headquarters, you've got to keep what you expect to keep. the challenge is as we get into the next hour, we bring up these competitive races. virginia closes at the top of the hour. just in the commonwealth of virginia you have these democratic incumbents in the northern virginia suburbs it's jennifer wexton. central part of the state, still suburban, abigail spanberger. considered the most vulnerable of these three, elaine luria. what happens in virginia as we start to count those house races? did democrats keep all three? that's going to tell us a lot about republicans need a net gain of five, polls close in virginia, that is a big early clue. >> all right, john, thanks so much. we are just moments away from the first big round of poll closings, and the first actual results from the critical battleground state of georgia. the senate race there among a handful of contests that will decide which party controls the chamber. and we are ready to make our

first projection. cnn is projecting that incumbent republican senator tim scott will be re-elected, defeating crystal matthews. there are four senate races that are too early right now, too early to call. those races are, not surprisingly, the big senate race in georgia between incumbent democrat raphael warnock and football star herschel walker. too early to call. also too early to call, races in vermont. there is an open senate seat between congressman peter welsh and the challenger malloy. too early to call in vermont. too early to call in indiana, incumbent senator todd young running for re-election that. race too early to call. and then kentucky incumbent senator rand paul, too early to call right now. he is running for re-election. let's look at the balance of power in the senate at this hour right now. remember, democrats have 36 senate seats. republicans currently have 30

seats. 34 seats remain. and we'll be bringing those to you over the next few hours. 34 seats. republicans only need to pick up one seat to win and regain control of the u.s. senate. let's go back to georgia now because nick valencia is at a voting location in atlanta, georgia, the biggest city there. you have new information from the secretary of state's office. >> reporter: that's right. i want to start, they just closed up shop here. it's 7:00 p.m. the polls officially closed in georgia for most of the precincts here where we are in fulton county, they just started to take away those "vote here" placards. it is quiet here. so quiet you can really hear the hum of the street lights. i have of a registered 3,005 voters, 361 cast their votes in person. i did ask the election

supervisor how many of those registered voters perhaps voted early. she said she didn't have that information. but we'd find in just a matter of how manies. there's 2,600 polling locations across the state of georgia. six of them have been ordered by the courts to stay open past that 7:00 p.m. deadline. two of them in cobb county. another two in dekalb county. secretary of state's office also making some news earlier at a press conference saying that we should get results earlier than expected, crediting a reform senate voting bill that gave more clarity to county elections officials as to when they could start counting. >> thank you so much. and the first actual votes are coming in from georgia. they are highly contested. what are you seeing? >> we are finally starting to get some votes in this race that we have been talking about literally for months. raphael warnock out to an early lead, 75% of the vote. he's ahead by about 15,000 votes of herschel walker right now who's coming in at 24.1%. obviously we're going to need to

ask john king exactly where this vote is coming from. just 1% of the vote in here. chase oliver, that libertarian candidate, he could be the one that decides whether this race goes to a runoff. because if he picks up enough and neither one of these men is above 50, we could be looking at four more weeks of this. let's check in on florida where we are also starting to get votes. remember, florida counts pretty early. val demings 63.5% to marco rubio's 35.7%. we're going to want to know where the votes are coming in here. just 5% of the votes, i think you've got up some dates on the governor's race. >> we're going to take a quick look at georgia to start right now. stacey abrams has a lead over incumbent republican brian kemp. abrams leading by about 13,000 votes. a lop-sided advantage. only 1% of the vote in the

state, a very important state for control of the u.s. senate. a key race alert from the state of florida because charlie crist, the democrat also in the lead against incumbent republican ron desantis. only 5% of the vote so far in the sunshine state. >> these are just the votes coming in right now. let's find out where they're coming from to give us an idea of the state of play and also why these races look so lopsided right now. so let's start, john, wherever you want to start, georgia or florida. where is this vote coming in? >> we are just getting started. you're looking at this map. if you're a democrat you're very happy. if you're a republican, just wait, it's going to take a while. why is charlie crist ahead? because the only votes we have from florida are from heavily democratic broward county. miami-dade is just to the south, traditionally a big republican area.

miami-dade is also part of a theme we'll be following this night is how much are republicans improving their margins when it comes to the latino vote? >> absolutely. and it's a different latino population in florida than it is in arizona or nevada. that will be a dynamic throughout the night, throughout the week. in the months after analyzing the election and what happened tonight. the reason charlie crist is ahead right now is because of broward county. you could say on the one hand just calm down. on the other hand, if charlie crist is to be competitive, he needs to run it up if broward county. when you see these early results, if you come back to the presidential race in 2020, donald trump won the state. but joe biden got 65% in broward county. even if charlie crist is getting

65% here, donald trump won florida quite handily. >> we should note that right now on these early numbers, biden is almost at 65%. crist is at 62%. it's early, but that's an underperformance as of now. and those margins matter. >> if charlie crist stays there in broward county, joe biden was higher and he lost the state of florida. it's a big county, it's about 9% of the state population. so that's the governor's race. let's just stay in the senate race because it's the same result essentially. i'll go back to the governor's race in just a moment. come back to broward county, running at 63, 64%. that's great. is it good enough? that's the question as you move in. we're finally getting some votes here. this is interesting in terms of by the end of the night. this is 62% of the estimated vote in pinellas county. i would caution, sometimes you get the mail-in ballots.

this could be a potential swing county. pretty close. >> 62%. how did biden do in 2020? >> we hit presidential and biden gets 50. that's a 50/50. this is one of your swing counties in america where you go through it's the sixth largest in the state, it's 5% of the population. it's a tie essentially. biden won by just a little bit here. let's come back to 2022. again, it's interesting to see the early votes. and it helps you build your questions essentially if you do what i do for a living. i don't want you to jump to any conclusions. this is the wonder of election night is as we're talking you get more. so you come up here. let me come back to the senate race. you see, again, this is a place where the democrats have to win. but if you come out statewide and look, we got a long way to go. val demings is ahead early on. senator rubio is favored in this race. this is one of those race where's she was viewed as the

most house member, former law enforcement official, viewed as the most competitive democrat they could do in a state that is a republican state. >> let's go to georgia. >> we see the senate race here. again, raphael warnock pulling out to an early lead. you'd always rather be ahead than behind. but look at how empty. we do have some early votes in fulton county. up 75% in fulton county. >> and that's a lot of the vote. that's 63% in this huge bucket of votes. can i ask, how is raphael warnock compared to stacey abrams who's running for governor on the very same ballot? >> this is a fundamental question. in atlanta where it's the largest population, 10% of the statewide vote. you have a significant african american population so a democratic base. raphael warnock, remember the raw numbers too. 209,000. and then you come over, 75, and 209. 71 and 198. so, again, this is early. but if that holds up, that's a

problem for stacey abrams. >> just to translate for our viewers, that means that there are people who are going into their polling places, voting for brian kemp the republican, and then on the senate race voting for raphael warnock the democrat. >> or the libertarian. but democrats who are voting for senate and not voting for stacey abrams whether they leave it blank or whether they're voting for kemp or hazel. at the end of the night we'll be able to add up kemp math, there's your number right there. 64,796. just shy of 65,000 so far early in the senate race. and you see brian kemp at 79,000. so brian kemp is getting more votes in hugely overwhelmingly democratic fulton county than the senate candidate. that's an incumbent republican governor, the panel was talking about it earlier whose brand is strong in the state. and, again, if that holds up, if brian kemp is running there, you say 28%, he's getting whooped in

fulton county. that's not a bad number. then he has to, again, the suburbs around atlanta are likely to be blue at the end of the night. the question is, is brian kemp strong enough, because all of this, almost all of this is going to be red. >> two of the phenomena that we're going to be watching tonight is comparing how these candidates are doing with how trump and biden did in 2020 and whether this outperformance, and also ticket-splitting because that's going to be relevant in georgia and pennsylvania. as we stand by for more votes from georgia and florida and other places, polling places in three more states are closing very soon featuring two very important u.s. senate races. this is election night, it's just getting started. brew some coffee, stay with us. we're be right back. mercedes-benz is turning electric completely on its head. bringing legendary design and state-of-the- art technology to a fully-electric suv. the all-new, all-electric eqb from mercedes-benz.

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on your wireless bill over t-mobile, verizon, and at&t. talk to our switch squad at your local xfinity store today. welcome back to cnn's election night in america. let me just bring you up to speed about what we're going to looking for all night when it comes to the control of the house and the senate. in the u.s. senate, democrats currently have 36 seats. republicans currently have 30 seats. we'll be looking at the 34 seats that are remaining. remember, republicans only need to pick up one net seat in order to regain control of the u.s. senate.

now let's take a look at the u.s. house. as of right now, democrats, we are projecting, have won two seats. republicans have won five seats. it is very early. 428 seats remain. democrats and republicans battling for that magic number of 218 needed to control the house of representatives. that is where we are in the evening as of right now. now, look, we're not going to be looking at all 435 seats. we're going to be looking at a very few competitive seats, it's about 82. and right now republicans have to win 30 of those 82 in order to regain control of the house. and democrats need to win 53 of those competitive seats in order to hold onto control of the house. let's go to kasie hunt right now to give us an update on where things actually stand with the actual vote coming in on these competitive u.s. senate races. >> let's start here in florida, which has tightened since the last time we visited these

numbers. 49.9% for the democrat val demings. this is expected to be one of the closest races that we look at all night long. the question does somebody hit 50% and avoid a runoff and four more weeks of this. >> thank you so much. we are counting down to the next round of poll closings. more early tests of whether democrats will hold or lose their control of the house and of the u.s. senate. polls will close in north carolina, ohio, and west virginia at 7:30.

31 seats are at stake in the three states where voting is about to end. only five of those races are competitive. every one of them could help tilt the house majority one way or another. in the battle for the u.s. senate, the ohio race has been contentious. ten-term democratic congressman tim ryan facing venture capitalist j.d. vance. in north carolina, democrat cheri beasley is aiming to become the state's first black senator, the former state's supreme court justice is up against ted bud. polls close in ohio, west virginia, and north carolina just moments from now. let's check in right now with melanie zanona who is in columbus, ohio, recovering j.d. vance. cnn caught up with the candidate as he arrived at campaign headquarters. >> reporter: yeah. we spot him outside the hotel. we asked him how he is feeling

and he says we're feeling good. he was all smiles. and i can tell you i checked in with a campaign source. and he said the campaign right now is buzzing with excitement as the polls are about to come to a close here. they say -- they are saying low turnout in cuyahoga county, a strong democratic county that includes cleveland that, went for joe biden in 2020. so that's a very important county for tim ryan, the democrat. i checked in with his campaign. they said that there is a potential data lag in cleveland proper where there's less staffing with precincts and that they are seeing good numbers in the suburbs. as you can see, it's starting to get underway here at the election party. this is the ohio gop election night party where vance is. i am told that he's been popping in and out of the room that his team has set up here and he's been checking in when they're crunching numbers. they'll know more in 30 minutes when the polls close. it's all about the three cs, cincinnati, columbus, and

cleveland here in ohio. >> let's go now to new hampshire where dianne gallagher is at the hours. what are they telling you up there? >> reporter: they are, jake, here as well. i spoke with a republican close to the campaign just a bit ago who tells me they remain confident that they're seeing decent turnout in republican strongholds here in new hampshire, and pointed to the tightening polls just in the weeks leading up to the election. now, i also spoke with a democratic strategist with incumbent democratic senator maggie hassan's campaign. and they told me that they feel good where they are right now because they see strong turnout in the places they needed so far. but they cautioned it was still early. they also noted that they always anticipated this would be a close race, pointing to the fact

that hassan won her race in 2016 by just over 1,000 votes back then. but, look, there is also eyes across the nation on this race for another reason. and that's because of the democrats' controversial approach to how they funded essentially ads that supported bolduc in the republican primary, thinking that he was an easier opponent because he was more far-right candidate, an election denier, against his moderate opponent in that primary. of course, bolduc did win. and now they are looking at a tossup race here, e that they say could come down to the wire in just a matter of a few votes potentially. >> that's right. play with fire, you get burned. dianne gallagher, thank you so much in manchester, new hampshire. david chalian has some new exit polls from ohio where we're watching that big senate race. >> we sort of are taking a look here at the economy in ohio. sort of a scene-setter. i want you to take a look at how ohio voters are experiencing the

economy. we asked what is the condition of the nation's economy. 40% say not so good. 35% say poor. so three-quarters of ohio voters in this election say the economy is either not so good or poor. we also asked about what kind of experience are you having with inflation. in the past year, ohio voters, 19% of them say they've had severe hardship caused by inflation. another 55% say they've had moderate hardship. only a quarter of the ohio electorate says they've had no hardship caused by inflation. how about biden's policies and whether or not they're helping or hurting the country. this is a rough number for tim ryan to see even as he's tried to run a campaign distanced from joe biden. 52% of ohio voters say biden policies are hurting the country. only 34% say helping. 11% say not making a difference. and biden's just overall

approval rating in ohio, it's even a tick below from where we see it nationally. he's only at 42% approval in ohio among the electorate in this election. 57% disapprove. that's sort of the upstream that tim ryan's trying to swim in this election. >> that's right. it's a very disapproving electorate in ohio based on the exit polls. just to remind you, what we're going to be doing all night when it comes to control of the u.s. house is looking at the competitive races. because this is where the republicans and democrats are either going to win or lose control of the u.s. house of representatives. right now there are eight competitive seats that are too early to call. republicans are leading in six of the eight. democrats are leading in two of the eight. now, it's early yet. but that is where we are. right now eight competitive seats too early to call. republicans in the lead of six. democrats in the lead in two. let's go over to the magic wall right now. john king, let's talk about this

because the way that you look at whether or not there is a national mood, a wave, some phenomenon happening is by looking at whether or not there are trends in these house races that are competitive. >> exactly right. and we'll focus on the competitive races of the district. it's early in the night, just remember this is ahead. these candidates are ahead. 34 republican as head. 19 democrats ahead. six in competitive seats ahead. these races are not called yet. if you come over here, you see these are the races, these are uncalled races. these are called races. so when we say candidates are ahead, we're not done yet. but we're just trying to lay out where we are in the battlefield right now. you are focusing on the competitive races, 82 of them across the country. if this stays this way as we start calling races, then you have a republican house and if it stays that way 6-2, that would be -- i don't know if it would be a wave, but it might be 20 plus, might be 25 plus. >> i was going by percentages. if republicans picked up 75% of the competitive seats --

