the republicans are threatening democracy. and maybe they are figuring, you know what? i don't like any of these guys? -- >> i think the ticket splitting is encouraging. it -- cinches for sanchez far

projection. >> yeah, jake, two important -- this place -- but in actuality when the votes were counted it wasn't very close at all. incumbent democrat kathy hochul winning her first full term in office. she took over, of, course for disgraced former governor andrew cuomo after he resigned. she defeats congressman lizelle for -- next, an update for you from the state of minnesota. tim walz, the incumbent democrat, projected to win reelection their against conscience, in a physician who made some dubious claims about the covid-19 vaccine. two democratic combatants are holding on to the governor's mansion in those two states, as we turned it over to dana bash was some analysis for us. >> thank you so, much more. us on new york, this was a place that president biden went more than once, where people were looking and saying, is this a situation where high

crime, concerned about the economy, will actually do in a democrat in a very blue states? and the answer tonight is now. >> i think that those issues were very real in this race. i think was maybe closer than the democrats wanted to be but at the end of the day the fundamentals of the state of new york kicked in the urine kathy ogle is now an elected governor of that state. and i will say this. maybe tomorrow on the day after, we will be talking a little bit about, why did people want to believe that this was not as close? i think a lot of the race tonight are turning out to be -- their holds for democrats in places where, i think, a lot of democrats were just nervous about the numbers. they have such ptsd from 2020. we all do, from 2020, from 2020 and 2018, about understanding whether the polls were really in touch with things that were happening. >> we talked about something earlier in terms of new hampshire. a lot of these states are going back to their dna, fact is new

york has not had a republican governor since george protectee in 2006. -- louise eldon beat kathy hochul up on the issue of. private seem to have salient's. and then the last poll i saw, crime was a bigger issue than inflation. but in the end, the dna held. it is a blue state. and kathy hochul is the elected governor. >> and then the question is, was it actually in danger? and the fact that there was so much attention put on this and other states, kind of what van was saying in new york, it got democratic voters energized in a way that they were not before. jake? >> all right, dana, we are staying laser focused on the tight senna trail's is in georgia, pennsylvania, and wisconsin. each one is pivotal to determining the role of the -- united states senate. and as we wait for more votes

to be counted, let's take a quick break and see more numbers on the other side after this quick break. until, disaster struck. tensions were high. luckily, replacement costumes were shipped with fedex. which means mr. harvey, could picture the perfect night. we're ready for the holidays, so you're ready for what's next. i may be close to retirement but i'm as busy as ever. and thanks to voya, i'm confident about my future. voya provides guidance for the right investments. they make me feel like i've got it all under control. voya. be confident to and through retirement.

can we even afford this house? maybe jacob can finally get a job. the house whisperer! this house says use realtor.com to see homes in your budget. you're staying in school, jacob! realtor.com. to each their home. harvey denies any allegation of assault. but he is aware of complaints about his treatment of women and he is working on that. do you want to expand on that? we have decades of accusations of harassment, assault. weinstein, knows what we're doing. every call you make is being recorded. this is bigger than weinstein. this is about the system, protecting abusers. this is all going to come out.

it's election night in america. we're waiting for polls to close in hawaii and alaska, and

while we do, let's give you an update on the status of things right now. in the u.s. senate, 100 seats, democrats control 26 of the seats. republicans's right control 46 seats. eight seats remaining. all republicans need to do is win one next democratic seat and they can rest control of the senate. but republicans are definitely not having the night they thought they were gonna have when it comes to picking up seats. in the u.s. house of representatives, democrats control 146 seats, republicans control 183 seats, including five pickups. 106 seats remaining. remember, the magic number there is 218. neither party has achieved that as of yet. let's look at some of these states in the competitive races in the state of play. at the beginning of the night we told you there were 82 competitive house races we're keeping an eye on. republicans need to win 23 of them as of now. they are leading in 26 of them.

so right now they are on track to be able to win control of the house of representatives. but we're not making that call yet. that is the status as of right now with the roads as of right now. but right now, leading in 26 competitive seats, they need to win 23. how about the democrats? democrats need to win 49 competitive seats, and they are leading in 40 competitive seats. so democrats not where they need to be. let's go back to the senate race, as i want to bring in casey hunt. casey, tell us what's going on. we have senate races where i need to know what's happening. >> we may be waiting a little while for, that jake but, we can give you an idea where they stand right now, which is to say georgia remains as close as ever, 20,000 votes separating herschel walker from raphael warnock. neither one of them about 50% with 90% of the vote in this. could stretch out for four weeks. in pennsylvania this continues to tighten. john fetterman, 49.3%, mehmet

oz 49.2%. this would be a democratic pick up if fetterman were to win here which would protect democrats if they lost elsewhere on the map, say in nevada, where republicans feel good about their chances. we have 84% of the vote in and against gonna keep going in pennsylvania. now let's check in with rob johnson where he's maintaining his lead. the over democrats over della, byron center 48.4%. right now we've always expected this race to be very close. johnson is doing what he needs to do at this hour. 80% of the vote in in wisconsin. and let's check in now on arizona, where mark kelly is sitting at 57.8%. the republican blake masters, 39.9%. that's a comfortable lead. we need to know a little bit more about where the vote is still outstanding in arizona. let's now check in on utah, a really interesting one. likely the incumbent republican

a 53.7% is facing a challenge from independent evan mcmullin. you may remember him from his brief presidential bid. he was in the cia. he is somebody who has mounted a challenge to lee. hasn't said who he had conference with. mitt romney has stayed out of this race. so far mcmullin is behind lee but that the strong number for an independent running in a situation like this. >> one of the great things about these election nights, casey, is that we have no idea what is going to happen. it's up to voters. now the pollsters, not the pond, it is up to the voters. and the voters are giving us some surprises this evening. probably nobody is more surprised than the man who is the leader of the republicans in the house of representatives, kevin mccarthy. let's check in with maduro, zhu at the head house for house republicans. manu, i think it's fair to say now the people thought this would be a barkan all at house

headquarters. champagne corks would be popped. it seems kind of serene. >> yeah, kevin mccarthy had hoped that this hour, the 11 pm eastern hour he would be a huge declaring victory, refrain to give a victory speech. but there have been too many races that are too close to call, and talking to his advisers there saying there are some key ways is in the key races in the midwest break before kevin mccarthy comes out and addresses his supporters. they are still very confident that they will get not just the votes, enough seats to take back the house, but enough he seems to have what they consider a comfortable governing majority. they have set a bar in 20 seats, picking up 20 seats. i'm told by republican sources that they are still confident they can get their, in large part because the success they are seeing a new york. they knew that could help them ultimately get to where they want to go. mccarthy himself has been net meeting with political advisers

of the national congressional campaign company as well as the super pac to spend hundreds of millions of dollars in key races as he has tracked reese's and talk to some of the candidates who support who support he will also need the end of the day to become speaker should republicans regain house. where republicans still confident even though it is going slower than they anticipated as they wait for the final numbers and for the final margin for a potential majority. >> we should point out, manu, that earlier this year kevin mccarthy was pointing out in talking about how they were gonna pick up 60 seats, 60 seats. now they're talking about 20 and it's not clear they're gonna get there. >> yeah, no question about it. they had expected a huge wave before the dobbs decision, which changed the dynamics completely, and then ultimately there are concerns that there could potentially even be a single digit victory for the republicans. if it were to be that narrow it would make mccarthy's task of

governing incredibly difficult, giving the power of some of those on the far-right of his, conference. which is why they have invested two about 20 seats. no more are they talking about 60 seat massive wave. a 20 seat majority, they believe would be enough to get their agenda through and not have problems with the right flank of their conference. can they get their? still an open question. >> the house republican headquarters where they have yet put on cooling the gang in celebration. so mattingly at the white house right, now what are you hearing from president biden in his top age aides? >> they give you a few things each minute. we got a message i love the backdrop behind manor ridge right now. there is a recognition that this is a night that is going in a different direction that even in the most optimistic view of things, for democrats and for some white house officials, this is better than what they could've imagined. now keep in mind, if there was

one area where white house mitchell officials are there was a clear path or one thing they definitely wanted to secure coming out of, this would be maintaining that senate majority. that is not locked in by any means right now. they are still a number of tight races out there. but when you look at the broader map in, talking to white house officials, they understand right now that this is a very different picture than most people were predicting going into the night. a very different picture than some were expecting. even last night the president, a general optimist himself, made clear they're holding on to the house was going to be a tough task. nobody here is predicting the democrats will hold on to the house, but they are very clear that they have won a lot of races that looked like they would be tipping towards republicans. one in particular sand stands are we trying to white house officials's officials, that was the victory of abigail spanberger in virginia. it was a toss-up brace, one republicans were targeting, but also one that was personal for the president. it was abigail spanberger who criticize the president's wide-ranging agenda in the new york times last year after the

first major loss of the president in terms of electoral stance, the virginia governor. since biden called, her ended up visiting her district. white house officials wanted her to win because they knew that would be a sign that there was not going to be a wave. this had a potential for being a positive night. they won and now they feel good about that. >> or at least not a negative night for them. the kind they were fearing. we have projections for you now. five of them are for democrats winning and one is for a republican winning. in tennessee, andy ogilvy, former mayor think tank executive have flipped a seat in tennessee. it is a nashville area district that got much more republican after redistricting. democrat greg landsman has flipped a seat in ohio. this is a surprise and a big win for democrats. he beat longtime incumbent republican steve shabbat. this congressional district includes cincinnati and became a lot blower after redistricting. democrat marcy catheter in ohio,

one of the longest serving members of the house, has been reelected in ohio. she defeated a far-right trump supporter who was at or near the capital on january 6th, that's after her district was made more republicans. she won anyway. amelia sykes has won an opening for democrats in northern ohio. it's a swing district that biden won by three. kansas democrat cherice davis as one another term. she's one of the first two native american women to serve in congress. that is a tough congressional district, about and district, she's been reelected. rhode island state has held on to an open seat for democrats. it's a district won by biden won by 14. republicans that they could pick it off in a wave. here apparently it's not the year they thought they were going to have. let's look at the balance of power. right now in the house of representatives democrats have 155 house seats, including one pick up. republicans have 184 house seats, including six pickups, 96 seats remaining.

the magic number is 218. terms of the state of play looking at competitive seats, we told you the beginning of the night we were keeping an eye on watching pretty much determined who was gonna be able to control the house of representatives. republicans have to win 22 competitive seats. democrats have to win 44 competitive seats. right now we are taking a look at those competitive seats and counting the votes and trying to figure out who is going to win. it is still seems as if republicans are on to a possible path to taking control of the house of representatives. but this is not the night, as you can tell by the crickets chirping behind moderately with the republican headquarters. this is not the night they thought they were gonna have. >> what an odd moment we are at in this night in the sense that joe biden could well be the national historical averages here in both the house and the senate, and yet he could still lose both the house in the senate. in that, going back to the reagan, easy average of the

house the first midterm is 31 seats. on the map right now they may get their, but i don't see 31 street seats on the map for republicans. i see them getting in majority right. now it's not done but i could see. that i could show it to you in a second. the national average is minus two. joe biden of course can't lose any. in the senate i don't think we're gonna have an answer tonight. i don't think we're gonna know the answer tonight. but we'll see as we go. this is the full house as you watching it fill in. the important part is, there is one red in new england, i'll come to any minute. there's we talk about republicans wanted to pick up a bunch of new england, maybe three, maybe four, maybe five. republicans are trying. this we're still counting out here. but if you see that blue line all the way up the coast, then you are not having a huge republican light. you could still get republican majority, but several districts out there wanted to pick up. i want to come here to the middle of the country and change the map in a second. look at the blue there. the idea was, republicans were gonna have a big night and they are especially gonna have a night in the competitive states. so look at the competitive races as we come through here. narrowed down to the 82

competitive seats. yes, there is a path, a very plausible path. even i would say likely path to republican majority. we're not here very. i count them out for you. but look at all this blue. again, in new england. when new england see left on the board here. this was blue when we looked at it earlier. we talked about this. if you're looking at this now, the republicans say are, maybe we'll get this one in connecticut. i would caution. watch this one as well, because you see the areas in the district not filled in, this is new england connecticut, you come up here to farmington, connecticut. democrat live 22 points in the last election. you come here, you're in a van, connecticut, democrats by 23 points in the last election. so the votes that are still out in connecticut's fifth district, these counties out here, these towns out here, they're not counties also big democratic areas. >> just to remind people, democrats were worried enough about this district, they sent vice president kamala harris there to campaign a few weeks ago. >> dana mentioned this earlier, in the late democratic scramble,

when they started to think, okay, some blue states are in trouble, some blue places are in trouble. the democrat started moving the bodies around, moving money around. it may turn out, again, we have the final vote, that's a conversation for later in the week. but then you come here. the republicans were gonna pick up a bunch of new york. they may pick up a bunch innu are. the question is, are you gonna get the mueller new york? sean countering will, only the democratic campaign committee chairman is still running behind their. but will be a massive turnover in new york? you don't see it in the numbers now. they only need a gain of five. you come back down here, and again, we come through your home state, the commonwealth of pennsylvania. just a minute ago this one here was read, and you see this. this is such a competitive district. if you look at the district, joe biden won this district by less than one percentage point. 0.6. there you have. it this is one of the most competitive places in america and one of the most competitive states, the commonwealth of pennsylvania. it's gone back and forth.

charlie denzel lines renal different. charlie dental district. then you come to matt cartwright. this is a republican district. three points, trump would've won if the lines were the same in 2020. matt can't write in the moment, holding on. i was up in these districts a couple, 68 weeks ago. susan wild said of macaroni and hold on we are gonna hold on aaron jordy. that may have been overly optimistic, but if they hold on the margins. again, western pennsylvania. so really, 99% of the vote in. this one here, this is a surprise to republicans. here chris delucia. we were talking about this earlier in the senate rates will. talk about it later. the democrats, again, holding on there. >> but conor lamb? sal >>'s lines are a little different but that's conor lamb school district. a more moderate centrist democrat. democrats are winning in tough areas. that's what the democrats the republicans do not bet on happening. they're winning in tough. areas were coming down to virginia. we've talked about this before.

i won't dwell on. and to enter the three, the democrats are holding. republicans thought they could get to. they had dreamy hopes of getting, three and that was unrealistic, i think. phil's time out of the white house. and not just because abigail spanberger won. it's because this district is like so many other competitive districts across the country. so if you have a good candidate and she can hold, on then you are thinking we can replicate this as we grow across the country, which is why i want to move now to the midwest. the state of ohio, the republican senate candidate won. the republican gubernatorial candidate won reelection in a walk. and yet, marcy kaplan, holding on here, you see the red on. here they added this to her district make into. everything he than in mid term year marcy capture again, another frontline kept democrat who managed to scratch and claw district by district her way to reelection. you can see by the counties here, i are population here in toledo, that's how she does it.

>> can i say one thing? this guy, j.r. majewski, who lost, we have called, this right? not only was he there on january 6th of the capital, according to press reports he lied about his combat service. i think one of the lessons we're going to learn, is that when republicans put normal candidates in these competitive seats, they can win and then when they put extremists out they make it much easier for the democrats to hold onto the seats or to win. >> absolutely. candidate quality manner matters. the flipside, is republicans would've said, a we made her district offer, be, friend nancy pelosi, anti democratic here, we're gonna finally get more we're finally gonna get marcy kaptur, she goes every week, and she gets the ribbons, she works a district. i say the democrats or republicans. she puts the work into scratches. out she has a branch. he has a local bland brand that can overcome national dynamics. but again, republicans thought

they could pick up some of the seats. look at this seat. this is a newly drawn district here. you have a democratic candidate candidate ahead, 40,000 votes. this is one you figure the senate candidates and gubernatorial candidates are winning big, when we pick up this district? that has been the challenge. republicans thought anything by biden won by one point is hours. what he won by two points is hours. biden won by this just by only 22 points. the democrat is scratching in crying tonight. this is a redrawn district, more favorable to democrats. >> he's been in congress forever. >> he was in congress, he lost, then he came back in the tea party years. i've been around a while. with the redrawn lines this is a democratic district. so it's not a shock that the democrat won it, but in a year, again, when the republicans think, where taking democratic territory, we are taking that places we lost, especially in the suburbs in the trump years. that's a big win. that's a big win for the democrats because republicans

need that five. it's a democratic takeaway of republican incumbent. so it's a soft, swap if you. will republicans get one here, we get that there. makes the math more complicated, keeps the house majority marriage and down. so you're just looking at this map where republicans thought, most of this, or at least half of this, would be red. that's not the case. democrats are still on their heels because the margin is so close. they can all news. five >> the interesting thing is, if one takes from this night, and again, we are still winning from tonight if, one takes from tonight that the republicans nominating some extreme candidates ultimately hurt their ability to reclaim as much of a majority is they want, they're still on track to reclaim the house. the fact is, though, that that narrower majority, and who knows if it's going to be five votes or 20, but that narrow majority is only going to empower the extremists that are going to win who are in the republican party, the marjorie taylor greene's of the world,

because their votes for mccarthy as speaker and for whatever are going to be so much more important and actually the irony of so many extremists losing is going to a power the extremists who remain. >> kevin mccarthy, assuming he's speaker, and looking like he will be, will have a much shorter leash, if you will, to negotiate with joe biden. >> to negotiate with senate republicans. it will be interesting whether the senate republicans take the majority or not is the mccarthy mcconnell relationship, because it's meyers and venus of how they approach governing. we don't know the fine lumber is that. i want to emphasize that. because remember, in 2018, it took a long time to. iowa's texted by a smart republican who texted it might be smaller than 20. what you might get here is, the idea was, exposed to be a giant change election. the house numbers going to change. i think it's likely, and i'm getting ahead of our smart people at the decision desk,

but my experience says more republicans get a majority, but not a huge majority. not a ton of change. and then you come over here -- >> the only other thing is, when george w. bush got hammered in 2006, he called it a thump and. when barack obama got hammered into thousand and ten he called it a lacking. i don't know that biden's gonna have to come up with a jarrod to describe what is happening tonight. it's unclear. but can we look at some of the governors races right now? i really like to look at the arizona race, because that is one where a lot of people are concerned, because kari lake is an election denier and 51% of the vote in, she's losing. >> we will draw big conclusions tonight, nobody at home should either, but if you have a republican swing, a modest republican majority in the house, we're going to be at the senate for a long time. the next piece of what happened in 2022 will be these governors races, because all governors races are important, but this one we're looking at half dozen