>> essentially the democrats need to flip that. they cannot split the competitive seats. they cannot even win 60% of the competitive seats. they have to win even more than th that. this is the full house map as it fills in. let's just isolate those competitive seats because they're in very important places. again, you see the gray. these are where the polls are still open. look what's filling in so far. what do you see? >> a lot of red. >> so you have one of the races in new hampshire. these results are very early. so we need to be careful here. but the democratic incumbent here is chris pappis, 28-26. we just have the very early votes here. don't jump to conclusions but this is how we'll be watching this. this is a white working-class district in the state of new hampshire. if they can pick up that kind of district here, then you think, all right, what disrinks are like that as you move west. that's how we'll do the calculations through the night.

what you see there is red. again, it's early so we caution everybody to draw no conclusions from this. but this one here is the most democratic of these districts. the republican challenger is 263 votes ahead of jennifer wexton. >> that's only 2%. >> so we're just laying out the stakes for you and the key races for you tonight. obviously you'd rather be ahead. so here's washington d.c. here's arlington. you come across, this is the northern virginia suburbs. 132,000 median income, well above the national average. this is a very affluent district, college-educated, high-income people. democrats have traditionally done well recently. now you're dropping down. joe biden only won this one by seven. 6.7 points two years ago. vega, the conservative

challenger, only 4%. if you're the republicans and you're trying to do your math. jen kiggans the republican challenger. we're just in the northern virginia suburbs. this is down to southeast virginia. virginia beach along the coast and the atlantic ocean. in this district here this is elaine luria. it's democrat by 1.8. this is a very competitive district. less competitive district as you go through. if the republicans can hold these seats in virginia and we're early, the republicans are hoping to get two out of the three. if they get three out of the three, then you know back to your term. >> there's a democratic pollster that is a wise man. he told me there are three things he is looking at. he's looking at these seats in order to get an idea of how the night's going to go. one is these three seats. the other one is new hampshire's

senate. the new hampshire senate race. >> let's go on over. >> and let's see how it is. so right now the new hampshire senate race, because that's become competitive. incumbent democrat maggie hassan against former i think general donald bolduc. >> an election denier, he tried to switch back after he won his primary and went back again because the republican base was getting thatted at him. had a war of words throughout the primary. the main thing here in new hampshire, this corner right here from concord down to manchester, down to nashua, that's where the bulk of the population lives. the bulk of the population is here, it's more suburban, and it's absolutely key to the democrats. we just got some votes in so let

me clear that out. this is the state capital. maggie hassan again. it says 13%. watch these numbers as our teams try to calculate how many people turn out on election day. >> how did biden do in concord? >> we come to 2020, we hit the presidential race. 65%. >> so she's exceeding that right now. it's very early. >> former governor too. that was her office. she's a former governor of the state. now she's a united states senator. let's come back to 2022 and you pull out the state right now. that's the house district on the other side. where is general bolduc ahead? he's in guilford. guilford's a great little town. if you're coming from new hampshire and going skiing, it's a beautiful little town, it's a more republican down there. we have a long way to go in the count. to your point about why this race matters, it's a 50/50 senate. republicans were thinking two

months ago bolduc didn't have a shot. two weeks ago, maybe. two days ago republicans saying maybe we can get him to the finish line. this is in the 50/50 senate democrats need to hold this seat. they can't be losing any of the blue seats as they go through it here. so this is what we watch here in the senate race and you see the early results in the georgia senate. it's very early and very early on the democratic candidate was leading in the florida senate race. now the republican incumbent marco rubio is leading. we're about to get when it comes to the senate we're about to get ohio. and when it comes to the house we get many more competitive districts in the moments ahead. and results coming in, in virginia. competitive districts in new hampshire. we'll have a good sense in the next 30 minutes or so how the house is looking. >> polls are closing in three more states. two of them, ohio and new orth carolina have high-stakes senate races. it is too early to call the ohio

senate race between jd vance and tim ryan. both of them squaring off for an open u.s. senate seat. too early to call in ohio. in north carolina, another open senate seat from another republican retiring. that race as well between cheri beasley and congressman ted bud. the overall balance of power right now in the u.s. senate, democrats control 36 u.s. senate seats. republicans control 30 u.s. senate seats. 34 seats remain. remember, republicans only need to pick up one net senate seat. so let's go to boris sanchez right now who has a projection when it comes to governor's races. >> this is our first projection for the evening for governor's race. mike dewine thread a needle. he was both critical of donald trump after the january 6th insurrection and then earned the former president's endorsement after the republican primary. he defeats the democratic mayor of dayton, ohio, whaley.

let's get some key race alerts beginning with the state of florida. last time we checked in the former republican governor, charlie crist had the lead. now it belongs to ron desantis. more than 285,000 votes ahead with 44% of the vote in, in florida. let's get an update now on the state of georgia. still very early but legendary vote mobilizer stacey abrams is ahead. 73,000 votes against incumbent republican brian kemp. only 13% of the vote in there. so we will likely watch that, potentially change throughout the night as we turn it over to kasie. >> i do want to start in georgia because we are starting to get some numbers where we can compare things a little bit. so let's take a look at this. raphael warnock sitting at 60.1%. look at that herschel walker number, 38.5%. that is different from the republican gubernatorial candidate brian kemp who sits at 42.6%. so, again, we want to check with john king on this.

but some early signs that, perhaps, as expected, herschel walker's underperforming, brian kemp the gubernatorial candidate there. we still expect this area isto tighten considerably only 13% of the vote in here. let's go now to florida where marco rubio has taken the lead probably as many of you expected. he is sitting now at 54% to val demings's 45%. we've got 45% of the vote in there. but we're obviously going to keep watching it through the night. let's go to new hampshire where we are just starting to get votes into the state, which swings so often with a wave when we see one. maggie hassan out to a relatively early lead. there's only a few thousand votes in here. but she's sitting at 59.2% to don bolduc's 39.6%. this is one where republicans started to take more interest. hassan's team has been feeling good throughout the night so far. we've got 1% of the vote in, in new hampshire, jake. >> that's only 1%.

got a lot more votes to count. let's take a look at governor's races right now in the united states. >> the one that jumps out at you is georgia at the moment in the sense that -- i mean, new hampshire would be status quo. chris sununu, 1% of the vote in. governor sununu ahead by nine points. we'll watch it as we play out through the night. henry mcmaster in south carolina heavily favored. florida jumps out at you. ron desantis has now pulled ahead in the state of florida. you're seeing some of the rural counties fill in with the red. we'll watch this as this plays out. republicans said they could perform in miami-dade. if this stays red, it's fascinating in the governor's race and the senate race. and there will be a lot of conversation about this as we head out of 2022 into the 2024 cycle if this stays red. if it turns just blue and it's

close because that has been overwhelmingly democratic in recent years. this is a rematch, stacey abrams, as boris noted, someone in turnout on joe biden's list of potential vice presidential candidates. a rematch of four years ago. you're looking at the vote right now, you would say, wow, with 13% of the vote in against an incumbent republican governor, the question is, number one, there's a lot of votes still to be counted. you see these masmaller countie around georgia, joe biden won georgia in 2020 but just barely, just shy of 12,000 votes. i want to come back to 2022 in the governor's race. we have a lot to count in the red rural parts of georgia. but there's also a question of what votes do we have and what votes are we waiting for. stacey abrams beginning to pull away in fulton county.

brian kemp getting 29%. if you come back -- let's look at the senate race for a second here. herschel walker getting 23% in fulton county. we discussed very early on that governor kemp was overwhelming or herschel walker was underperforming in the largest basket of votes, 10% of the state population. >> show me the overall senate race right now, warnock -- again, it's only 16%. but warnock has 386,472 with 59.6% of the vote. and stacey abrams is under that. >> remember, georgia, there's no unexpecting anybody in this race, democrat or republican. but if you look at warnock versus abrams, she's three percentage points below. >> raphael warnock in actual votes -- and, again, this is all just coming in right now, it's very early -- 16%.

raphael warnock has about, i believe, about 80,000 more votes than she does. meaning people are voting for raphael warnock, and then not voting for stacey abrams. >> right. some of those votes clearly going to the governor because we looked at fulton county. 43.4% for governor kemp. let's come to the senate race and you only see 39%. fulton county, you see herschel walker getting 23.3 just shy of 65,000 votes. again, this is overwhelmingly the biggest democratic area in the state. then you look at the governor's race and brian kemp is getting 28%. so you have an incumbent governor -- this is atlanta and the suburbs. you say fulton county, you see atlanta, you think it's just the city. it's the city and then the suburbs around it. there are a fair amount of republicans here, don't get me wrong, but it's the most overwhelmingly democratic county in the state. >> 16% with democrats leading in the governor's race, and democrats leading in the senate race. but it's only 16%. let's go to david chalian, if i

can, at the battleground desk. where are the votes coming in, david? because obviously this is a very strong early lead for democrats that i don't think is going to bear out throughout the rest of the night. >> one of the things we are going to be looking at all night long where we can is sort of what kind of vote is in. is it free election vote, absentee by mail, early vote, which we know tends to favor democrats more. they show up in more robust numbers that way versus election-day votes. this is the state of play right now that you and john have been talking about, jake. raphael warnock has 389,000 votes right now in the georgia senate race to herschel walker's 258,000. 16% of the estimated vote is currently in. but how much of this current vote is that early vote pre-election vote where democrats tend to show up in bigger numbers? well, right now 99%, nearly all the vote you're looking at in that wall with john is early

vote. and we have estimated that at the end of the day when all the votes in georgia are counted, that number is going to come down to 61%. we've estimated that 61% of the overall vote will have been early vote, which we know broke records in georgia. but right now 99%. so look at the governor's race. it's a similar story. stacey abrams currently with 367,000 votes to brian kemp's 288,000 votes. again, this is 16% of the estimated vote that's in. but all of it nearly 99% is the pre-election vote, jake. it's the early vote. we think that is only going to make up 61% of the overall vote when it is fully tallied, which means a lot more election day vote is going to come in as a share of the vote, and that could of course benefit brian kemp, benefit herschel walker since republicans tend to show up in greater proportion on election day in person.

>> indeed, interesting david chalian. and i don't suppose we have the technology to know what percentage of the early vote joe biden won over donald trump in 2020. >> thif those numbers are available to us, it's not in here. >> i'm wondering where raphael warnock -- >> how big of a lead does he have -- >> we say it's 16%. this is basically just the early vote. and i'm wondering what that matches if somebody backstage could -- >> overwhelmingly and disproportionately a democratic vote. >> let's go ahead north in we can. because north carolina there is a big senate race there. >> i'm going to suspect it's the very same dynamic. again, cheri beasley ran a remarkably competitive campaign. we talked earlier about democrats saying we should've helped her out a little bit earlier. republican member of the house ted bud had donald trump's endorsement in the primary. cheri beasley former state supreme court chief justice 60%

to 40% if you round everybody up. you see where the blue is, it's blue where it should be blue if the democrats are going to be competitive. that is wake county, the second largest county in the state. you see right here 68% to 30%. 54% of the vote in. african american population, college-educated population. the number one county is here. mecklenburg, that's almost 11% of the state population. 69/29. can't round that up just yet. joe biden won this county by 35 points. she's winning it by 39 points. >> almost 40 points. >> it is 40 points. but, again, it's 50% here. and i suspect we're looking at the early vote as well. if i'm wrong, david will jump in. again, this is going to be a competitive race. this will be a competitive race, but we're at 33%. you come to some of these rural counties, i'm going to move up here to the virginia border. 31 in terms of vote count.

donald trump won this county by 32 points. we have no votes yet. >> let's go to david to tell us where this vote is coming from. he is at the battleground desk. is this an early vote? >> it is. you've identified this correctly. this may be an important factor here when you're looking apt these vote totals. cheri beasley right now 784,000 votes in the vote count to ted bud's 527,000. we think about a third of the overall vote is already in. but how much of this is pre-election vote that is in this total? 100% of it and we think at the end of the day only 55% of the north carolina vote is going to be early vote pre-election vote. so right now it is this heavily inflated beasley vote, jake, because 100% of what you see -- nearly 100% is pre-election and early vote where democrats tend to participate that way. we have barely any election day vote, which is likely going to be a ted budd big category of

vote. >> let's remind people also, john, north carolina can be competitive. it has a democratic governor, joe biden lost but narrowly. what was his margin in 2020? >> let's come to the presidential race in 2020. and you look at the race. >> he lost, but he lost by 74,000 votes. >> obama won it -- let's do the history. it's a fascinating history. obama just won it over john mccain, historic african american turnout in the first obama election of 2008. it was history in the making and african american voters turned out in huge numbers. so democrats thought north carolina, changing population, more college-educated population. >> and they had a democratic senator there for a while. >> kay hagan was the last democratic senator elected in that year with barack obama. mitt romney pulls it out just barely. two points in 2012.