others in the key battleground states. you mentioned an election denier there. 51% of the vote in, that's what you want if you are katie hobbs. the question is, what are we missing? this is where arizona is decided, for the most part. more than 60% of the vote, one of the fastest-growing areas in america. when the most fascinating political areas in the area. phoenix in the sprawling growing suburbs around it. i now katie hobbs is 58%, in the county where kari lake for ten years was an anchorwoman in peoples arms. that's who she's trying to, she's trying to convince the suburban republicans, a lot of whom didn't vote for trump, i'm carrie, lake your anchor. she wants to be the trump acolyte and run it up here. but let's look at maricopa county. >> it's a d plus two, right? and katie hobbs is winning by 16 or 17 points. >> we have to check in. david condolence what this vote is. the election day vote here is, this is, the behavior of the

voters here follows closely the trump model, because he does have such a base there. so we need to watch that. but if you katie hobbs, that's what you are emerging to. be but the bulk of your vote, 61% here in maricopa county, then you come down here to pima county and you've got another -- percent. right there in those two counties. katie hobbs, again, ahead at 45%. let's see what that number is warmer up to 60 or 65%. you build up the margin of the early vote. the question is, can you hold it with the rest of it comes in? but if you're looking at the map right now, both in the governor's race and in the senate race here, mark kelly running a more healthy ahead. some late momentum here. this tells us you have a battleground state into play it out. you mention a governor's race. as you come back out. and again, you have to be careful what you see elsewhere in the news, if you will. but right now, let me come back to the governor's race. right now this one is fascinating because the big question was, with the third party candidate help the

republican to victory in oregon or it's 63%. still a long way to go in counting the races here. the west coast has been democratic for so long. republicans were very eager. when i started covering presidential politics, oregon was a competitive state. >> i remember flying out there for the bush campaign. >> not anymore. it started in the reagan. eight is you come up here it, not anymore. republicans are looking for trophies and then looking to say we're re-writing the map. i think that's the question. you do not see a dramatic rewriting of the map when you look at the house races so far and we look at the governor's races. not yet, anyway. if you watched another network, kathy hochul was gonna be sent home. kathy hochul is down the fully elected governor of the state of new york. >> i said at the beginning of the night the smart democratic pollster said he was gonna be watching three things, the new york governor's race, the new hampshire senate race, and the three democratic congresswoman

and vulnerable competitive districts in virginia. and right now we have called new hampshire for the democrats, and for the senate, race we've called the newer governor's race for the democrats. that wasn't necessarily how close it was gonna, be not apparently that close, and the democrats have won two out of the three and two out of the three seats, so that democratic pollster,, who is not a guy who spends me, he is feeling pretty good right now. >> so again, if irony is the right word for where we are, in terms of president biden having a better night than even many democrats insiders are gonna have. but where are we now, 20 past midnight? probably wednesday. he had a better election day as we continue to count into the day after, even though he looks like he's going to at least in the house beat the historical average. the senate is still an open question, mark so you can have historically pretty good night and still have your life changed dramatically, meaning the republicans take the house with a narrow majority, which

makes it even harder. but he could still lose the senate. the history books will record it as a better than average night, and daily reality will be miserable. we >> don't know about pennsylvania, georgia, nevada is another question. >> i want to check here, we're at 87. i just want to look at it because you mention it. i like looking back at the margins. fetterman is holding. on again, where the votes are, missing you come in here, oz would have to really overperform, not to win the suburbs, but all the votes down here, oz would really need to amp it up in the suburbs. we don't see it yet, but that's why we count them. >> let's talk about fetterman for one second. i think a lot of people thought, first of all, ours had momentum going into the race, especially after the senate debate, where fetterman had difficulty. and also just that fetterman's stroke was going to really and his chances. one of the things i was talking

to, a top democrat in pennsylvania, and he said, when fetterman ran in the primary, he had a strategy about rural votes. one of the ways he racked up his, he totally ran away with the primary, the democratic primary, he went 33 of the republican, of the rural counties, sorry, by more than 70%. we were talking about margins earlier in this, having to do with margins in georgia, in north carolina. i want you to look at three rural counties. we're gonna look at how fetterman theodore is doing versus how biden did. these are all counties where biden lost fetterman is losing. but it's a question again of the margins. if we can start with westmoreland county. >> that's where the big trump rally. was fetterman are not just in the last week. >> so this is 19 points? >> 19, yeah. >> 19 points. fetterman is losing by 19 points. and biden lost by 2028.

>> so on the margins fetterman is dramatically over performing biden in that county. >> jefferson county. >> coming down here for that. when >> jefferson is here. so, okay, 50 points. fetterman is losing this by 50 points. >> biden lost by almost 60 points. and then somerset county. >> right along the southern border. >> okay, so fetterman losing by 50, and biden lost by -- >> and so fetterman said he was gonna campaign in trump country. he said he was going to win, but winning for him is cutting the margins. 50, 60, that matters. in the georgia senate race. margins matter. he was the main mayor of braddock, he was all those counties, and they happen to be on his end of the state. we focus over here because of the largest population center. and close range races, philadelphia in the suburbs around. but if you're doing what you need to do out here you're

absolutely right. there are just three. but you find other trump counties, republican counties where fetterman overperforms. biden radicals here in the eastern suburbs of pittsburgh. he was the mayor. and so is he is getting here, what's that? almost 30 points. 28 points. joe biden wins it by 20. so a drummer crowding stronghold. you look at the county and it's blue, it's all blue. when you start getting out here, this county is red. it's not like across the street. it suddenly gets blue across the street. this, if you look at the voting precinct, that's where braddock is. john fetterman is closing. in >> that's why it's close. we don't know what's gonna happen. but that's why it's close right now. federer known of course, lieutenant governor in pennsylvania, a known quantity. >> thanks very much. i want to go to kim lie in arizona. kari lake and blake masters. kari lake spoke moments ago. what did she say?

>> just a few moments ago, anderson, she delivered a fiery and really questionable speech to this crowd at this point. she is trying to make a connection between the mistake that we have seen here in maricopa county with some of the polling places, some of the tabulation machines that have had trouble trying to read some of these ballots. she is making that akin to corruption and tying it to the 2020 election lie. i want you to take a brief listen to a portion of what she just said. >> and i want you to know, we are gonna monitor the ballots. we've got to work in the system that we have right now. and as they continue to come in and our numbers go up, up, up like they did last time, when we win, first line of action is to restore honesty to arizona elections. let's underscore that there is

no evidence of dishonesty or corruption in this election so far. there was a mistake with the tabulators. it was corrected. so then she did also, anderson, take a turn to asking the crowd to have patients. that is something that we have heard from many of the campaigns here in arizona. having covered this state a number of times through a number of elections, things can change very quickly. it is obvious, for anyone who has covered this state, that the leader, the winner who, right now, at this moment, because we're just looking at the early ballots, that person may not stay in the lead. so what you are hearing from kari lake is, yes, she's asking for patients. there are a lot of votes out there yet to be counted. it's too early to see who has led in any of these top races. but this connection we have seen is certainly a touchstone or for what may predict what will happen in the next few

days with the lake campaign. anderson? >> appreciated. thank you very much. back with the team here in new york. not a surprise that keri lake would be harking back to 2020 in trying to create some sort of buffer around her by already talking about corruption. >> throughout the race she is proven to be probably the least responsible candid in terms of espousing conspiracy theories, creating a fear that something is going to go wrong in the election process, when very clearly maricopa county put out a statement clearing up the rock the error hours ago. we're all trying to decide what's the theme, what lessons can we learn from the results we've seen so far. i think it's too early to tell. but one thing i did notice is there's a bit of a referendum on election deniers between bolduc losing, mastriano losing. i'm not saying that's the only reason those races were lost. but she may actually find that she doesn't fare as well as she was expected to. voters, i think, are

sophisticated enough to realize they don't want to go through that exercise again. what we saw on january six, what we saw after donald trump lost the election. >> it's interesting, president biden came out days ago talking about, focusing on election lie deniers in january 6th, was criticized for having a message that it was not an economic message. >> when i will say is a lot of people were underestimating democrats. that's the bottom line. mandela barnes, 87%, within two points of winning the senate race. he's too left wing. too crazy. no possible way. there's something out there that we were not able to pick up on. tim ryan put up a heck of the site. and he put on a clinic.

something happened as we get closer. the polls were telling us the polls actually jump-started something out there. >> just remember, when this started, let's press rewind and go back maybe six weeks. six weeks ago it was gonna be close race for the house. maybe even go to the summer. house was gonna be closed, house was artery to republicans. never gonna happen. denver started shifting and it became the republicans are gonna win this wayne, the senate's gonna fall, the house is gonna be gone by 40 votes. that's what you said. >> i'm always like, look, cautiously optimistic here. the narrative was probably, neither of those narratives are true. there there is a true it's gonna be a close race along, way all way. here we are in election like night. >> for almost the entire year there's an anticipation that this was going to be very strong republican year for a whole range of reasons. there was a brief period during

the summer when it look like a category five storm would be a category three storm. but it may not even be a category three storm. getting back to kari lake, she is the sort of warrior queen of election denial. she built her whole campaign around it. she has told reporters consistently she would degree to accept the results of the election. i suspect if she doesn't win, she was laying the predicate there for not accepting the results of the election. but we should point out that half the vote is ian in arizona. most of it was, i think maybe all of it, came in may alone early, vote mail-in vote, favored democrats. the vote that is yet to be counted is the vote that was cast today. it figures to be heavily republican. these races are very much in the air, but it really is outrageous. she really is sort of a more refined version of donald

trump. >> refined? >> well, in terms of your presentation. >> maybe. >> better lighting. better make up. >> but the storyline is the same, which is i winner the election was stolen. there is no third. and i hope that, you are right, that what we saw tonight in some of these other races was a repudiation of that kind of politics. >> will you rolling through governor, you're not voting to say oh, that person's an election denier. you're voting for somebody who has an impact on your everyday life. and kari lake, as far as i can tell, is talking more about the past and denial and donald trump and riding those coattails. for tonight what we have seen so far, those coattails are not so long. so she may have been breaking up the wrong tree here. we don't know the answer to that. mccarthy may have been barking up the wrong t tree, think he

was gonna have a huge majority. if he doesn't have a huge majority tonight, his life is not going to be easy. he's going to have a really uncontrollable caucus, not change the subject him kari lake. that's a whole other interesting storyline. here >> a couple of things that are jumping out to me, you have a country that is very dissatisfied with the government. right track, ron track, off the map. very dissatisfied with inflation. mine is not overwhelmingly popular, but 40 5:46 is -- congress is not popular, and yet, again, a lot of votes. it may be the country sends a relatively similar congress back. maybe a little bit of a shift in the house. possibly very little shift in the senate. it's interesting to me. the other thing that is jumping out is, republicans getting close in a lot of these races but not being able to close the deal. i want to dig into this later, but it must be independent voters. it strikes me that republicans

back republicans, democrats back democrats. the anticipation that republicans were so democrats were so soured on biden they would break republican. it might be even if they broke evenly, that was enough to help democrats just hold off in some of these close races. i don't know, to me, the story about the independent voter, and what they want, is really something to dig into. >> we may have under polled young people. i think there's something happening because i'm hearing from people who are still standing in line on campuses waiting to vote. biden perform for young people when you talk about student loan stuff, marijuana, climate. there is that concern about abortions out there. we miss something. whether the independent voters or the young voters or something out there. but i cenk we're gonna look at tomorrow morning, something is gonna go back more in their direction.

i think everybody is gonna look in the mirror and say i don't think we understand what the american people are going to. this much economic pain should have resulted in a revolt against it. >> back to your remark about young people. there is enormous lines in michigan where the constitutional limitation on abortion on the ballot there. university of michigan i was told today, for our lines to vote. and so it may be that in places in wisconsin, 9% turnout in the county where the university of wisconsin is. that is a place where abortion, i think, is a concern because of the legislature and potentially change of governor. so where it's really in jeopardy or on the ballot, i think young people have been highly motivated. >> coming up, more votes, more projections. as we watch it play out in havana. stay right there. it's right after the break.

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welcome back to election night in america, we have some cnn projections for you for some house races in texas, the 34th congressional district, congressman vicinity gonzalez, defeats mayra florence. dissenting gonzales is the

winner in that race, in texas. in illinois 13th congressional district, democrat nikki buds in ski as flipped an open seat that was gerrymandered to become more blue. she's a former biden ministration official, she will defeat regan during. and then in new jersey's seventh congressional district, republican tomas kaine junior has defeated incumbent congressman tom milano ski. milano ski is the incumbent, -- leader and also son of the former new jersey governor chair of the 9/11 commission, tom kaine. let's take a look at the balance of power right now, 218 seats are needed to control the house of representatives, 165 seats the democrats have to one 60, five including two pick ups. republicans have 190 seats, including seven pick 80 seats remaining right now the state of play when it comes to those competitive seats is 82 competitive seats have been looking at. the entire night, republicans

need to win 21 of them. democrats need to win 40 of them. republicans have an easier task ahead of them. let's look at these other two races right now, that are very interesting as votes are coming in. in colorado, seventh and third congressional district, lauren boebert, the incumbent republican congresswoman of firebrand somewhat say an extremist, is currently losing, she's 8530 votes behind her democratic challenger adam fresh, with more 80% of the vote in. that is a surprising result as of now, it is not the end we're still looking at the votes they're still counting them. and then in new york, in the 17th congressional district, sean maloney, who is in addition to being an incumbent congressman, he is the chairman of the democratic congressional campaign committee. he is losing with 85% of the vote in to michael waller a local state representative. we also have some governors

races for you right now, for sanchez has those. >> jake we have a pair of projections to bring, you both of them democratic holds. first, in the state of new mexico, incumbent democrat, michelle lujan -- the only latino governor in the united states, she defeats former tv weatherman mark -- in new mexico. in the state of connecticut, another democratic win, incumbent democrats need lamont writ winning his rematch against bob stephen how ski. this race decided by -- a much bigger margin this time, securing another four years for ned lamont. let's take a look at some key race alert now for races where democrats are defeating either an election deniers or election questioners. starting with arizona. katie hobbs right now, 172,000 votes ahead of kari lake, 52% of the vote in in arizona. let's get an update now from michigan, gretchen whitmer, the incumbent democrat, 133,000 votes ahead of conservative commentator tutor dixon, 62% of the vote in in mexican. as we take a look at wisconsin,

a very close race there, joe biden won the state by only about 20,000 votes last time, that's roughly the advantage that incumbent democrat tony evers has right now. about 25,000 votes ahead of tim michaels with 83% of the vote in in wisconsin. we also have an update to bring you in the state of kansas, this race very, very close, incumbent democrat laurie kelly, perhaps the most vulnerable incumbent democrat on the entire map. 24,000 votes ahead of derrick schmitt with 86% of the vote in in kansas. and we have a bonus projection to bring you, in the secretary of state race in georgia this guy, became a household name after the 2020 election, brad raffensperger caught on tape as donald trump tried to convince him to find 11,000 votes in the peach state. raffensperger refused, donald trump made him a target, but he wins reelection as the secretary of state. in georgia. let's turn it over to casey -- we've got an update for us on

senate races. >> yes, we're gonna start, as we always have, in that same state which is georgia. raphael warnock is actually ticked into the lead here, but man, look how close this is. 12,631 votes right now. of literally millions. you can see it on the screen. separating warnock from walker, again, both under 50%. the question remains, can someone get to the point where they avoid a runoff? or we look at it four more weeks of this fight that we've seen 94% of the vote in in georgia. let's check it down on pennsylvania, which is turning out to be our other linchpin, john fetterman 49.2%, mehmet oz 48.3%. you heard jake and john king really breaking down where some of the votes are out, near fetterman seems to be outperforming what biden did in some of the rural counties, we're still waiting on those big numbers in counties like philadelphia, 88% of the vote in but this really could be where the senate hinges.

let's take a look at wisconsin. ron johnson sitting at 51.6%, he is doing better than the republicans gubernatorial candidate in mandela barnes is underperforming at the sitting governor tony evers, 51.6% to 41.2% for this race, still very close. but johnson right now doing what he needs to do with 83% of the votes in here. let's check in on arizona, where mark kelly is sitting at 57.2%, pretty comfortable lead over blake masters, who's got 40.5%, tighten a little bit since the last time we took a look at this. we really need to know where we're still waiting on votes to fully understand what this means at this hour of the night. we've got 53% of the vote in in arizona. >> all right casey, wow, lots of votes still out there. john king and i are going to dive into georgia. where 6% of the vote is remaining outstanding, raphael warnock has taken a slight lead at 49.1%, he's 12,000 votes

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>> all right, so here we are, back at the magic wall with john king. he's going to tell us what is going on in georgia right now. neither warnock nor walker is

about 50%. so if it were to stay like this, it would go to a runoff. but let's forget that for now, and just tell me, where is the outstanding vote, and how are they performing? >> we've got 6% still outstanding here. let's just take a look at where it is across the state. again, if you're joining us, or happen to be with us through the night, the larger the circular circle, the bigger the slice of the outstanding voters within that circle. the blue says the democrat is leading in this. area the red says the republican's leading, doesn't mean they'll win, is leading in that area. where are the largest circles? the most of them are atlanta in the several suburbs. and they are by for the largest areas not to be counted. i just want to caution you, look at how many other counties, there are votes out everywhere, but some of these counties it's a very small percentage of vote that is out. you have these counties were herschel walker, it's tiny, less than half of 1% of the population. >> that's in 10,000 votes.