but then you move forward to 2016, hillary clinton says i can do it, i can come to north carolina. not so much. the gary johnson campaign, a third-party candidate matters. trump getting just over 50% there. the biden campaign thought maybe we could get it, not the case, but very closely. >> let me walk you to the house just because lots going on here too with the votes coming in, in georgia, in north carolina, and elsewhere. and it looks like -- no, no changes in virginia. >> no changes as you look here, these numbers can be somewhat misleading. so we're going to try to describe them throughout the night. this is all of the house races that have reported results so far. you have democrats leading in 32. republicans leading in 50. as jake laid out earlier, we've identified 82 competitive races with our partner inside elections. republicans are leading in seven of those competitive seats right now, not called yet. democrats leading in five of them. the democrats have to disproportionately win the

competitive seats if they have any chance of defying history. republicans need a net gain of five. the average since ronald reagan is 30. joe biden has to defy that history, history says republicans will get somewhere in the ballpark of 30. the democrats have to keep it to five. again, you start in the northeast, two democratic seats in new hampshire. you see right now the democratic leading custer leading in this seat right here 51 to 48. you don't see any color in the first district, democratic incumbent chris pappas. you move down, you made the point about virginia. there are three competitive districts here. three competitive seats, all democratic incumbents at the moment. republicans leading in all three of them. >> we are closing in on one of the most critical hours of this election night with the biggest round of poll closings at 8:00 p.m. eastern, voting ends in alabama, connecticut,

delaware, the district of columbia, florida, illinois, maine, maryland, massachusetts, mississippi, missouri, new hampshire, new jersey, oklahoma, pennsylvania, rhode island and tennessee. there's a lot on the line in the hour ahead as both parties aim for the 218 seats needed to win control of the u.s. house of representatives. a whopping 161 house seats are at stake in this next round of poll closings. 25 of those races, 25 are competitive. that includes contests in michigan and texas where voting is about to end in most of those states' congressional districts. onto the senate we're standing by for the first results from one of the most consequential races tonight in the great commonwealth of pennsylvania. john fetterman is hoping to flip an open senate seat from red to blue. he is in a heated contest with former tv doctor mehmet oz.

fetterman's recovery from a stroke in may has been a prominent factor in this race. maggie hassan is trying to beat back from don bolduc who's gone back and forth in his statements about who won the 2020 election. in the florida race for u.s. senate, democratic congresswoman val demings has an uphill climb in the increasingly red-trending state. it means it's challenging the incumbent republican two-term senator and former presidential candidate marco rubio. turning to the key governors races in pennsylvania josh shapiro is aiming to keep the governor's office in democratic hands. doug mastriano was a central figure in trump's efforts to overturn the 2020 election results in pennsylvania. and in florida, the former democratic congressman and former republican charlie crist is challenging the state's high-profile republican governor ron desantis. desantis, of course, a potential 2024 presidential candidate. with the end of voting just

minutes away, let's check in on that key senate race in pennsylvania. jessica dean is at the headquarters of democratic senate candidate john fetterman. jessica, how does the fetterman campaign see the night progressing? >> reporter: well, jake, they are well aware that these numbers from philadelphia, which of course is a democratic stronghold, and to win statewide as a democrat, you've got to run up the numbers in philadelphia. the numbers are going to come in slowly. they have put out a memo to everyone saying buckle up, this is going to take some time. they also are going to keep their eye on some bellwether counties across the commonwealth that they think they'll get some data from earlier on that will kind of give them an indication of how they stack up to what biden did in 2024, example. in the meantime i've also been talking to them about how they feel about how they closed out the last five days. they really believe they did this as strongly as they possibly could. and several of them pointed to

the oprah winfrey enforcement. that played heavily on television here in local markets on friday. they think that targeted a key demographic for them, suburban women who can be quite independent in their voting and they think they really need a strong turnout from those suburban women. they think that oprah winfrey could be the key there. celebrity endorsements don't often move the needle, but she made mehmet oz a household name. so her endorsement was quite personal. >> interesting the fetterman campaign will no doubt be looking to harrisburg and scranton to see if they overperform how joe biden did. let's go to kate bolduan now. she is outside philadelphia. what's the feeling there? what are you hearing from the oz campaign people? >> reporter: jake, the oz campaign is being very careful to not make predictions on how the evening is going at this point for one very clear reason, the polls haven't even closed yet. but if they do win the oz campaign is acontributing the

momentum -- will attribute the momentum pushing them across the finish line to their final message. it's this contrast that mehmet oz has been consistently hammering away at in the final days, which is bringing balance to washington and rejecting extremism on both sides, which is how he puts it, which, of course, that's a tricky balancing act that oz has been trying to pull off. look no further than just this past weekend. saturday he was on stage with former president donald trump, the very next day he had senator susan collins stumping with him in philadelphia. collins, a moderate senator who has made very clear she has created distance and distance herself from the former president, even voting to impeach him following the insurrection. this tricky balancing act was also very clearly on display in his final >> mehmet oz reminding the crowd that he is not a politician, he is a surgeon, saying in the operating room you have to unite to fix the problem, saying

extreme ideas hurt people in the operating room. again, we'll see if the balancing act worked. >> kate baldwin in pennsylvania. let's go back to david now who has early exit polls. what is on the minds of my friends in pennsylvania? >> yes, your brethren in pennsylvania, jake, it's interesting because you can see in these numbers the way in which these candidates have presented themselves whose views are too extreme? each is trying to paint the other as extreme. 42ers of pennsylvania's voters afetterman is too extreme. 42% say only oz is too extreme. 5% say both. 8% say neither. which candidate mattered most to you? i find this interesting. we saw something similar in georgia. this is not an empathy or experience election. this a character election. 36% of pennsylvania voters looking for a candidate who

shares my values. 33% looking for a candidate with honesty and integrity. only 90% cares about people like me, 8% looking for a candidate with experience. fetterman's health as he is recovering from a stroke, is it good enough to represent the state effectively? 49% of pennsylvania voters in this election say yes. a roughly equal amount, the other half, say no. his health is not good enough to represent them effectively. and then we asked about the achilles heel that the fetterman campaign is trying to use, has oz lived in the state long enough? interestingly enough, a majority of voters in pennsylvania say 55 say know. 43% say yes, oz has lived in pennsylvania long enough. >> so interesting, david.

especially when you are talking about the 2022 midterms. there is so much of a national notion of how this is all going to go. in pennsylvania, so much is personality driven. these are two very distinct personalities. >> absolutely. and the fact that being a carpetbagger, being from new jersey, is more of a burden to oz than the stroke and what we saw in a very shaky debate performance to e to fetterman is surprising and telling and the other point i'd make, pennsylvania, this is so key to the democrats. if they can flip this seat, they canning afford to lose one and hold on to a 50 senate f they don't, a single stay. >> this the most important potential pickup. >> and i think it's probably the one that they are, mine, maybe they are not the most nervous about. it's hard to know what direction this was going. a lot of republicans after this fetterman debate with oz were saying that was the end of the fetterman campaign. well, if these exits are to be

believed, voters are basically saying, you know, it's about a wash. i'm really surprised by the carpetbagger number. i'm not gonna lie. that argument from fetterman seemed to live very much online, live in the memes, but these exit polls seem to suggest that voters took it or are taking it somewhat seriously. i don't think that we know whether or not any of this matters more than the overall environment. >> so pennsylvania as we were saying, the polls close at the top of the hour. in ohio the polls have already closed. we are starting to get actual real numbers in and they are really interesting in that in the senate race, i should say only 13% of the vote is in, but right now early on tim ryan, the democrat, is very, very far ahead. again, very, very early. but it begs the question, and this is a conversation that has been had in washington

particularly among democrats, is whether or not more focus should have been on a race like this where tim ryan, a sitting member of congress, who has a campaign that is tailor-made for ohio, kind of old-school democrats, working class union democrats, trying to get them out, whether there should have been more focus and help for him. >> first of all, one of the reasons ohio is so important, if you need to flip a seat to ensure that you have a margin for error, if they don't take pennsylvania, their two best chances, democrats, are ohio and north carolina. the question is both sides, both candidates, vance and ryan, have been competing to be the working class hero. it will be interesting to see who the ohio voters decide is. >> and i absolutely think that tim ryan used the lack of investment to his great advantage. he ran on being abandoned by washington being independent from people back here in d.c.

and that was actually, i mean, frankly, you could argue that is the key to why this race might be kpet. >> translator: we will see how it turns out. i think hindsight is 20/20. tim ryan made the best of that situation from a messaging perspective. >> it's a larger conversation about the change of the democratic party and it's kind of evaporation from the middle of the country. jake and john. >> polls close in 16 states in 4 1/2 minutes. some of the results from the house of representatives races. john. >> beginning to fill in the map. 435 in all. it will take a while to fill in the map and days, maybe longer, to count the final results. leading the vote, not called races, right, republicans leading 55, democrats in 42. more importantly, as jake laid out throughout the night, # 28 kpet races, democrats leading in eight, republicans leading in six that. would sound like good news. >> that sounds like good news for democrats but -- >> but they are defending 60 of

the 80. 57 have democratic incumbents. let's look at the competitive races. a couple of interesting things. nom one, we talked earlier, last time we talked about this, all three house democrats in virginia were losing. one of them in the most democratic district, jennifer wexton, pulled ahead. 57% of the estimated vote. 7,500, ahead of her republican challenger. this has been a nasty race. living here, you watch the ads on tv, it's been shocking both ways when you look at the advertisements. this is the most democratic district. three in virginia. >> the least likely to fall. >> joe biden carried this by 18 points. imagine it being competitive makes it a big deal. wexton ahead for now. then you move just south of that, again suburbia, suburbs, into ex-ush yeah. >> almost half the vote in and spanberger behind -- >> half the vote here. interesting to talk to the people on the ground in our

battleground desk about which votes are being counted. we need to be careful in every state. >> there are some big population areas in in that district. >> this is a democratic plus shy of seven. joe biden won the district we just showed you here by 18 points. you move out into exurbia, spanberger losing at the moment. this is a gap here. we need more votes. 31%. this one is shaping up as a bigger race in a district that's an even district, joe biden wins by shy of two points and remember, you know, this is according the new lines of how the districts have been drawn. if you think of the imp list way to look at the map, the republicans need a net gain of five and they are leading in two in virginia. it's not over. we are still counting votes. leading two there. if you look at some of the others, this a fascinating race here, marcy captor, one the

longest serve house democrats, her district used to stop here and stretch this way over towards cleveland a little bit, right? >> they made it more republican. >> yeah. so now they have taken it away and put her out here. let me show you the presidential race in 2020 in ohio. this is her old district here and they drew the rest in right there. let's come back to 2022 and see how she is doing. >> this is a fascinating race. number one, can a democratic incumbent hold on in a republican district in a tougher year running against jr mcjuicy. we are only at 1%. only at 1%. as you see the ohio map, i w will -- early voter tends to be disproportionately democratic. you see another house race, cincinnati in the suburbs to the

north, the republican incumbent is steve shab it's. he is losing at the moment. another competitive seat. democrats would love to pick up this seat to offset losses elsewhere. i want to emphasize this is 100% early vote. tends to be disproportionately democrat. we look at it now. we will keep it on the radar screen. but you have to be cautious. don't draw any conclusions looking at that map. over to the united states senate i want to make the point because it's the same dynamic. the democratic candidate tim ryan is out to an early lead in the state of ohio but this is again a 100% at least as of two minutes ago 100% early vote. you'd rather be ahead than behind. we are waiting. you see the gray, not filled in, trump country in ohio. we will watch the race as we go and get more votes as we move through the hour. >> all right. we are just moments away from the biggest round of poll closings, including that critical senate contest in pennsylvania. as of right now, cnn is

projecting that senator marco rubio, the republican from florida, will be re-elected defeating congresswoman val demings. in alabama cnn is projecting that katie brit will win her senate seated defeating her opponent. she is a former staffer for the retiring republican dick shelby. so that's a hold for republicans. in oklahoma cnn is projecting that incumbent senator james langford will win. in the special election in oklahoma, cnn is projecting markwayne mullin will be elected defeating kendra horn. in kentucky, cnn is projecting that incumbent republican senator rand paul will be re-elected. the big senate race in pennsylvania cnn is declaring to be too early to call and the big senate race that's between lieutenant governor john fetterman and tv's dr. mehmet oz too early to call.

and in new hampshire between incumbent democratic senator maggie hassan against retired general don bolduc too early to call. let's look at the map in general right now. right now we have no projection in connecticut, illinois, maryland, missouri, and then as i said, new hampshire and pennsylvania. too early to call right now. the overall balance of power in the u.s. senate democrats have 36 of the senate seats. republicans have 35 senate seats. there are 29 seats remaining. that's what the rest of the night is about. remember republicans only need to pick up one net seat from the democrats in order to regain control of the senate. we have governors races for you as well. and boris sanchez has those. >> two projections from the south, including a major, major win for republicans in the state of florida. governor ron desantis winning re-election by a considerable margin. right now desantis is up nearly

16 percentage points. that's notable because donald trump won florida in 2020 by 3.5 points. desantis of course widely speculated he may run for president. trump thinks so with some of his recent attacks on the florida governor who urearns a return tp to the governor's mansion in the sunshine state. also from ruby red alabama, a state that donald trump won earning about 60% of the vote in 2020 there incumbent republican kay ivey, a staunch trump supporter, beats jolanda flowers in alabama. we also have a key race alert now fthe peach state in georgia stacey abrams 44, just changed, 38,000 votes ahead of incumbent republican brian kemp. the lead thinning with the last update. 31% of the vote in in georgia. we will see where that winds up as the night moves along. let's take a step back and look at the big picture. states where polls closed but too early for cnn to make a

projection, we're talking about connecticut, illinois, maine, maryland, massachusetts, new hampshire, oklahoma, pennsylvania as well as rhode island and the volunteer state of tennessee. let's turn it over to kasie hunt with some updates for senate races. >> let's start in georgia. you just gave us an update on the governor's race. let's compare to the senate race. raphael warnock up at 54.5% to herschel walker's 43.9%. that spread between where the republican governor kemp is at 48.2% right now has widened. walker is just at 43.9%. that has to be giving some of the democrats i have been talking to throughout the night a little bit of relief. we have a third of the vote in here. we of course expect this to be one of the tightest on the map. in north carolina the democrat beastly over budd. so a democratic win here would represent a pick yuf for them. we expect this race to tighten

through the evening. we have about 46% of the vote in in north carolina right now. now let's check in on ohio where the democratic congressman tim ryan is out to an early lead at 58.1% to the republican j.d. vance's 41.8%. we have to ask where those votes are coming from. we have about 20% of the vote in in ohio right now. let's check on new hampshire. maggie hassan is at 64.1% to the republican don bolduc's 35.4%. she is about 13,000 votes ahead. that tells you where we are in the vote count. we are not very far in. we are at 8%. but you'd rather be maggie hassan at this hour than don bolduc. >> all right. thanks so much. john king, getting us up to speed on the senate right now. we have races, we have votes coming in in at least three competitive races, new hampshire and georgia and perhaps north carolina. >> so georgia and new hampshire

would be holds. democratic incumbents right now. i will get into the georgia vote complications in a minute. pennsylvania, the democrat, we have in a very, very early results leading. we got a long way to go here. >> all from pittsburgh. >> right, all from pittsburgh, allegheny county, heavy democratic area, early vote. so just step away from that. again if you are watching at home and seeing the senate map, you know, democrats very much want to pick up that seat currently held by a republican. democrats want to pick up ohio currently held by a republican and north carolina currently held by republican. you look at the map and you think, wow, look at that. i want to go back to -- >> very early. >> the 2020 presidential election at this time of night joe biden was leading in ohio and tim ryan is leading now. overwhelmingly early vote. so you see it. every vote counts. so with the democrats, the early vote -- i say i -- i don't mean to be dismissive. if you are the democrat you need to run up and build that margin. when the election day vote comes in especially in the small rural

counties that tend to be overwhelmingly republican. i am not being dismissive. we have a lot of votes to come in. again this early vote here. but again cheri beasley -- >> she ran a great race. >> we are watching the map. keep an open mind about things. in georgia, this is, you know, a landmark senate race right now. raphael warnock at the note ten points ahead in this race. i am going to point to this number. it doesn't seem like it matters now. georgia 50% a runoff in december. warnock is above that now. a third of the vote counted here of the libertarian numbers later in the night, is it big you have in to pull the two leading candidates under 50%? we will have to watch. that's one of the calculations at the moment. senator warnock is above 50ers. on the governor's race, the democrat leading it's early, this is freedom nebltly early wrote, but raphael warnock at

54.4%, 768,000 votes. tlip to the governor's race. >> look at that. >> 43,000 votes, rough math, stacey abrams is ahead, 43,000 viewer votes and brian kemp that gap has been closing. >> just one of the reasons we are lacking a about this. the governor's race, stacey abrams is in the lead, regarded as much less competitive, much more likely that brian kemp will win where arkansas the senate is very competitive and we don't have any idea who is going to win that. brian kemp has 685,000 votes. herschel walker at the same time that herschel walker has 614,000. >> right. >> so that means that there are -- >> 620,000. >> it's moving as you speak a little bit. you see it filling in. >> it does seem the conclusion is inevitable that there are people voting for brian kemp, the republican governor, and

crossing the aisle or maybe they were already there and voting for raphael warnock the democratic senator which is an interesting state of play and gives you an idea of the relative strength of raphael warnock. doesn't mean he is going to win. it doesn't mean he is doing what he needs to do in that regard. >> the place you see that, you know, most predominantly is in the subvariants arurbs around a is cobb county, 7% of the state population. you see senator warnock at 59%. herschel walker at -- >> this is cobb. stacey abrams is at 5%, underperforming to senator warnock. herschel walker is underperforming. herschel walker underperforming the incumbent governor in the suburbs. republicans don't have to win the suburbs. they need to narrow the

democrats' margins. >> can i see how joe biden did in cobb county in 2020? >> you did -- >> 56. so this is another interesting comparison and the reason i say this is because joe biden won georgia very narrowly, 11,000 plus votes. joe biden had 56% of the vote in cobb county. raphael warnock has 59% of the vote in cobb county. so raphael warnock is overperforming at least as of right now, just a snapshot, what joe biden did and joe biden won. so that's an interesting -- another interesting comparison. >> it is. i want to add a cautionary note. >> it's all early is the other thing. this is all early. we are trying to read the tea leaves. >> the outstanding vote, right, where we're waiting for votes. you see the size of the circles, the biggest percentage of outstanding vote. if it's blue, that means the democrat is leading in that area. you see the circles down here. outstanding vote, larger over

here, that means the republican is leading in that area. and so you come right in here, you come in, central atlanta, you come moo here, there is cobb county. right. so we have a sizable percentage of the vote out. jake is making the important point about the fight for the margins in the suburbs, unlikely the republicans will carry cobb county. the question is can you be competitive enough in cobb county and atlanta, fulton county, then gwinnett county and you come down here where we have no votes yet. no votes in dekalb county. >> the suburbs decide statewide races. you can come around columbus, around augusta, around savannah, you see, you know, you see again this is a democrat leading here in chatham county, which is savannah, but we got a lot of the vote out there. about 49%. let's test it again over here in this part of the state. different farther of the state on the sea coast.

raphael warnock at 66%. herschel walker at 33%. you take a peek here at the governor's race. again stacey abrams about four points, shy of that, below, percentage points below, squund performing raphael warnock and you look at brian kemp at 37% right there, you come back to the senate race, herschel walker by shy of five points underperforming the republican governor. what you are looking for here is ticket splitting in the sense. we saw it in ohio. we projected mike dewine the republican governor winning. does he help j.d. vance? we will watch that play out in a number of states. senator warnock is ahead, at 36%, very important to note early in the night here. we have to keep counting. a quick look at some of the other senate races. in ohio again to see the percentage. tim ryan has run a very competitive race. he is not going to win with 57% of the vote. that tells you disproportionately early vote that we are looking at we are

waiting for election day votes, 23% reporting there. one of the key races. again let's check in to see in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. a few more votes in. again coming in democratic areas. the first in al gain any county. remember braddock, pennsylvania, where john fetterman was the mayor is out in this area. 84% right there. a long way to go, jake, in your home state, the commonwealth of pennsylvania. >> thanks. and we have some projections for you now. three projections for republicans running for the house of representatives. in florida trump endorsed army veteran corey mills representing seminole county. republican air force veteran luna cnn projecting winning a red leaning district, including st. petersburg, world at turning point usa. in florida laura lee is a winner in a newly drawn tampa area district, a former florida secretary of state. let's look at the balance of power now in the house of

representatives. 19 democrats have been elected. 45 republicans, including three pickups. there are still 371 seats remaining. need to go control, of course, is 218. what's the state of play in the 83 competitive u.s. house seats that we have isolated? well, republicans need to win 27 of them. that's down from 30. so they are on their way. democrats need to win 53 of those competitive seats. that's the same number we had before. so we do have right now republicans having some momentum. it's very early. i don't want anyone to draw any conclusions. but these are three republican projected wins in the house of representatives and so if you're sitting at the national republican congressional committee you are thinking this is what we need to do. >> we are doing what we need do and you are winning in the districts -- they are competitive, but districts it that are competitive but lean a little bit republican. that's the challenge. there anything democrats can do to make inroads?

a republicani area in a year yo know -- we talk about the spanberger district in virginia. so the only way to counter that is to take some from them. the anna luna district, this a district that donald trump carried according to the new lines, would have carried in these new lines by 6.6 percentage points. it's a republican district. not by a ton. you know, you have -- but you have to keep it. republicans kept it. that's the challenge, to keep your map. then you move over here, the district here, a much more competitive district. >> a new seat. >> this is a new seat. had the lines been in place in 2020 t donald trump would have con this by three points. that's much more competitive district, right? and republicans hold it. that's the challenge, right. you have to pick up where you can. you come back out and you come across and you go across the swath of inte-5 here. corey milson winning over here. republican 5 1/2, right? a republican district but not a comfortably republican district.

you are watching. those are three of the four competitive races in florida. the other one we talked about this earlier in the context of the governor's race and to senate race, this is a former democratic district, the lines have been redrawn and these lines, look at that, 0.6. this is a 50-50 district. donald trump would have carried this according to these lines by less than one percentage point. i don't believe we have called this race. sue they here. again, can republicans hold the way to get the majority if you are in the minority is hold what you got and take some away. if you look at the districts here in the state of florida, republicans are doing exactly what they needed to do. so let's check back in. you hold what you got and you look to take some away. we told you the republican in florida winning that district was 6% republican. well, you come here to a district that is 6.7% democratic. republicans are holding the districts where they have an advantage in the six, seven point range.

the question is can democrats do the same. attet at the moment in virginia, we are waiting for more votes, but the democratic incumbent is losing by nine points. >> that's a lot of votes. >> it's a lot of votes. challenges, what's the outstanding vote. where is it? what kind of it, right? you come back in and you want to look at live outstanding vote. i can't get to it -- oh, the competitive races. c that's a lot of red here. you come right hierp. you have stafford county, democrat plus to, vega winning. you come over -- >> i think you went out of the district. >> it's acting up on me. come across the county lines, come here, you come here, culpepper county, this is a republican area, 20 points, she is winning by 20 points. you just move around the district and you come through. we are going to have to watch as this plays out. i will come back so i don't make

anybody dizzy going through the counties here. out to the district here. every now and then you get a glitch in the technology. >> could you abgo back to spanbg center -- spanberger? what is that spot of blue there? >> let's pop it up and see. fredericksburg, virginia. >> that's the major city in the area. >> right. >> there is another blue spot north of that. >> come on out and you come you h up here and move out, now you are closer, prince william county, close to d.c. >> 26% in prince william county -- >> so -- >> and she is running -- there you go. there is your 30 points, a little below 32. so, yeah, 26%. again you talk about what is outstanding u. well, that's important if you are in spanberger's camp right now. you're thinking we got 74% the vote in prince william. >> closer in democratic suburbs

you still got a lot of votes it come in which is why you don't call the race and you bring touchlt this is unstable at the moment. we can switch over here if it keeps doing that. yes, outstanding votes. if you are in spanberger headquarters you are calling the precinct captains and match it out through the night. >> right, because they have a neighborhood by neighborhood -- >> right. >> precinct by plea sink. >> tprecinct. >> it gets glitchy -- the precinct captains know where they are. i will try to come back at it. 77% --. one the reasons we are focusing on congresswoman spanberger's district is that it really is going to be a bellwether for what happens tonight. it is of the three congressional districts, it's the one that we don't know really what's going to happen and we don't know in any of them -- >> it's in the middle. that's the best way to put it.

wexton -- >> wexton is skbgenerally favored -- >> 18 points. we're still waiting for votes here. 18 point democratic district there where the democrat is leading. down here it's a seven point democratic district and you have the republican ahead. again florida the republicans are holding their plus seven district and -- >> in virginia -- >> at the moment. and then down to the third one down here, which is the true swing district, democratic one plus eight and the republican candidate comfortably ahead in that district, still more votes -- >> of the three democratic congresswomen from virginia, luria is in the toughest battle. >> without a doubt. >> then spanberger and wexton. >> spanberger, the reason to look at her seat, if it falls, it's probably a lot of other democrats that are going to have bad nights. could we look at the senate? >> yes. >> if that's okay with you? >> to your point, if only the luria district fell in virginia, you are likely -- and districts like that fall, you are likely to get a republican majority

because they need a net of five. the luria districts and spanberger districts, meaning districts like that across the country keep falling, that's how republican build a majority and that's what we're gonna watch. >> what is going on in pennsylvania right now? >> you notice people at home that mr. tapper is a fan of the commonwealth of pennsylvania. that's home. >> it's the most competitive senate race, this or georgia. >> western nevada, we can have a competition about it. these are the 50-50 very competitive senate races. and this is, you know, you have to be very careful because overwhelmingly democratic areas. allegheny, pittsburgh, the suburbs, john fetterman is from braddock, out west here, very well known, and a huge democratic area to begin with. this is suburbs of cumberland county out of the capital, harrisburg. >> r plus ten. >> yeah, which is why i'm, us know, you looking at an early

vote count here. you come through here. and then you come over here to philadelphia. let me come here. you have 91%. 11%. fetterman is not going to get 92% of the vote in philadelphia. you need to keep it way, way up. this is interesting. you heard kate baldwin earlier tonight, you know, when donald trump came last to pennsylvania they were out here. they were out here in latrobe, right? back to 2020 and let's look at the presidential race. come with me here. when donald trump comes, they go here. you see why. >> yeah. >> right? so latrobe, that's where oz is standing in front of trump's plane with trump trying to turn out vote because he needs to run it up in trump country pennsylvania. where was he last night? over here. allentown, you come down here, penceberg, right here. just south of lehigh county, 25

niles from doylestown, the county seat of bucks county. back to the senate race when in 2016 when pat toomey, who has the senate seat, won re-election, right. he lost montgomery county but again the margins. look at the margins for pat toomey. same year in the presidential race. look por for hillary clinton. and pat toomey won bucks county. we don't have any votes in bucks county yet. watch this tonight. this is the more blue color of the suburban capollar counties montgomery around philadelphia, montgomery county, bucks county, you come down to delaware county, and you come back here just to look -- >> i keep telling you delco. >> i said that last time because you told me to on television and twitter loved it. this is very early. this is where we're gonna watch. it's going to be right here. >> can oz win or run even here

and can he get closer here than donald trump did against hillary clinton or joe biden? because this is why right here is why joe biden won the common health. hillary clinton just lost it and joe biden won it right here. >> yeah. and it will be interesting to see again as we're looking in georgia the ticket splitting. it will be interesting to see the people that vote for the attorney general josh shapiro who is a democrat but then cross the aisle and vote for -- this is what county? >> i switched it over. >> this is the state? >> this is -- >> we don't -- we didn't expect this to be the result. it will be interesting to see how many people vote for shapiro and then oz for senate because that will be a phenomenon as well. >> we will look here and we will look up here. northampton county, luzerne county, lehigh county and the philadelphia suburban counties to see if you get split tickets like in georgia and we will see if we see it when we get more results in ohio. that race, the governor's race is called. >> my mom is from north carolina. could we check that out?