>> if you add a couple hundred here, you had a couple hundred here, so you have to be careful. we need to count them all. in a state this close in this competitive, sometimes you can just say, it is 100,000 votes out here, the margins, we're down. the state is so competitive. you have a lot of republican votes still to be counted. but your eyes don't lie. the biggest proportion of the vote, when we come up here, i moved the map a little bit, is here. we getting into the suburbs, right around atlanta, or most competitive races in statewide elections in america decide in the suburbs. cobb county, 14 point advantage, 15 point advantage for senator warnock. still a good chunk of votes out there. fulton county's atlanta, biggest county in the strait state. suburbs to the north and south. about 10% of state population. again, joe biden won this county by 46. senator warnock is doing better than that. if you add it all up there, you come out, here you start moving out to the suburbs. with that county, 18 by biden win their. usually get 21 right there.

warnock is up forming biden in most of these counties where you still have a large percentage, already some percentage, i should say, indecent chair of the outstanding votes. so you come back in, the only cautionary tale-y, as we have seen this happen before, watching trump races. when these counties start to come in. and again, this is 21 in terms of 159 counties, in terms of population size. but it's an 18-point win there. herschel walker will pick up some votes, which tells you, if i'm sitting in the warnock campaign headquarters, i'm reasonably optimistic, but if we have live through georgia elections, we're gonna count these. and then, again, we will count them to the end. and then we will have to see if whoever is on top and is about 50. december six, if the answer is no. neck and neck. >> let's drive up on i-95. you know where i'm heading. >> you are heading home. >> pennsylvania. we'll bring it up here look. at this one here, 56,735 votes for the democrats. 89%. let's do the same. let's take a look at we still have outstanding votes here.

this, your eyes here don't lie. it's a little more significant. some tiny dots in these tiny rural counties. and their tiny, which means a small percentage of outstanding vote. what do we mean by that? 99% voted here. we have to check the numbers here, potter county, 99%. you see these tiny dots, we're not talking many votes. here >> a speck. >> so where are the bigger circles? they're in allegheny county, where john fetterman is robbing. this is his home county. that is, tomorrow turn for the past midterm, a show lacking for allegheny county. then you come over here to the birthplace of jake tapper, in the suburbs around it, philadelphia, you cross the border there, you told me not to do that. so we'll start here in chester county move our way toward philadelphia. very competitive, right? very competitive county. still a lot of votes out here. the democrat is leading, which is why you see the blue circle. >> how is fetterman doing in

chester county compared to have minded? >> this was 17 points. it's closer. >> much closer. >> oz is running much closer. that's the test. that's why you have to watch it. so then we'll come over here to delaware county, or dehlco, if you can correct me right here. so 35 to 60. >> -- oz, again, is over performing trump. >> it's close to there. closer to the average. there but yes, if he's over performing a little bit. if you want to look at it that way, we can come out here. let's take this away. you raise the question in that time, in that context, so let's look at it that way. let's look at it. here >> where is oz outperforming donald trump in 2020? >> not many places. so minimalism performing donald trump. when this pulls away. >> just chester county. >> just chester county. so if you look at the map and on trump lost pennsylvania, remember. so you're looking at it this way. so you come out in a different way, i'm gonna bring this around.

there is some counties but they're mostly red counties but again, chester county's gonna come back out here. but fetterman is slightly underperforming biden, so that's why we're still counting votes here. bucks county, earlier on, fetterman had a big lead in bucks county. that has shrunk as you count election day votes. biden wins by four point fire. we're right in that ballpark. literally right in the ballpark. if you look at it right there. then you come here to montgomery county, oz had a late campaign event here. biden by 26 point. to write the ballpark when you look at. it but this was it, we still have votes to count in the philadelphia suburbs. we checked chester amid ago. then we come right into the city. philadelphia city, fetterman is running it up, and only 69%. remember, 2020, we had votes here counted all the way into saturday. >> tough to read the tea leaves on either one of these races. we're staying on top of these close senate races in georgia and pennsylvania. we'll go live to both those

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its election night in america, the final polls are about to close in the united states, let's give you a look at what

the balance of power in the u.s. senate is right now. obviously, 100 seats in the u.s. senate. democrats have 46 of them. republicans have 46 of them. there are eight seats remaining. remember, republicans only need to pick up one net democratic seat in order to wrest control of the senate from the democrats so far there not year yet. let's look at the house of representatives now. 135 seats. republicans have 167 of them with two pickups. republicans have 190 of them with seven pickups. 78 seats remain, needed to control 218. republicans need, we'll start with democrats, democrats need to win 38 of the competitive seats. 38 of them, right now, they're leading in 35 of them. republicans need to win, or did bring that up, 21 of them, 21 competitive seats, and are leading in 22 of them. so right now, republicans in

the house are doing what they need to do, but the votes are still coming in. casey hunt, tell us what's going on in the u.s. senate. >> so the question is, who needs to do what they need to do to pick up that one critical seat. the democrats, if you want to make a little change here, and start in pennsylvania. where john fetterman is holding his lead as the votes are rolling in, 49.4 to 48.1%. look at that. we've got nearly 90% of the vote in, in pennsylvania, and of course, if we still got a lot of votes out in philadelphia that's going to be critical, this would make up for republican lost potentially in a state like nevada. and allow us to focus in on georgia, because the senate control could again come down to this race, and if it goes to warnock, if these numbers hold the way they are, we've got four more weeks of questions about. -- raphael warnock the incumbent sitting at 49.2%, herschel

walker at 48.7% as john king was walking us through, democrats are optimistic as warnock maybe able to pull this out based on where the outstanding votes still is. but we have seen this stick below 50% all night, at 95% of the vote in in georgia. all right, let's head now to wisconsin, we'll check in on ron johnson, this race has been holding pretty steady, 50s -- for the incumbent republicans and mandela barnes 49.2%, idiot percent of the vote now in in wisconsin. and finally, let's take a quick look at nevada, so this is a place that the democrats have been worried about all night. early numbers show catherine cortez masto holding at 53.4% for the republican adam laxalt at 53%, but only 44% of the vote has been counted here. and the democrats i've been talking to all evening have been concerned about their performance in clark county. we have to check in and see where the votes are out there. i know you got some critical -- and the governor's race.

>> we're gonna give you an update on the gubernatorial race in nevada, let's first take a look at that state of michigan. gretchen whitmer locked in a tough reelection battle against conservative commentator tutor dixon, right now, she holds about a 6% advantage, hundred 66,000 vote lead with 66% of the vote in in michigan. let's get a look now at the state of arizona, the secretary of state there katie hobbs, 166,000 votes ahead of former tv anchor and election denier, kari lake. 54% of the vote in arizona. let's take a look at that nevada governors race now, because steve cisa lick, the incumbent democrat, facing some strong economic headwinds. inflation is disproportionately affecting people in nevada, compared to other states. he is currently leading the sheriff of clark county, by about 43,000 votes. with 40% of the vote in their. we have an update for you, a key race from wisconsin as well, incumbent democrat, tony evers, last time we checked in his

league was about 25,000 votes. now it's about 73,000 votes over tim michaels with 88% of the vote in in wisconsin. and it is changed again. that lead thinning by about 2000 votes. let's get an update for you from perhaps the weirdest governors race you're gonna see tonight. in the state of oregon. this is a three-way race between these three women, tina kotek, -- and former democrat turned independent, ben see johnson, who could play spoiler for the democrats tonight, opening the door for training to become the first republican in 40 years to become governor of oregon. but right now, coaches in the league by about 13,000 votes with 60% of the vote in, as we send it back to jake tapper only one percentage point difference in that race, jake. >> thanks so much, force, we appreciate it. kate baldwin is in pennsylvania in newtown specifically outside of phillies, she's at the headquarters of republican senate candidate dr. mehmet on. first of all, kate, that is not exactly the site of a jubilant

celebration. it looks like a high school dance, just past minute. and i'm wondering what you're hearing from the office folks. >> yeah, i will tell you that exactly was gonna tell you, this party, for all intents and purposes for tonight, is completely shut down. but i will say noteworthy about 90 minutes ago, adolescent 30, mehmet oz came out to speak to his supporters to thank supporters for being here. and here are two key lines, he was projecting confidence in that moment saying when all the vote ballots are counted, we believe we will win this race. he did acknowledge that it was -- he expected to be a very long night still ahead. saying we've been closing the gap all night, and we have a lot more ballots to go. also, talking about hitting on what really worries we've talked about throughout the evening, his final closing argument with the campaign, -- was his best closing message that he thought was really having an impact, talking about bringing ballots to washington,

uniting, not dividing. those were the remarks that mehmet oz presented to his supporters in this room about 90 minutes ago. and as of now, this party is shut down. >> yeah, i mean it's a powerful message, except a few days later, he of course, went in appeared with doug mastriano and donald trump. not exactly uniting, not dividing. this is an image right now, there's you kate and there's me. we are watching cnn at fetterman headquarters in pittsburgh pennsylvania. that is quite a different image then the image we just saw of the empty gymnasium at oz headquarters. [applause] >> okay, we've got some weird echoes going on right now, let tape to land the signal there little behind picking it up.

so you don't hear what i'm saying. >> i know we're gonna do -- >> come on over. >> you want to pennsylvania? >> we can do whatever you want to do, i would look at the governor's race. >> what a stark difference between the abandoned newtown high school in pennsylvania where the office headquarters is and the jubilant rally at fetterman headquarters, when, you know, votes are still being counted. what's going on in pennsylvania right now? >> let's bring it up right here right now. that's the fetterman had campaign headquarters, 65,957 votes in a big commonwealth like pennsylvania, you say that a narrow margin. if you look at recent elections there, you look at that you say okay, how we doing? so they're out here. the campaign headquarters, excuse me one second, little dry throughout their. look at this. this is just joe biden wins allegheny county by 20 points. john fetterman outperforming him. >> 28 points.