>> the senate. we come to north carolina. cheri beasley remains ahead. this is a static count. 53-45. >> most of this is still early? >> yes. disproportionately. if you are a democrat looking at this map saying, okay, mecklenburg county, number one. running it up. that's great, it's 50% of the vote, the challenge for ted budd -- he is not going to win that county. narrow that margin because it's the number one county, almost 11% of the state population. charlotte. up here again subsidies and it gets more exurbia. up to raleigh, democrats have high hopes about north carolina. why? they win the african american vote, younger voters and college educated voters.

democrats say we are going to make it a blue state as opposed to a leans red state. again, this is -- that's 67% right there running up in durham. so you are looking at a very competitive race as it comes in. i would just wait. 53% now. let's see if that number holds up above 60. >> david at the battleground desk. tell us more about the vote we are actually seeing in north carolina and what we're not seeing. >> your presumption about this being a lot of early vote is correct. i want to show you "beasshare r b bees /* beasley. we have 53% of the vote in. as we have been talking about, the pre-election vote tends to favor democrats. democrats participate in that early voting in more robust

numbers than republicans. at the end of the day we think in north carolina only 55% is going to be pre-election vote. so right now most of what you are seeing there is pre-election vote. one other board that we can break down the different kinds of votes. so among male voters, cheri beasley has a 36 percentage point lead over ted budd and there is still about a quarter of the male vote to be counted. early in person she has a much narrower lead, 6.2%, and most of that is already in what you're looking at. but look at where ted budd's campaign is focused right now. he has a 37.6% lead on election day vote and 95.6% of it still is waiting to be counted, jake. so, obviously, the budd folks are saying, hey, a huge advantage category for us and nothing in the overall vote is

election day vote. >> that is an important point to make. and so -- i just popped this out. this is live outstanding votes. a lot of votes missing in raleigh, charlotte, winston-salem. the democrats are leading now. in places with where ted budd won't pass cheri beasley, david's point about so much day of votes still being out there, that's where he narrows the margins. when that vote comes in, like we saw in 2020 as the polling indicates it will come in this year, you also see all of these medium-size, moderate-sized and smaller-sized red circles. a ton of outstanding vote in the republican areas of north carolina that will be election day vote and that will be disproportionately, you know, ted budd is leading in these places. pop one up. take a peek. union county he is leading now with just early vote, you know,

cheri beasley again, a lot of democratic votes in the early vote, 39%. up to 75, 80%, let's revisit these places and see what happens when this comes in. you see the circles and say there are a lot of democratic votes out there. remember that means the democrat is leading in that area right now. so when the election day vote comes in the democrat is likely in the urban areas to stay ahead, stay leading. the question is with can ted budd narrow the margins. if he does, that will change. >> well, within 94% of the vote today yet to be counted and he is up 37 percentage points. i mean, the ted budd people know -- he is running very competitively. we got a lot of ted budd votes to count. could i look at the georgia senate while i am here? 41%. 52%. >> 41%, 52-46, up to 99,000 vote

lead for raphael warnock, the democratic incumbent. a lots of votes to count in georgia. this is disproportionately early vote. watch the two leading candidates someone at the end of the night above 50, that ennumber is pret stable there. there is the georgia senate race. to the governor's race, the democratic candidate is at 52%, the democratic candidate in the governor's race trailing at 49%. if you round that up, one of the challenges we break this tlun touchdown throughout the nice how many democrats are voting warnock for senate and kemp for governor. you look at the governor's map as it is right now, we close on the senate map right now, democrats still leading. >> this is what they want in pennsylvania, north carolina, and ohio, but, jake, that's disproportionately early vote. in the hour ahead, we will get more. >> we will, indeed. we are moments apway in arkansa. cnn is making a projection, cnn is projecting that incumbent republican senator todd young

will be re-elected in the state of indiana. the hoosier state getting another term with senator todd young. in arkansas it is too early to call. between incumbent senator john bozeman and democrat natalie james. too early to call at this moment right now. let's take look at the balance of power in the u.s. senate. democrats hold 36 seats. republicans hold 36 seats as well. 28 seats remain. remember, you need 51 seats to control the u.s. senate. republicans need to pick up one net seat from the democrats in order to win control of the u.s. senate. let's talk about governors races now. boris sanchez has more there. >> three projections. all three republican holds. beginning in the state of new hampshire, chris sununu, rumors he may run for president in 2024. sununu winning a fourth term, defeating physician tom sherman. in the state of south carolina, not a competitive race there. the incumbent republican henry mcmaster defeating former

democratic congressman joe cunningham to win another four years. and update from tennessee. another reliably red state, donald trump won 60ish percent. vote in 2020, bill lee winning re-election. the incumbent republican defeating icu physician jason martin. a look at key race alerts beginning with that all important race we will not stop talking about in the georgia. stacey abrams had the lead last time. now that has flipped. brian kemp, the incumbent republican, leads with roughly 40,000 votes with 42% of the vote in. notably, kemp above the 50% threshold meaning he could avoid a runoff. texas now. former democrat congress nan beto o'rourke over incumbent republican greg abbott. about 26% of the vote in in texas. and update a key race alert from the state of michigan. incumbent democrat tudor -- fredricka whitfield locked in a

tough relux battle. whitner 55,000 votes ahead. very, very early in the night in michigan. only 3% of the vote in there. we also have a key race alert from the state of pennsylvania. attorney general josh shapiro has a 287,000 advantage over doug mastriano, he tried to overturn the 2020 election results. kasie hunt has an update on senate races. >> interesting comparisons to show you between what we just learned about the governor's races and where we stand in the senate. in georgia raphael warnock is leading 51.9% to herschel walker's 46.4%. the governor's race looks the opposite. kemp at 59, abrams 48.6. that shows you the difference in terms of performance. 43% of the vote in in georgia.

we expect to stay lclose all evening. north carolina cheri beasley at 52% to ted budd's 46.3%. you heard that breakdown about where the votes are out. there is reason for the budd campaign to potentially be optimistic here. we will be sticking close all night. 55% of the vote in there. now let's go to ohio where tim ryan is out to an early lead, 56.9% to j.d. vance's 43%. but it is still extremely early in ohio. this is a state that has trended very red in recent years. 29% of the vote in in ohio. now let's go to new hampshire where maggie hassan is sitting at 67% to don bolduc's 38.2%. democrats in new hampshire telling me they feel very good about where maggie hassan is at this hour. of course, extremely early, just 14.9% of the vote has been counted in new hampshire. but now let's check in on

pennsylvania because we can compare these numbers here to what boris told us in the governor's race. john fetterman at 80.1 to mehmet oz's 17.9%. obviously, the race is going to end closer than where it stands now, but shapiro is sitting at 84.5%. he is the democratic candidate for governor. that gives you a little bit of an idea how fetterman is underperforming shapiro which has been the concern for democrats all the way along the potential ticket splitters especially in the philadelphia collar counties would pick mehmet oz for senate and shapiro for governor. jake. >> thanks so much. really appreciate that. we have been telling you all night there are 82 house seats that are competitive. races that are competitive that we're keeping aeye on. it is in those 82 races that the balance of power in the house of representatives will be won or lost. an update right now, right now of the 23 competitive seats that are too early to call, the voting has ended. too early to call. democrats are leading in 15 of them. republicans are leading in eight

of them. it's early yet. that doesn't necessarily mean democrats are going to win 15 of them. that is the state of play as of now. over to john king at the magic wall to talk more about some of these house seats. tell us what you are seeing, john. >> to your point, leading the vote. we are not done in the races. if you are watching at home and you are democrat or republican, you think democrats are winning, that's a better number for democrats maybe, but then they need to do better than in the competitive seats. let's remind people uncalled -- any uncalled races here, it's the ahead that matters. we look at the competitive races. if you are the democrats and you look at this map you start in the northeast. number one, rank choice voting here. a long way to go in this district here. only 2% of the vote in. a democrat running in a district, donald trump carried, if these were the lines by 2020. he has done it before. so we'll see how it plays out.

so that's one. but that would be one. we may not known the answer for a long time. so then you come down to the state of new hampshire, pop it it up, you see two district, democrats leading both now. we are early in the count in new hampshire. if you are at the democratic campaign headquarters or republican campaign headquarters you are looking at these, republicans can get a majority without these seats, but if they are red at the end of the night a bigger republican majority. we will keep an eye on the competitive races. today is just democratic incumbent in a tough race, she knows the district, she campaigns hard, a democratic incumbent chris pappas, we talked governor sununu is winning big. can all the democrats, whether it's the senate race or the house races hang on in that environment. i started my career in the state of rhode island. you see red in rhode island. you want to take a look at it because this district has been democratic for a very, very long time. this is a surprising candidate here. very, very close.

seth magaziner against allen funk. if this is red at the end the night, the republicans will have majority and i argue rather large because this is a democratic 13 points. joe biden by the lines of this district day would have bowon - have won by 13 points. if you are looking at the map, that would be a take way for the republicans. we come down to new jersey. a race people have been looking at. another democratic incumbent who is in a tough district. this was a joe biden by shy of 4% district in 2020. sean patr tom malinowski. 11%. one the competitive districts we are watching. again, if you are seeing how big of a republican night it is, if they win the 1% or the marginal districts, okay, can they win the 4% districts and build from there. that's how republicans are trying to build. we come down in here, check back in, two places.

virginia first. then we'll check pennsylvania. again, republicans continue to lead. we have been checking on these because the polls closed earlier in two of the three competitive races in the commonwealth of virginia. just checking on the margin again. that got closer. you have jennifer wexton ahead. it's closed to 49% there, 90%, we are watching that. even if she holds on to win the seat, this is an 18-point democratic advantage for joe biden in 2020 if the lines were as they are today and you have a republican candidate with 10% of the vote out. could change. 10%, you know, the populated suburbs outside of d.c. that is a close race in a district that if you went back two years ago was not close. that tells but the environment. you drop down here. again vega, 89%, a little shy here, this is a democratic plus seven district and you have the republican candidate ahead by five points if you -- just a shy shade of it and then you come

down here. again we talked about this before. the most vulnerable democratic in the commonwealth of virginia, loria, 68% of the vote. you hoare hoping and hoping and hoping. what does that mean? race by race, people at home might start to get confused. it means we are starting to fill in the map. democrats are leading in 18 of these competitive districts which means they are leading at the moment in more competitive districts which is good news but not good enough news in the sense that democrats have to win two-thirds of the competitive races to have a chance to hold the house majority. >> i would imagine that some of this is early vote? >> yes. >> meaning that the democrats are leading right now because democrats disproportionately vote early. >> right. >> vote by mail, et cetera. >> without a doubt. in ohio, about a third of the vote now. marcy captor, her district was here and come east.

they added republican areas, the ohio legislature, ohio governor, republican governor, republican legislature, added seats here. she is uncomfortableably at the moment. a third of the vote. this would be news down here. a republican incumbent, steve s 33% of the vote. >> let me bring up -- remember there are 82 competitive races overall. right now 27 of them, the polls have closed and cnn says they are too early to call. 18 seats democrats are leading. again, early vote, we don't know what's gonna happen. this does not mean the democrats are winning 18 of the 27. but this is some reason for hope if you're a democrat watching at home. >> some reason for home at least you are competitive and you hope as you move further west get more. the challenge for the democrats

is, if, you know, the house today, back to the house where we are today, turn off the competitive seats, again, the district -- the lines are different. a tad misleading to show it. the bask math is knot that you have 220 democrats and 212 republicans in the house today. the challenge is republicans need a net gain of five. when you come back to this year, and this is all of the races right now, you only need a net gain of five and in those competitive races 57 of them democratic incumbents. only 22 republican incumbents. joe biden of the 82 -- of the 82 competitive districts when we put them up on map and let me highlight them, of 82 competitive district, joe biden carried 60 of them or would have if the lines had been as they are this year in 2020. joe biden would have carried 60. the fact that the democrats -- and the democrats essentially need to win those 60. they need to win them. they need to win somewhere around that number to keep it.

and it just, you know, again, competitive? yes. competitive enough? looking at this map, we are not done. the early instinct is probably not. >> put up the house of representatives as it stands today. i want to shohei chahay-- show something to people. zoom in on new england. stretch it out. can you do that? >> there we go. >> okay. new england is entirely blue, right? we are not counting new york, which is here and we are not counting new york which is here. it's entirely blue. as you pointed out, right now in rhode island where you started out as a reporter -- >> come forward. >> it's red. >> and you look some red. now, that cape cod district is a few votes? bill keating's district, democratic district, if that stays red we are having a huge republican night. that rhode island seat, those results are real. all the results are real i shouldn't use that kind of coverage in this environment.

just mean contextually, up to 70% of the vote here. what i meant is if you come to this district here, you are looking at at a tiny number of votes. it's not contextch churl. your point about like if republicans drn-- and we haven' called anything in new england. if republicans pick up seats in new england, which is currently all blue, that says something about what we might see. again, all early. but i'm just saying the fact that it's even competitive. right. this one here, in this one here, candidates matter. allen fung was the mayor of cranston, south of providence. this is where i started my career. he was a popular mayor. he picked up the trash. they filled the potholes, you know, so you have a popular mayor running against a democrat very well known in the state, his dad was prominent in rhode island when i was there 30 years ago. it's inflation. it's the national environment and a competitive candidate.

well known in a predominantly b district. we are not done yet. but that's something to watch. we are going to be analyzing -- we get a lot of coffee go through the exit polls for weeks and weeks after this if that holds. >> another round of results ahead, including the high stakes contest for senator and governor in arizona. that's coming up after a break. stay with us. ctic life you'd think retirement would be the last thing on my mind. thankfully, voya provides comprehensive solutions and shows me how to get the most out of my workplace benefits. voya helps me feel like i've got it all under control. voya. well planned. well invested. well protected.

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xfinity rewards is a program whose sole purpose is to say "thank you" with experiences big, small and once-in-a-lifetime. sometimes it's about cheering hard enough to shake the stadium! sometimes, it's as simple as movie night right here at home, on us. you mean the world to us. so we're bringing you closer to what you love. kinda like this. welcome to 30 rock! join xfinity rewards for free on the xfinity app today. our thanks, your rewards. well, we fell in love through gaming. but now the internet lags and it throws the whole thing off. when did you first discover this lag? i signed us up for t-mobile home internet. ugh! but, we found other interests. i guess we have. [both] finch! let's go! oh yeah! it's not the same. what could you do to solve the problem? we could get xfinity? that's actually super adult of you to suggest. i can't wait to squad up. i love it when you talk nerdy to me. guy, guys, guys, we're still in session. and i don't know what the heck you're talking about.

. it's an election night in america. welcome back. ahead this hour, big stakes as voting ends in 15 states. we will get a huge new round of results that's going to help decide the battle for control of the u.s. congress. at 9:00 p.m. eastern polls will close in arizona, colorado, iowa, kansas, louisiana, michigan, minnesota, nebraska, new mexico, new york, north dakota, south dakota, texas, wisconsin, and wyoming. the battle for 218 house seats,

the number needed to win control of the chamber is heating up as we get deeper in the house. 82 house on the lines in the states where polls are closing the top of the hour. 23 seats are competitive and have the potential to tilt the balance of power. in the sfiet for tfight for the u.s. senate, arizona is critical. incumbent democratic senator mark kelly running for a full term. the former astronaut faces republican venture capitalist blake masters. he has received millions from peter deal. mandela parns is aiming to become the state's first black u.s. senator, challenging republican incumbent senator ron johnson, a closs trump ally, who downplayed the january 6th committee insurrection. and in colorado democratic senator micheael bennet seeking a third term in the purple state leaning blue in recent

. turning to the governors in arizona, the secretary of state, katie hobbs is batting for a seat now held by republicans. she's bat bat battling kari blake. in new york state, kathy hochul is in a more competitive race against lee zeldin. hello cal rose to the top job after governor cuomo resigns. we are just minutes away from the second biggest round of polls closing

tonight. let's go kyung lao, what's happening there in these final moments? >> reporter: they are watching the clocks closely here, here is why, i am taking a look through the maricopa county, the election department website, there are hundreds of people in line at dozens of locations. we are seeing the republican candidates who are expecting to have their voters come out today tweeting again and again, stay in line, kari lake tweeting stay in line. hold the line. they want the biggest turnout today. results, we do not expect them another one hour and ten minutes. polls will close in nine minutes now. we are hearing all the campaigns saying patience, patience. we are hearing from u.s. senate candidate mark kelly as nominee saying whoever is leading tonight may not be the winner. that's the key. it is too

early after that first drop so all of these campaigns saying we are going to watch these numbers, we are going to watch the turnout and someone else also watching what's happening here carefully is donald trump, kari lake campaign's saying, he called her twice, go get 'em, girl. >> kyung lah, let's go to omar jimenez, omar, what's the mood there and what are you hearing from the johnson campaign? >> reporter: well, jake right now the cautiously optimistic senator ron johnson is mingling among his supporters here at their election night party in wisconsin, march of the central part of the state. obviously, he's trying to win a third term here and with it, he's brought implications of what it would mean, one, it could contribute to a change and

power in the senate which means he would chair an investigation committee, he already said he's ready to ramp up the number of investigations out of congress. the other side of thing, lieutenant governor mandela barnes told us he's feeling very good tonight, he had done everything they could do up to this point and hearing from democratic leadership, one thing they are watching for tonight is that absentee ballots will be counted later, they are traditionally among the last ballots to be counted here at facilities across the state. they are watching for a red mirage and some of their support to come in later in the night. talking to republican leadership, they are aware of it but they say they feel good of what they have seen on election day themselves. >> omar jimenez, thank you so much with johnson's campaign, we are taking a look at the land.

>> looking at the map can be deceiving. just quickly where kyung lah and omar. the state of maryland is red right now. chris van hall and chris jeffery is his opponent, 13-12. if you look at washington, you are passing through quickly, you see the map red, that's why we want to explain it when we see things like this. we'll come back to that in 10 or 15 minutes. if it holds up, there would be a big surprise. pennsylvania is blue at the moment. that's a republican-held senate seat at the moment. ohio is blue at the moment, that's also a republican held senate seat. now, as we move later into the night, people watching at home, we have been cautioning you all night long. please wait for more votes. we are getting more votes but we are at 37% of the votes. you are

looking at disproportionately in the state of ohio. this is tim ryan's house district. he's a member of the house representative trying to run stat statewide. this is the base of his house district, stretches down a little bit. early votes, 32%, he's running a big lead. that's what he needs to do. this is his democratic base. only 30% of the voting here, 76% to 26%. that's a big deal. democratic base, cleveland and the suburbs around it. you move to lake county, this is interesting to see. tim ryan is running very competitive. he's ahead at the moment but half of the moment. disproportionately, we are looking at more early votes. >> 37% of the votes in ohio is in and tim ryan is up with 30%. david, tell us who

this 37% is and what we are waiting for? you see that lead with 868,000 votes and vance, that's 37% of the estimated votes is fully in. 82% of that vote is preelection vote. it is early vote, absentee by mail and early in-person vote. democrats tend to participate in big numbers than republicans do. at the end of the day, we think it is only going to be 32%. 32% of the ohio voters overall will be preelection vote. this vote you are looking at is over-inflated with early votes. it is making up a larger share than we think will make at the end of the day and that gives j.d.vance and his camp hope. it is

going to help him take over tim ryan. >> we'll keep watching the actual vote coming in. john, can you take me down to georgia. what are we looking at there? non stop delta from dca. you see this was not this close earlier, right? >> yep. >> not only it was not this close, senator warnock was above 50%. we are at 53%. if you were with us in 2020 for the presidential race and the two georgia's run-offs. these are your up late counties. you are getting more votes and 49.6 to 48.7. this is narrow quite considerably. the democratic in incumbent senator. this makes an interesting

dynamic. >> i want to bring in david to tell us more. 53% of the vote is in estimated. tell us what we are waiting for. >> we are breaking this down, jake, i want to show you what's still uncounted. in mail vote, 36.8% advantage for rafael warnock. 51% is still uncounted. early in-person vote. he's got a much smaller advantage there. the big walker category, 42.4% lead for herschel walker among election day voters and 87.6% of votes still remained to be counted. it is a close-tight race as we watch it all night long. >> jon. what else are you going to show us? >> a lot of those votes are still counted and you see gray counties as well. that's rural, trump country. we still have no votes there counted at all. we have no votes counted at all. these

are smaller counties, less than 1% of the population. that's how republicans run up in the rural counties. democratic incumbent senator running the same election, senator warnock is at 49.5%. the governor is at 53%. you see the candidate at 46%. you see the split right brian brian kemp getting the 53%. republicans running five points behind, behind the democratic senator. in georgia, one of several states where you look and you have a republican incumbent governor. we see it in new hampshire as well. >> jon king, polls are closing in 15 states with a slew of high-profile races and key battlegrounds including arizona. we have our cnn projection for you right now in new york. cnn

is projecting charles schumer will defeat joe pena. in south dakota, senator john thune will defeat brian. bengs. let's look at the maps right now. it in collides colorado, iowa and louisiana and north dakota and wisconsin. we do not have a projection in those races. 100 senate seats, democrats have 37 of those seats. republicans have 38 of those seats. there are 25 seats remaining. republicans only need to pick up one net set in order to regain control of the u.s. senate, there

are governor's races going on right now. let's go to boris sanchez. sarah huckabee sanders, the communications director, following in the footsteps of her father, mike huckabee becoming the new governor of arkansas. another projection to bring you now, this one from rhode island, dan mckey will win his first full term in the government mansion. we have key race alerts to bring you now beginning with the state of texas. last time we checked in, former congressman beto o'rourke had a decent advantage. right now greg abbott taken him nearly 170,000 votes lead with 33% of the votes in. update right now, georgia, brian kemp building on the lead that we saw him

taking over now. he stands at 177,000 votes ahead. roughly 8% advantage for kemp. still above that 50% threshold to avoid a run-off with 50% of the votes in with georgia. in oklahoma, a key race alert there, kevin steit, 43,000 votes ahead with 34% of the votes in. >> boris, thank you so much. >> one of those key states just changed color, john. georgia. >> it is georgia. we were talking earlier number one was senator warnock. herschel walker is now in the lead by 9,000 votes and up to 55%. prepare for a little bit of a seesaw ahead. as they begin to

count more of today's votes, election day cast votes, that's where they have an edge. governor kemp is stretching his lead a little bit. we are starting to count them as we move through the hours and ahead. georgia took us a long time in 2020 and those run-offs were closed. now we come back here to the senate race and you just look at this. this is the state of georgia today. incredibly competitive state. you begin to see the map filling in. you also see, again, some of these rural counties, they are small. we have no votes in at all. i want to check up here a little bit. you come to fulton county, senator warnock getting 75% of the votes there. let's look at 2020 in the presidential race, joe biden gets 73%. warnock is doing what he had to do at fulton

county and dekalb county, it is a more competitive suburb, joe biden won by 14 points. now, around the atlanta area at the moment, warnock there doing quite well of what he needs to do. i want to come over here to dekalb county, 70% of the votes here. in atlanta and the suburbs, senator warnock is running strong. one of the challenges was did the trump voters turn out? that's where brian kemp helps. you had a republican governor running well ahead of herschel walker. again, small population, it is less than 1% of the votes. you say it is not significant but there are dozens of them and those votes add up. this is a 28-point donald trump district. herschel walker, there you see, running a big margin. margins in these areas. >> how did trump do?