>> 28 points in the second largest population center in the state. win big where the people are, that helps you, john fetterman's doing it right there in allegheny county. then you move to the east, philadelphia bring up philadelphia, again, running it up. 7%. this is important. remember the presidential election where we are counting votes thursday into friday into saturday? we finally called it. joe biden had a big lead like that for those most account. there's no guarantee they come in, and 80 to 17, but if they keep coming in disproportionately that way, it's the largest area by four, 12% 12 and a half percent of the population, that is good news for fetterman. >> there's no guarantee they're gonna come in at 80 point -- but they're likely gonna come in at something like this? >> i kept saying this to be careful for three days during the 2020 count, they came in exactly like this. >> the 69% not 1%, it's probably like this, in the margin, 63.5, is pretty much

exactly like what this margin is. this barge is what biden over trump. >> fetterman is tracking biden in the most critical areas of the state. again, you come out you come to montgomery county first, 26 for biden, you're right in the same ballpark. >> exactly the same. >> you see the narrow fetterman lead, like the biden lead, bucks county this is the one they wanted to make a lot more competitive, and it is. this is the most competitive of the counties. it's 5% of the state population. 4.4 for biden. >> it's about 4.4. fetterman is matching it, at this point, at the snapshot of this moment of time, fetterman is matching what biden did in this very important democratic area, capital d democratic, of pennsylvania. >> voters are seeing oz at least more voters are seeing oz as acceptable to them, if you look at it that way. then he did look at the gubernatorial candidate, josh shapiro, mastriano is not coming close to ours and many of these places. and we've talked earlier

tonight about the issues, and the profile of dogma streak on, you see that happening. another conversation about being rejected. you watch this one play out. close elections are decided here, democrats need to boost out there. fetterman's getting the boost he needs out there. and he's getting good margins here. i just want to come to northampton county right here. this is i go back to my swing counties, normally the person who wins northampton county carries the commonwealth. donald trump carried narrowly, won the presidency, biden flipped it when the commonwealth. at the moment, john fetterman waiting what pennsylvanians will tell you, pretty critical swing county right there. doesn't guarantee it, doesn't guarantee, but again, look at a close election, and its state right there, so what you do now is you have kate out there, we have other people out there who will check in to see where they're gonna keep counting throughout the night, where meghan after come back at this in the morning. i'm not saying they're done, if you want to bed right now, and your john fetterman, and you look at where the live

outstanding votes are, let me flip it, if you understand why the oz party is quiet -- >> why the odds parties nonexistent. the size of the circles is the share of the outstanding vote, the color tells you who's leading in that area. >> is it philly in delaware county? is delaware county, how many votes are outstanding in delaware county? >> delco. >> we're out here, we're out here in chester, and we come into delco. >> that's what i'm saying. >> they only have 37% recording, and this is going to be a district that fetterman takes by at least 25 points. >> 27 point district for biden when you round up. >> i'm just saying, this is a ton of fetterman votes in the county. >> yes. barring some huge surprise, right? there's never guarantee. but to your point about philadelphia, we saw this happen in 2020, they came in within a point or two as they continue to flow in, and then you come up, you know, or pretty close in montgomery county, where fetterman's running hot. there's a smaller share still out in bucks county is up to

93%. just to reiterate your point, oz is competitive here. even though it's blue, fetterman's blue. -- he'll get some votes here because he's competitive. fetterman's running way ahead here but there's not that many votes to come in. but then you come over here, circle gets bigger, and a place, this is more competitive, chester county. but as jake just noted in delaware county, right here, a larger share of the votes out in a much bigger lead for john fetterman, which is why, if you're looking at this, here's where you are in the race, 65,000 votes, 66,000 votes ahead as you come up, jake, let's go back to. >> that's right, john, because cnn has a major projection, cnn projects that lieutenant governor john fetterman will be the next u.s. senator from the commonwealth of pennsylvania. this is a pick up, retiring senator pat toomey's republican, and the democrats are now taking that senate seat back. again, cnn is projecting that

john fetterman will be the next u.s. senator from the commonwealth of pennsylvania. and look, we're gonna watch as the people in fetterman headquarters get that news. in one second. in any case, to bring us up to speed in the balance of power, 100 senate seats, democrats have 47 of them. including one pick up, republicans have 46 of them, seven seats remain, republicans need to pick up one net democratic seat, right now, they're not there. and democrats just picked up one republican seat. dana batch. >> absolutely. huge, huge news. huge development. as jake said, a pick up in pennsylvania. but also a kind of moral victory for democrats on a national level. because this was where they -- where president biden basically was there so much. oh. there you go. [applause] look at how excited

the people at fetterman headquarters are. as they not only understand that their candidate won, against some pretty big gods, but they're enjoying seeing it being projected on cnn. you know one guy can a can of my head as -- we saw those exit polls in pennsylvania. that basically said that voters had fetterman's health as an issue a watch, and on the question of, has oz lived long enough in the state to represent them effectively? 55% said no, to me, i think that was the first sign that we had tonight that something was going to be happening in pennsylvania. republicans thought this race was over after that debate. they thought that it had disqualified fetterman and the voters tonight said something totally different they were wrong. i think this was a personal judgment and yes obviously john

fetterman had a stroke and he still chose the effects of it. but voters were saying, we trust this guy, we think that he's there for us. and they just didn't feel that about mehmet oz. they thought he was, you know, a guy who came in who try to pick up a seat across the state line. and that he wasn't there for them. i think it was a personal endorsement of their faith in fetterman, and really, kind of a personal projection of mehmet oz. >> i should also say, what they're seeing in fetterman headquarters is a delay of cnn. which is why you're seeing us kind of twice, we are expecting john fetterman to come out soon, we talked earlier in the night about how this has been a race of two very strong, very distinct personalities. and it's certainly a national race, but also about these two men, like you are both talking about, i think we also need to note this is very much a proxy battle, and has been between joe biden and donald trump.

and this one, joe biden won. he was there so many times, and the only reason mehmet oz's and was the nominee, for the republicans, is because of donald trump. >> joe biden is a native son of pennsylvania, and really leaned into that hard, but what made this impossible, frankly, for mehmet oz at the end, -- >> here he is, he's coming out. >> what made it impossible for us was that he was trying to sell two different messages. appearing with trump, will also -- >> who had listening. >> whoa. [applause] [applause] >>

[applause] >> i'm not really sure what to say right now, my goodness. i am yeah. [applause] >> yeah. yeah, i mean. so, i am, i am so humbled, thank you so much, really. thank you. what is it, it's like 1:30 in the morning you're still here hanging in? [applause] we launched this

campaign almost two years ago. and we had our slogan, it's on every one of those signs right now. every county, every vote. every county, every vote. and that's exactly what happened, we jammed them up. we held the line. i never expected that we were going to turn these red counties blue. but we did what we needed to do. and we had the conversation across every one of those counties. and tonight, that's why i will be the next u.s. senator from pennsylvania. [applause] thanks to all of

you. all of you. thank you, thank you so much. they made me so grateful so now. i want to thank, all the supporters. all across pennsylvania, all in this room, all across the nation. everyone that shipped in ten bucks. tell pose get here. thank you. >> we believe in you. [applause] >> and also, i really want to thank my family. [applause] my mother, my

brother greg. whereas gisele? gisele, who six months ago, she saved my life. walking out of a bathroom, she recognize what was happening. and also my children, coral, grace, august. [applause] everyone, thank you. i also want to thank my team, as well, the best team. so many names, brendan, my campaign manager. [applause] rebecca.

bobby. joe. jason, everyone, my whole team. so many people made this possible. and also, thank all of the supporters also. i'm just so proud of the race that we ran. this campaign has always been about fighting for everyone who's ever been got knocked down, that ever got back up. [applause] this race is for the future of every community all across pennsylvania. for every small town, or person never felt left behind, for every job that was ever been lost, for every factory that was never closed, for every

person that worked hard but never got ahead. i'm proud of what we ran on. protecting a woman's right to choose. [applause] raising our minimum wage. [applause] fighting the union way of life. [applause] health care as a fundamental human right. it's saved by life and should all be there for you when you ever should need it. [applause] standing up to corporate greed. [applause] making more things right here in america and right here in pennsylvania. [applause] and standing up for our democracy. [applause] 20 years ago, i came to braddock to start agility program.