>> let me come back there. >> 65% for walker and 67% for kemp. so brian kemp is stronger than donald trump in that rural area there. >> what's interesting is warnock is outperforming biden in some of these areas. it seems to a degree herschel walker outperforming trump. >> 5%. >> i want to come back to see if it changes as we go. >> there we go. >> speaking of states that changes color, let's go north of the tarheels state. >> we talked about this dynamic earlier. you get the early votes d the election day vote. senator bud, 5600 votes. again, as you start

to count those votes, you start to fill in the rural areas as well. two-thirds of the votes, we have al way to go. beasley is running a remarkable competitive race. you see the dynamic of democrats getting an early lead, republicans pass them as we count them. if you are the bud campaign, you are saying wait, now, we are seeing. i want to come back to this just because it is changing as we are talking. it has flipped back. it went from a 9,000 vote herschel walker lead. that's going large, early precinct some where, you have to go back some where. >> dekalb county is what i am being told. >> i didn't write it down when we were here. there you go, if you have large votes reported in dekalb county, 87% of the votes. right there, you can have this quick and big swing in the

night when you are waiting for the metropolitan area and the big suburbs around them. sometimes you get counties reporting of a big chunk. >> warnock was up 7% and now he's up 65%. >> in that county. >> these are votes coming in and it is going to go back and forth. >> look, there is no question, we went to georgia 2020 despite what donald trump said and the run-offs. georgia is good and solid. you have to wait and watch it play out in that competitive state. you are going to get some swings. >> let's talk to david at the battleground desk if we can to give us more of a break down of the votes in georgia. >> just watching you guys, we are looking at the geography of this like jon just showed you and dekalb county first it was 7% and now a batch of votes there. we are looking at the kind of votes and breaking it down of what's still out there. i want to show you among mail vote, warnock had

this big 38% lead, roughly is 49.5% is still uncounted. early in-person voting, warnock got a much closer category of a 5% lead, there is only 30% left of the early in-person in dekalb. jon said it is going to be a seesaw, look at that. that's a huge herschel walker category day vote. he's winning by 36.8 percentage point cht. >> very interesting, david, let's get one more look and i want to take you over to the house. >> early voting has been a growing phenomenal any way,

you want more people to participate and you give them the opportunity. but, obviously that accelerated in the 2020 election because of covid. this is more complicated than ten years ago because you get people voting in different ways and early in-person voting and mail-in voting. it is more complicated which requires us to be clear and contextual. back to the question right now. >> right now democrats have 47 seats, republicans have 42. right now they're leading in 47 seats and four of those are republican seats and 42 republicans are leading and one of them are in the democratic seat. well, it was georgia but now it is not. >> georgia is ahead now. the democratic seat we are still looking at is maryland. >> we still have 13-12. again, let's come out here and you are looking at the

senate race, valentine is not favored in the missouri senate race. we have 6% of the vote-in. where is it? well, you are having votes right here outside of st. louis. and again, that's what we are talking about earlier. it is very important and you can take a picture of this and say wow, for the democrats because democrats are also leading at the moment. we already projected this race because we understand what's happening here. these are predominantly democrat areas. you can't look at the map now. whatt matters is tomorrow and we'll be doing this for a couple of days. this could be a competitive race if you talk to both parties involved. again, it is very early voting and

denver for the most part. senator michael bennett, we talked about north carolina and ohio being a surprise for democrats. >> let's take a look at the house map because right now there are 34 house seats that are competitive. we consider them to be competitive that are too early to call. of those house seats, democrats are currently leading 22 of them. republicans are leading 12 of them. that's not to say those are going to be the final decisive answers as to what happens in those 34. right now democrats are doing better in this early vote than -- well, they are doing well and doing what they need to do. >> you are looking. these are of the 435 house districts, these are the ones globally of all that we have results in them. now, you are isolating it into the competitive seats that we have identified. we'll

watch and there could be other seats as well. democrats being competitive and again, where were we earlier? at the moment, democrats are holding two competitive seats that democrats were a bit nervous about and republicans just one there. the last time jake and i were talking about, the republicans was leading this district in rhode island and now you see democrats. 50.8%. democrats pulled ahead again as we count the votes. that one was red a few moments ago. now, it is blue, still a long way to go. this is fascinating if it holds up. we know it is early vote, we know we have a long way to go. there are four competitive house districts here, two in the east, seven and eight. matt cartwright

and susan wiles. you come here and you look at this district here, this is the old district. the lines have been drawn. this is the place where republicans think they can pick up two or three seats. we have a way to go, jake, remember the vote is still early. where we are two hours from now will tell us a lot more about the house than right now. >> cnn is about to make two more projections in house races in florida. republican maria salazar, cnn is projecting had won a second term in district. she's a former tv journalist. congresswoman salazar will be reelected, cnn is projecting. in virginia, she represents

washington suburbs in northern virginia. that's one win for republicans and one win for democrats, the ballots of power right now. 295 seats are remaining, remember you need 218 seats in order to control the house of representatives. in the u.s. house of the competitive seats that we are keeping an eye on. republicans have to win 26 of them we now say. that's down from 27. so, they have made one more gain there that they need to do. democrats have as well. they need to pick up 52 that's down to 52. let's go to kasie hunt now who'll tell us more of what's going on with the senate race. >> let's check in across the maps and we'll start in a place where we have been all night and that's georgia where rafael warnock is in the lead right now to walker to 41%. i expect you are

going to be hearing a lot of us talking about this tonight. let's check in now on ohio where jd vance have taken the lead. tim brian is at 49.7%. ohio have trended red in recent years. in north carolina, we have ted bud, 49.4% to 48.6%. this is a real nail biter at this hour. let's go to new hampshire where magg maggie hassin is holding her lead. considering how chris snusnu is performing. now, let's take a look at pennsylvania. we expect this race to be much closer than

what you are seeing right now. we only have 15% of the votes in pennsylvania. let's check in on colorado where michael bennett is out to an early lead over joe o'day, the republican, 39.6%. this is not a seat that democrats have to worry about, they came online near the end of this midterm season, they got a third of a vote in colorado, we'll keep an eye on that. we have key races of governors' races. >> there is greg abbott leading by 80,000 votes with 51% of the votes in texas as he seeks a third term. let's get an update now, brian kemp maintaining a slight advantage over stacey abrams. the 90,000 votes

difference between the two is a bigger margin when kemp won by four years ago. he maintains an advantage over the 50% threshold. in pennsylvania, josh shapiro, 324,000 votes. 15% of the votes there in the commonwealth of pennsylvania. let's get an update now from the state of michigan. incumbent gretchen whitmer is currently leading. whitmer is currently on the lead. let's chak a look at the race that nobody expected to be as close. kathy hochul is running for her first term, she leads considerably over congressman from long island lee zeldin, 265,000 votes as we just got the updates from the empire state. 9% of the

votes in right now in the state of new york. we'll send it back to you, jake. >> boris, thank you so much. let's take a look at the governors' races playing out. some of them are playing out as we expected and some of them are a lot different than we expected. >> among the governors' races out there. the handful of states that are key battlegrounds. every governors race matter every year. let's go through some of those. i want to make the point here that we are very early, surprisingly close race in the polling. we'll see what it turns out on election day. crimes is a huge issue here, kathy hochul is trying to win a full term for the first time. the votes largely in the new york city area at the tiny percentage of the votes. we are looking queens here and at the bronx here. that's early votes coming in there. we have a long way to go in the state of new york. >> this race is much more

competitive than that vote. >> yes, absolutely. >> we move over to michigan. again, this has been a competitive race as well. we are at 11% of the votes, you are watching the map, for me the map is filling in as one expects. we'll see some where out here grand rapids and kent county and if republicans doing well here, they're competitive statewide but it is only 3% of the votes. we'll see how it plays out. wayne county, it is 18% of the vote in detroit. it tends to come in a little later. this is where it will be fascinating, oakland county, if you go back to 25 years, this is where you have your upscale college-educated voters who are much more. this is macomb county like bucks county where you are from, this is the blue color, north of suburbs when

you come up here and we'll see how it comes in. donald trump did well in macomb county. if you go back to the 1980s, this is where the studies were done. the reagan. >> we'll watch, as you move here, this would be the very modest number of votes and they all come from a critical suburbs, here is milwaukee and suburbs here, democrats can get votes in the closer areas of suburbs. it gets very early here. tim michels, if you elect me, no republicans will ever lose again. it brings the democracy question into play. very early. key presidential battleground, when you move out here in the middle of the country where you see this one, people don't think of kansas as a democratic state. kansas has a democratic

governor, kansas after dobbs have a big referendum where ka kansas conservatives saying no to open the supreme court to allow abortion districts. if you are looking out here this is red. this at the end of the night will be red, some huge surprise where the votes so far. this is closer to kansas city, missouri here. these are the kansas city suburbs if you will and you move into the democrats area. you think kansas is a red state. this is a 40-point county for joe biden. you come over to topeka area, it was democrats plus three. so, we'll see, can laura kelly hold on in the state of kansas? then you move up

here to nebraska, 23% of the votes, democrats are leading but slow down in the sense of look at where the votes are coming in, omaha and lincoln. this is a whole lot of rural red republican kansas. a race that republicans hoped to make more competitive at the moment. we talk about that dynamic in georgia in new hampshire. what happens to the governor? this will be the senate candidate in colorado. they're both in the same party. in new mexico, the governor mic mic michelle gresham. the governors' race is all critical, all the more important because of threats to democracy. >> cnn has more projections.

in vermont, cnn projects congressman peter welch will get the promotion and becoming the next senator from vermont, defeating j jerry maloy. 23 seats are remaining. we have a key race alert that we'll go to kasie hunt right now. >> we'll take a quick spin through all of these races for you, we have rafael warnock sitting at 51% in georgia to herschel walker, 47.2%. he's above that critical threshold to avoid a run-off. we'll be keeping close tabs here as we move back and forth here. 65% of the voting there. jd vance, it is close. 49%. jon king

is going to need to walk us through where the votes going out. it is about 45%. now, in north carolina, look at this, ted budd, sitting at 50%. this is a wider lead than we have seen at some point on this race tonight. we got 72% of the votes in north carolina. let's move to new hampshire where we got maggie hassan sitting at 57.8%. don bolduc at 59%. we have 30% of the votes in so we'll keep an eye on that one. out to colorado, a reach for republicans, michael bennett at 58.6%. joe o'day, 39.2%. we do need to know where the votes are coming in, we are only looking at 40% of them so

far. now, wisconsin, expected to be one of the tightest races on the map tonight. take these numbers with a grain of salt, mandela barnes. 70% who sits at 29.8%. i am sure jon king can explain to us why it looks that way. now, i want to check in on iowa, another unexpected place on the map but there was an iowa poll late in the cycle from a trustworthy pollster out this that showed chuck grassley in a tight race with mike franken. there is very little vote in iowa at this hour. we only have 11% in. let's dip in on pennsylvania where fetterman of 65.5% and dr. mehmet oz at 55%. this is another

situation where they're going to count votes very slowly. 17% of the votes in in pennsylvania. boris has got some governors' races to talk to us about. >> it will be interesting to see how voters may have split their tickets. first, an update on greg abbott building on the early league he had on beto o'rourke. 149,000 votes ahead for the two-time governor of texas. 52% of the votes in there. let's take a look at the state of georgia. brian kemp right now with 111,000 votes over stacey abrams, 66% of the votes in. notably, he's above that 50% threshold, meaning he could avoid a run-off if this holds. now, 115,000 votes lead for kemp. let's take a look for the state of michigan, gretchen

whitmer with tudor dixon. let's get an update for you in pennsylvania with josh shapiro, nearly a 300,000 votes advantage, one of the most extreme candidates that you will see on the board tonight. 17% of the votes in in the commonwealth of pennsylvania and one that jake tapper knows very well. >> let's take a look at this governors' race right now in pennsylvania. the sitting attorney general running for governor against state legislature against doug mastriano, what's going on here? >> if you want to go through and i was looking at one place, this was one of the closest and most competitive

swing counties. you see shapiro may win it and may win it comfortably. it tells you this is early vote. it is early vote which is disproportionately democrats. it is only 20% of the votes. this is a key swing county, donald trump just won it in 2016. joe biden flipped it and won in 2020. it is never like that. everyone if shapiro wins it big, it is never like that. that tells you you are looking at early votes and we have a long way to go. you come down to philadelphia to see what votes here. 13% of the votes into see shapiro at 94%. democrats most likely will be overwhelmingly up when we get to philadelphia's final count. you walk out from here and you come to bucks county, this is the more

competitive. again, that would be shocking. but you would rather be ahead than behind. let's come out and look at it whether it is early or late in the count, you want to start ahead. there is josh shapiro, 64.4%. >> 623,000. >> the republican candidate for governor just shy of 34% if you round it up a little bit. you bring it over to the senate race now. you see john fetterman is running behind and under performing his democratic ticket mate. they are both statewide office holders, by the way. they both have won statewide before. you see 60% if you round that up to 38%. again, there is been no indication that are this race would be anything like that. we expect this race to be competitive. we are shy of 20% of the overall votes. 60-34. just want to check

again. this is may favorite places to look, again, this is early vote. josh shapiro was way up and fetterman as well. often the person that wins north hampton county will win. we are looking at disproportionately early voting. >> just to put an underlining, john fetterman, this is early. 59.6%. and shapiro who's running for governor at 64.4%. shapiro running at five percentage point and also when it comes to oz, two different races. ticket splitter. let's find out what this vote is though. >> david, 19% of the vote in the commonwealth of pennsylvania reporting, what is this 19%?

>> it is an early vote situation here. so roughly half of what we are seeing in pennsylvania, 49% of that current vote is pre-election early vote. that may be helping boost fetterman to the 600,000 votes right now verses oz's 385,000. we expect at the end of the day for the share of the overall votes that's going to be early vote to be about half that. we think it is going to be 25% of the overall vote at the end of the day. right now as a proportion of the vote. that's what's giving fetterman and shapiro of these larger advantages like you would expect that john was showing you there. right now jake, the early vote makes up roughly half and we think it is going to make up a lot less at the end of the day.