-- >> you are listening to john fetterman giving his victory speech in pennsylvania, a remarkable turn of events in a very closely watched and vitally important race to democrats, in this election. [laughs] david, urban son of pennsylvania. >> it's incredibly hard for me to watch, this is the pat toomey seat before that was my former boss -- who held so poorly for so many years. it's a big loss for pennsylvanians, for republicans in pennsylvania. listen, i wish john fetterman the best. he won tonight, he's gonna do a great job for all pennsylvanians all 12 million, i congratulation and good luck. it's a big blow for republicans. republicanism in the state of pennsylvania. and this is a loss, which i think it's gonna reverberate across the united states -- >> mehmet oz was handpicked by donald trump. >> in my good friend dave

mccord fix i would've supported dr. oz's opponents race who would've been a far stronger candidate in this race, probably up there giving a speech tonight. instead of john fetterman. a lot of people are gonna ask questions about, can you lay -- this loss at the feet of the former president? people gonna ask that tomorrow in the day after, and the day after in pennsylvania. >> you lost a governor, a governor's mansion in pence senate race in pennsylvania tonight. i know republicans across the commonwealth are pretty upset right now. >> this is a bad night for him. for donald trump. >> before we bury donald trump, i think we should praise john fetterman. because it is very hard to do what he did. in that this guy was almost, he was a death's door. he had a serious stroke. he might have been here tonight alive at all, and he decided to get in there and to fight for it. and i thought it was a terrible idea for him to do that today. but that's the kind of guy that he is, he didn't want to back

down from that challenge. and i criticized him and others criticized him. but people saw some heart in him, in some guts in him that they wouldn't cnn themselves. i think before we turn to political, what a triumph for a human being to do what he did. >> by argument is with john fetterman's health over's personality is just his policies. >> that's exactly would dr. oz should've said in that debate, rather than cruelly making fun of fetterman in that debate. i think when i watched that debate, clearly fetterman struggled, and so yeah, you ask yourself how is this going to affect the race? but there is a fundamental humanity to the guy, and there was a kind of cruelty to dr. oz that i think in some ways he was as revealed by that debate as fetterman was. but i must say, just in terms of global implications of this,

this was the seat democrats had to have. this is the insurance policy, we don't know they're counting votes in nevada right now, that could go either way. they're counting votes in georgia right now, that could go either way. obviously, if republicans were to win both, they would take. -- >> and republican seat in pennsylvania. -- >> gonna go to boris sanchez for our production. >> yeah, anderson, an important projection to bringing from the state of wisconsin in that governor's race, this state was decided by only about 20,000 votes in the last presidential election. as it stands right now, tony versus the incumbent democrat, excuse me, has tripled that total. he stands to win reelection in the state of wisconsin, defeating republican tim michaels. we also saw a key race towards the beginning with the state of arizona. there, secretary of state katie hobbs is leading the unrepentant election denier, kari lake, 164,000 votes with 54% of the vote in the state of

arizona. let's take a look at nevada now, steve cisa lick a, very vulnerable democratic incumbent, right now he stands 43,000 votes ahead of the sheriff of clark county, -- 44% of the vote in in the state of nevada. let's get another look at michigan, gretchen whitmer, has steadily been building this league every time we checked in on this race, she now stands 187,000 votes ahead, of conservative commentator tutor dixon. -- 71% of the voting in the state of michigan. we take a look at the state of kansas, this is perhaps the reddest state in which a democrat, a gubernatorial candidate was running for reelection, laura kelly 42,000 votes ahead -- the 2020 election. 87% of the vote in in kansas. let's send it over to jake tapper and john king right now. >> thanks so much, boris, we're taking a look at the balance of power in the u.s. senate, because right now, 50 democrats are leading, including one pick up republican seat, john fetterman, lieutenant governor

is about to become the u.s. senator from the commonwealth of pennsylvania which used to be -- 49 republicans in the league, zero pickups and democratic seats. so i guess the big questions we have right now are georgia, and nevada. is that right? we're still looking at arizona, but if you just want to do the math where we start the day, georgia, arizona and nevada. >> it was 50/50 when we started the day, the vice president breaks the tie. which makes that so huge. so now that 51, essentially, if you start, looking at the map right now. so the democrats can afford to lose one of their is if you will now. and still have a 50/50 senate. i'm not saying they're going to do that, but i'm just saying, now you have, now you could lose one of the ones you still have. this one, senator warnock still ahead we stopped at 95%. welcome to georgia, 20,990 votes. incredibly close here. as we watch this one come out. and at the moment, this would be a runoff, no matter who

heads up on tough utah 50% plus one vote to get the majority tonight. we'll watch that one plays out. but democrats at the moment leading in georgia. let's take a look at wisconsin, still outstanding here, 88% of the vote, this one here i was just asking because we know the republican candidate for governor's conceded, governor evs conceded the race. the democratic governor is winning this race. a very close race. but 72,000 votes, -- >> we just projected. that viewers will win. so you see, senator johnson has the lead here. think about the swing. the democratic governor in a very competitive state, leading by 72,694 votes. that's a democratic governor. and then you come to your republican incumbent senator with a smaller lead but in the league. that tells you a lot of ticket splitting happening across the state of wisconsin tonight. can mandela barnes make up the difference is the question? so you look at the big democratic bases, 77%, so there still a lot of votes to come in in milwaukee, and you see it's

a pretty good range there. are there enough votes out to get their? the math gets dicey, but if you look at that and say, you want to see that number up get up to 85? closer to 90%. before you make any calls, just want to check the other big area, democratic here in the state is here, dane county, madison college area. 93% there. some vote still to come in, but a smaller pool of votes there. >> mandela barnes by the way outperforming biden. >> mandela barnes running a strong race as it's ron johnson a very competitive state. you're looking here now at the moment, republicans holding wisconsin, we'll see if it stands up. republicans held ohio, you can tell north carolina among the competitive seats, so here we go. this one, republican said they're gonna amount a big challenge to michael bennet, they did not. not even close. >> actually, let me come back to this. this is important in the governor's race as well. and we're watching if we can come back to the house map. there's interesting dynamic possibly at play there. one of the big questions was, because of inflation, in gas prices are higher, as you go

west in the united states. because of inflation, because of gas prices, with the suburbs and the crime issue, the suburbs are gonna come back to the republicans because they're mad and frustrated with democratic governors. look at michael bennet did. in the denver suburbs. 61%, adams county, 57%. you come into denver county, 79%. you move over to jefferson county, 60%. michael bennett and governor police as well as you switch it to the governor's race, did even better here. so you have a country that is unquestionably thinks two thirds of americans want a recession. two thirds were on the wrong track. we we know they're mad about inflation. they clearly don't trust republicans. you're just seeing in some of these states where you think that could a democrat beat or that race be more competitive? not so far. you come over to the arizona governor's race, boris was talking about this, kari lake already tonight in irresponsibly raising questions of shenanigans, they're still counting votes.

54% in, but here at the senate map, mark kelly running even stronger than katie hobbs, 57%. a long way to go here. but again, 75% of the vote in arizona is in maricopa, and pima county. and in the count so far, mark kelly running helpfully ahead here. this is a democratic plus two for joe biden. you see there. but it's early. and most likely, that's disproportionally early votes. and then pima county, again, this is plus 18 for the democrats, mark kelly running way ahead of that. but we need to see a lot more votes before we can make a judgment about that. >> let's go to nevada, because nevada was one of the states where republicans thought they had the best chance of picking off an incumbent democratic senator. she was the democrats can see, catherine cortez masto, the most vulnerable democratic senator with a 44% of the estimated vote, and i was just texting with somebody out of nevada get to that no second. she is leading at the moment, look, this is what matters most, right here.

clark county is 74% of the state population. she is leading there right now, joe biden won clark county by nine points she is a little bit ahead of that. she's got 13 points there. at 64%, and then if you come out here, watch up here in the northwest corner. is another 15% of the population. so, we have no votes in here. and this tends to be -- if you're looking at the senate map right now, again, can republicans still get to 50? yes they can. is the mat a of a lot harder, because the democrats have flipped that, oh yes it is. >> yeah. i love to see what happens, we're still waiting for more votes to come in in arizona and nevada and of course, we're waiting for more votes to come in from georgia. and we're hearing the democratic senator reverend raphael warnock may speak in georgia, imminently about his close race. house republican leader kevin mccarthy also might come out, stay with us. we'll let you know what they say, be right back. say, be right back. you should be doing something else. you take the lead on this. you're less intimidating. you don't find me intimidating? no. it's a height thing.

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we can now make a projection in the senate race in utah, cnn is projecting that incumbent republican senator mike lee will be reelected by the good citizens of utah, he defeats independent candidate evan mcmullin. let's take a look at the balance of power in the senate right now. 100 seats. 47 of them belong to the democrats, including one to pick up in pennsylvania. 47 of them belong to republicans, there are six seats remaining. republicans need to win to net

democratic seats. in order to win control of the u.s. senate. we've got governor races for you to talk about now as well, for sanchez that. >> jake, a big projection for cnn, we are projecting that gretchen whitmer, incumbent democrat in the state of michigan will win reelection. she made abortion rights the centerpiece of her campaign. she followed a lawsuit to stop in 1931 abortion ban that took effect after the supreme court overturned roe v. wade in the dobbs decision. she also introduced legislation in that state to expand and protect abortion access, it pays off for her as she defeats tutor dixon, a trump endorsed election denier. >> boris sanchez, thank so much, we can make projections that in three states have ballot measures on abortion. californians have voted yes on establishing a state constitutional right to an abortion. voters in michigan have approved a similar ballot measure, saying yes to abortion

rights. the trend is holding in vermont, another yes vote to ensure the right to an abortion. take a look at kentucky. the measure that would amend the state constitution to explicitly take state that there is no kentucky constitutional right to an abortion, that is trailing as of right now. database. >> so fascinating, thank you so much, jake. let's talk for a second about these abortion referendums. because we saw what happened over the summer with kansas, democrat saw that as a big greenlight, saying that this is what is going to get our voters to the polls. we have to sift through everything, but if you just look at michigan and the fact that gretchen whitmer the incumbent democrat, who are projecting is winning. and prop three, the referendum, also is winning which is pretty broad when it comes to abortion rights. >> yeah, i don't know that it's

particularly surprise that voters in blue states like california and michigan and vermont would vote to have a constitutional right to an abortion. but the canary in the coal mine was what was happening in kansas. a red, solid conservative state, and overwhelmingly they voted not to take away abortion rights in the constitution. so, this clearly wasn't animating issue. and it was the best issue for democrats all summer, there was some thought that it might have faded as we got further away from the dobbs decision. but if you look at the results tonight, people who are pro choice, pro keeping right for abortion one in state after state, and of course you see the initiatives they won as well. >> i agree with all of that, although i would say, i would characterize michigan as a clear battleground state which it's been for a while. which is what made i think gretchen whitmer's race is so important for democrats. the abortion issue has actually

been pretty clear in this country. voters largely do not want absolute bans on abortion. they don't necessarily support draconian bans on abortion. they are somewhere in the middle, and when you see these ballot and issued of, either trying to establish broadband on abortion, they are not necessarily succeeding. and where they have been put on the ballot to codify abortion rights, even in blue states, but also in some red states, those have gone through. i think voters in the united states are making their voices heard on this issue. >> we're gonna go to jail for a projection. >> thanks dana, that's right, cnn has a projection for you right now, cnn projects that senator brian shots of hawaii, the democrat, will be reelected. defeating republican bob mcdermott. let's bring the balance of power on that right now. because we've just added a seat to the democrats, democrats is 100 seats in the u.s. senate, democrats have 48 of them

including a pick up in a republican seat that's pennsylvania. republicans have 47, in order for republicans to wrest control of the u.s. senate from the democrats, they now need to have do net democratic seats. to nip democratic seats. casey, we go to you with more on the battle for the senate. >> jake, we can walk through what the possibilities are four republicans right now, and what they aren't. let's start in georgia were raphael warnock is still barely ahead of herschel walker, the republican. so this is one where, again, if this holds, we're looking at four more weeks of fighting, this could of course, go either way under those kinds of circumstances. it could all come down to the race here depending on what happens on the rest of the map. 96% of the vote in their. and let's look at what else is out. wisconsin, ron johnson, the incumbent sitting at 50.7. this has been pretty steady as the vote continue to roll in. this margin is about the same.

mandela barnes at 49.1%. we obviously have called the wisconsin governor's race for the democrats, but ron johnson is on a different path right now with 80% of the vote in their. let's check in on nevada, where democrats have been pessimistic or at least they were the beginning of the night, but obviously, their optimism has increased. as results have rolled into the evening. catherine cortez masto currently at 53.3% to the republican adam laxalt 44%. we have 53% of the vote in here in about a lot of questions about whether it's mail or how that's all coming in, got to go to john king and david -- for some of those answers. let's check in on arizona where mark kelly sitting comfortably ahead of the republican blake masters at 57.2%. to blake masters 40.5%, if this kind of lead can hold, democrats can hold their, we're looking at that trio of races, nevada and georgia perhaps wisconsin.

as this night it's later in, later jake. >> casey, we're tracking the senate races that are still undecided including those nail-biter's in georgia and wisconsin. the battle for control of the u.s. senate still too early to call, our coverage continues after this. ... by friday. now let's head over to the tower cam for a - hey! folks, we seem to have a visitor. it looks like - looks like you paid too much for your glasses. ... who? anyone who isn't shopping at america's best - where two pairs and a free exam start at just $79.95. it's a quality exam worth $59.

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welcome back to cnn's election night in america, i want to

bring you back up to speed on those competitive house races. on which hinges all democrat and republican hopes to control the u.s. house. republicans need to win 21 of the outstanding competitive seats that we have decided are still too early to call. of those 21, republicans must leading in 24. they are exceeding what they need to do in order to control the house. of the senate seats, of story, of the democratic seats, democrats need to win 38 of the outstanding competitive seats. 38 of them and their leading in 34 of them. meaning, that right now, based on the numbers, that we have available, at this moment, we believe that republicans are still on their way to achieving what they need to achieve in the 82 outstanding competitive house districts. john? >> clear favorites, republicans even now as we approach 2 am, are clear favorites to win the

house majority. but, and it's a big but, they're still upon small possibility, modest possibility, modest possibility that democrats can hold a majority, do you think we'd be having that conversation? >> at 2:00 in the morning. and if republicans do win the majority now because we're getting fewer and fewer races still on the board, it's likely to be a more narrow majority. here's another way to look at. it usually about the smartest, we'll get there. this is where we stand right now, leading the vote, these are not called voice races this is leading the vote. if this were over right now, republicans would have a three seat majority in the house of representatives. it's not over. but just think about the narrow rows we're talking about now. you mentioned early in the net kevin mccarthy early in the air said 60 seats. some republicans in the last week have been saying 30 seats. we are not. we are not in that ballpark. 219, leading right now. in terms of called races, 193 to hundred 69, so republicans clearly are getting close, it's to 18 in terms of the called

races, they're getting close. this what you were just talking about here. in the races that are still uncalled in the democrats leading in more of the competitive seats, you would say that's good for the democrats. it is good for the democrats. it's not good enough to prevent a house majority. we're not done yet. but as we stand right now, it looks like the republicans are in a path to getting a narrow majority. as one step back again and just look at this map. that's not a red wave. that's nothing like a red wave. that could end up being enough for republicans to get a small house majority. maybe a modest house majority depending on how you define it. but that is a very competitive map in which a lot of democrats in frontline districts tracked scratched and clawed their way to victory. that includes, we talked earlier tonight, in the commonwealth of pennsylvania of virginia, a runoff here with these races off the board. that's uncalled limit commander there. and then you look. democrats won two of the three, they won this one here, and more democratic district. they should've won. but if there are a red wave, that would be read.

it was not. if there were a big red ripple, go next one down story, limit come over here. even a big red ripple this would be red, it is not. and so the frontline democrats scratched and clawed, not just in virginia, you come out to ohio. you see all this blue? they picked up a seat. this is a pick up. that was a republican incumbent that will now be a new democratic congressman. so on a night when democrats were supposed to lose a lot, you like to pick up some to offset that, there's one right there. in cincinnati, even though the republican governor one big, even though the republican -- marcy cap -- veteran democrat, scratching it out against a january 6th participant who lied about military service, good candidate beat a bad candidate. here in ohio. just come back, keep going through these races. let's go to colorado right now. the democratic governor wins big, the democratic senator, republican senator said their give give him the race of a lifetime, they did not. the house races right out here.

this is lauren boebert, many have heard of her, a more controversial pro trump member of the house republican conference. only 83%. there's room to catch up. but it's supposed to be the democrats on their heels, and here you have a republican incumbent. >> just for people to understand, this is a district that is our plus eight. our plus eight, and right now, she still might pull it out, but the fact that it's so competitive says that there's something going on here. that certainly kevin mccarthy, who by the way we expect to come at any moment. kevin mccarthy did not see coming at all. >> right, in publican consultants more who work with the you looking at this, room lauren boebert has. she may still pull this out. but the conversation, sarcastic conversation among republicans right now is if you're gonna have a five or 60 majority. would you rather have five not her. she's one of the agitators. the members of the freedom

caucus, and kevin mccarthy has a very narrow majority, but are gonna be on the phone with donald trump all the, time when you want to tell him to do? and so, that's the calculation, mccarthy with a ten, 15 seat majority has elise, has some room, has a maneuver. mccarthy with a very small majority like, that will be very interesting washington, especially if you take this not a final number, but this is trending toward, it looks like, it looks like they're still a possibility that they can keep the majority. it looks like republicans gonna relatively narrow majority, and then you come here and you're looking at a map where mitch mcconnell right now, if he has gone to bed, is having one more fine kentucky bourbon, because once again, he has looked at a muffin said, i have a chance to be the majority leader, and it's still possible? but that's not. mitch mcconnell is saying that donald trump pushed nominees in states that we could've won, and those nominees whether john fetterman mehmet oz or others,

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i have, rewind on lemon here. this is cnn's continuing coverage of election night in america. let me know where you, are could be elect morning as well. control of congress is up for grabs and we have nail biters and key races that could determine the balance of power in the senate and the house before we get all that we want to go the house minority leader speaking now washington d.c., the kevin mccarthy. let's go. >> i want to thank the millions of supporters across this country. you know, two years ago when i became leader, republicans had left then 200 seats in the house. that is cycle we picked up 14 seats. when every single person said that would be impossible. if you believe in freedom, hard work, and the american dream these results proved that there is a place for you in the republican party.

now tonight, we built upon those gains two years ago and it is clear that we are going to take the house back. in new york we defeated the democrat campaign chairman. [applause] sean patrick maloney, which will be the first time in over 40 years that a dccc chair lost his reelection. [applause] not only that, but on long island, anthony won a seat that joe biden carried by 17 points. [applause] we are on the verge of a historic gains in new york,