>> if you are democrats, you understand this democynamicu need to run it up. this is not contextual. that's what's going on in the headquarters now. they understand there is a long way to go and the numbers and percentages are going to change. they do know what their target is. are we close to our targets? the polls are close, too late to do anything about it. now, what do we have to look for as we move into the night. you are about half of the vote as david just noted. when election day vote comes in, that's where in pennsylvania they count that as, you allow that early in

2020 when trump took an early lead. my biggest fascination when i was in the pittsburgh suburbs, they were asking, a lot of them voted for trump the first time and didn't vote trump the second time because they didn't like the chaos or the noise, they didn't like being told to ingest bleach. the people that made george bush president, they were asking what do you know about oz, is he a trump? because then i am not going to vote for him. that's one question for oz, how does he do out here? the other question for oz is how does he do here? this is trump's country. again, it is 20% of the votes. can mehmet oz match donald trump in the trumpian part of

pennsylvania. and again with suburban voters here, that's just not a contextual number. can mehmet oz thread the needle? >> we have a long way to go before we know that. >> you heard oz in the closing weeks of the campaign trying to paint himself as a pennsylvania republican, more moderate republican, talking about how he wants to go to washington to fight against the left and the right. did he convince the people in bucks county or montgomery county that he meant it or did he undermine that when he appeared in a rally with mastriano. >> or if you are conflicted by that. we don't have any votes in montgomery county right but this was where his

last event was. the most blue collar of the suburbs, bucks county. that's where he was saying, i will be balanced and moderate voice. pat toomey didn't carry these counties. >> one other things i was talking to pennsylvania today and he said the other thing for us to look at since this is anticipated to be a tight race between fetterman and oz. does fetterman outperform biden

in scranton. because fetterman does have this statewide name and id and an image as a blue collar democrat, again, he won't win scranton but does he improve the margins? >> biden actually carried the county. because of this. you get out here, the precinct is up here. he did carry it in 2020. you raised a key point in the sense that what fetterman was trying to do, i was talking about what needle oz had to thread here. >> the needle fetterman is trying to do is run it up in the blue area and cut into the trump support. fetterman livers right here, he wants to be the guy that gets the blue collar votes. i talk about the needle that oz

wants to thread and you raise the other one which is fetterman cutting into trump's base a little bit. hey, i am one of you. oz is from new jersey, you want to vote for me because i understand your issue. i have a steel plant outside my window which happens to be true in fetterman's case. that's his needle and we are a couple hours away. >> we'll figure out if that works or not. let's talk about competitive seats. we are looking at 82 competitive seats of the 82, 47 of them, the voting has ended, they are too early to call. democrats are leading in 34 of those 47 competitive seats. republicans are leading in 13 of those 47 competitive seats. we know a lot of what we are seeing is the early votes. let's talk about these competitive races. >> if that kind of math holds up, 47-13. that's great. it would defy historical averages. if that math holds up there, when

you are calling the races, you still have a narrow republican majority because anyway only neat a net gain of five. if we are going through the night, democrats would say where are we now as opposed to where we were earlier? this district ranked choice voting, it could be days or much longer before we get a final result. if you are a democrat, you are thinking this is one of the districts they would take from us. both with democratic incumbents here. we still need 20% of the votes here. the democratic incumbent leading here and here. if these three seats are red when we are done then republicans are going to have a big majority. if democrats can hold them, number one, they have hopes of defining history and keeping the majority or they think they can get to a narrow majority. you can see the competitive districts

here. you see competitive districts, most of them are red. we drop down south where we are at the commonwealth of pennsylvania, the four competitive districts here. democrats leading at the hometown. republicans hoping to pick up two or four of these seats. you keep on dropping south. we told you earlier that republicans was leading at one point, democrats moved into the lead 15 minutes ago. you see democrats are ahead there, 51% to 47% if you round it up. the map if you were worried for the democrats, you will see a blood bath, you won't see it in the map now with some time to go. >> all right, jon king. thank you very much. we have some projections for you.

cnn has three protections projections, michael bennett will be reelected. republicans had a lot of hopes that joe o' dea was going to pick it up. they fell short. this was not the kind of great night republicans were expecting. two other projections, chris van holen will be reelected. and john hoven will be reelected as cnn projected. there are 20 seats remaining. that's what we'll be doing the rest of the night and a few more days after that. republicans need to pick up one net democratic seat in order to regain control of the u.s.

senate. we have governors races and boris sanchez has the projection there. >> history being made in maryland. westmore will be the first black governor as he defeats dan cox. >> meantime, the first open openly gay winner. brian kemp right now, 204,000

votes ahead of stacey abrams and roughly a seven percentage points. let's take a look at greg abbott with a similarly 280,000 votes ahead of beto o'rourke. 56% of the votes in the state of texas. an update now, michigan, this tough reelection battle for gretchen whitmer, she stands in the same place where we last checked in, 40,000 against tudor dixon. only 13% of the votes in in michigan. a true toss up. joe biden won the state of wisconsin in 2020 by an eye lash. we want to send it over to dana bash right now. >> thank you so much, boris.

so many races now. such a battleground. let's go back to the governors' mansion. you will have a democrat in the governors' mansion as well and maryland. maryland, we see the signs everywhere. talk about wes moore and the importance of it. >> there is a lot of history that could be made tonight. these are two big ones and especially for democrats in massachusetts, the first openly gay governor in that state and the first lesbian in the entire country. there could be a second tonight if tina kotek wins the the state of oregon. that's a significant moment for the state of massachusetts. in maryland, wes moore, what you are seeing is someone that democrats agree is perhaps the future of the party. huge rising star, someone who as boris said

never held public office before taking over that governor's mansion from a popular republican governor, i think that's definitely one place i would be watching. >> yeah, there is no question. obviously, here in washington, we see a lot of the ads for wes moore and an impressive candidate. these are two deep blue states, maryland and massachusetts, and the last eight years, both of them have been governed by moderate republicans, larry hogan and charlie baker, both very popular. both moore and healy were advantaged by the fact they have hard right candidates, candidates who were strongly against abortion and strongly for trump. one of them said pence was a traitor and the other one said the 2020 election was rigged. that kind of politics is not going to work in massachusetts. >> the resume that wes moore

had was stellar. i want to go back to massachusetts because i am sorry -- when you think about it, the history-making moments of her being the first openly lesbian, okay, but the first woman, there is never been a female governor in massachusetts? >> it is amazing. massachusetts is not the only place where that's a piece of history where it has not happened. there is a lot of place in this country. especially when you look at the statewide contest where it is a barrier to reach for women to be elected to those positions and black people to be elected in those positions. i believe wes moore was the third to be elected. there is a lot of barriers that we thought we have gotten past but people are still breaking in 2022. >> another deep blue state,

a few barriers they broke in tonight, we'll see how the national race goes. a couple of very blue states, a couple of very impressive blue candidates. >> back over to jake. >> thanks so much dana. coming up, the first results of the senate races in nevada and utah that could be key to the fight to control. our election coverage continues in just a moment, stay with us.

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>> it's election night in america. we are getting deeper into this incredibly important night in america. just minutes from now, we are going to get more results. but until then, let us start with the balance of power in the u.s. senate. 40 democrats in the u.s. senate, 40 republicans in the u.s. senate, 20 seats are remaining. remember, republicans need to pick up one net democratic seat in order to regain control of the u.s. senate. the balance of power right now in the house of representatives, 75 democrats, 129 republicans, including three pickups. 231 seats are remaining. 218 seats are needed to control the republican -- the house of representatives. the state at play right now, when it comes to the house of

representatives, when it comes to competitive seats, there are 48 seats where the polls have closed and cnn has said it is too early to call. of those 48, democrats are in the league in 37, republicans are in the league in 11. there are 82 competitive seats total. that is the state of play as of now, especially as those early votes are being tabulated. just minutes from now, at 10 pm eastern, polls are going to close in nevada, utah, and montana. both parties are aiming for the magic number of 2:18, the total number of seats needed to control the u.s. house of representatives. 11 house seats are at stake in the next hour. every seat matters in this heated battle for the house. four of those seats are considered competitive in this next round of polls closing. turning to the battle for u.s. senate, it really could all come down to nevada. incumbent democratic senator catherine cortez masto, the first latina u.s. senator ever, is also one of the most vulnerable democrats in the

u.s. senate. she faces a strong challenge by the former state republican general adam laxalt. in the utah senate race, republican senator and trump loyalist mike lee, who is facing a heated challenge by independent candidate former cia officer evan mcmullin. mcmullen is a former anti trump -- ran in 2016. the clock is ticking closer to the end of voting and three more states. and when those votes come, we will bring them to you. let's go to thierry tucker now. he is in nevada at a voting location in las vegas. and gary, you have seen a surge of late voters? >> a surge of white voters. and i will go this far, jake, to tell you this. i've covered a lot of midterm elections. i've never seen a line this long for a midterm election. this is las vegas nevada. this is the boulevard mall, about a five minute drive away from the las vegas strip. right now, i just finished counting, there are 250 people in line. the polls close, officially, at 7 pm, pacific time, in about

eight minutes. but if you are in line before 7 pm, you will be permitted to vote. we talk to the person at the front of this line. they said they had waited an hour. when we talk to a person ten moscow, more people have come in. this bill could be open for another -- hour and a half. one thing we will tell you about results, the thing about, there is 17 counties. each of, them including this one, clark county, where more than 70% of nevada's population lives. we have been told that until all 17 counties have process their votes, none of them are to report their votes to carson city, the state capital. so, the results will come out at once when all 17 counties are done. so, that could take a long time. so, the polls closed officially in seven minutes. but we should not expect results coming for a long time, because of what i just told you. >> i cannot believe you are walking in that line, the entire live shot, that is indeed a long line. let's go to sara sidner, who is in phoenix, arizona, maricopa county, getting a sense of what is going to happen there. obviously, there has been

reporting, you have been reporting on some of the problems happening in maricopa county. how are things now? >> we are told that all of the problems have been resolved. but as you know, the polls did close at 7 pm. and we have heard from the chairman of the county board of supervisors, who apologized for the problems that happened earlier in the day. but said every single vote will be counted, rest assured. he wanted to make sure that voters knew that very clearly. in about six minutes, we are going to have some of those first results just rolling in. remember, in this county, about 85% of people vote early. and so, those vote counts, that you start hearing in just a bit here are going to be from early voters, people who came to the polls before today or mailed in their ballots as well. and so, that is what you're going to start hearing. by friday, we should have all the early votes, about 95 to 99% of those votes counted. and we will know what those

numbers are. according to officials here. one thing i want to stress, is we asked the chairman of the county board of supervisors whether or not there are issues of calculation, issues with the printers that happened here in several different voting centers were going to make this count last longer. and the answer was no. this should be as per normal, jake? >> all right, sarah, is that mr. gates from the maricopa county florida supervises next few, sara? >> that is, and we're hoping to bring him in life. if you have some time we would like to do that if you would not mind. >> we will come back later tell him we said hi. we'll come back and get a status report from him. let's get more from arizona for brianna keilar at the voting desk. rihanna? >> let's take a closer look here, jake. a judge in maricopa county, which is where phoenix is located is denying a request by republican extend -- polling hours by three hours. there was no evidence that anyone is prevented from exercising their right to vote.

that hearing wrapping up just two minutes before polls closed in arizona. republicans had asked for this extension after machines in 60 of the counties, 223 locations, were rejecting those ballots earlier. an election official said technician had fix the problems, ballots would still be counted, even if they were not tabulated by the machines that were affected. but the technical difficulties, of course, have stoked right wing conspiracy theories about voting machines on social media. and the chief election official, as you heard sara talking about, tweeting every legal vote will be tabulated, adding i promise. and we will see some of these official numbers from maricopa coming here in just minutes, by 10 pm, eastern. >> all right, brianna thank you so much. voting is about to end. but before we call to talk about those races, let's get a sense of the landscape here in the u.s. senate. and if we can, if you will permit me, could you take me to georgia? >> i can take you to georgia,

which has just turned red. herschel walker, again, we talked earlier about a seesaw here, because this race is so competitive. herschel walker now 2970 votes ahead of the democratic incumbent, senator raphael warnock. chase oliver, the libertarian candidate, just shy of 2% of the vote. that could be quite significant in the sense that at the moment, at the moment, 76% of the estimated vote counts. we have a way to go. consider all ways to go. 49 point, 1 to 49. percent that's essentially a dead heat. a very slight walker league. i just want to show you one interesting dynamic in the state, as walker has now pulled into the lead. if you look at the governor's race, it is not that close, right? you see an eight-point lead there for the incumbent republican governor. >> brian kemp, up 251,000 votes. >> 251,000. watch this when we come back to the senate race. >> 2000, almost three. thousand >> so, you're looking to each of the counties here across the great state of georgia. watch, we'll pull this up to give you a sense. where are the counties where herschel walker is

underperforming governor camp? >> that would be almost everywhere. >> pretty much everywhere. that be almost everywhere. so, what is happening? >> number, one governor camp, let me turn this off and come back to the governor's race for a minute, governor kemp is over performing herschel locker where democrats live. and where the vote is overwhelming. you might say he's getting blown out here. yes, he has. he's getting blown out here. but margins matter in close races. so, look at brian kemp with 28% vote in fulton county, the most populous county in the state. the county joe biden won by 46 points, more than 46 points. brian kemp is getting 28%, herschel walker's game 23%, 23%. so, that is where in terms of where the people live, in a democratic area, that is one way to look at it. but it is also happening out here. i'm just going to pick a random rural county in georgia. this is wilcox county. it is tiny, it is less than 1% of the vote. but look at herschel walker getting 74% of the vote there. and raphael warnock and 25%, if you round that up. and then you come over here to the governor's race, brian kemp getting a point or two higher

than stacey abrams lower. herschel, raphael warnock is getting a few more votes in these very white floral counties. he is over performing stacey abrams in these areas. it makes a difference in the close race. he might say it's only 50 votes here are hundred votes there. when you get in the governor's race, it's not close. so you say, oh, it does not matter. when you get here, raphael warnock, and during this conversation, senator warnock has now pulled ahead by 5491 votes. so, as these votes come in, the margins matter. the fact that governor kemp is doing a little better in the strongly democratic areas matters big time in his race. and the fact that herschel walker, in these red counties all across georgia, is running a little bit behind the republican incumbent governor, it matters, jake. the margins. matter >> it sure does, john. ken voting is about to end in three more states, including nevada, another key battleground that could tip the scale to fight for control of the u.s. senate. you have a key race alert for you now. it is too early to call the u.s. senate race in nevada between senator cortez masto

and mr. laxalt, adam laxalt. it is too early to call. we do not have any information for you there to project. in terms of utah, between incumbent republican senator mike lee and his challenger independent evan mcmullin, also too early to call. the balance of power in the u.s. senate, as we've been telling you all night, this is key. there are 40 democratic senators, 40 republican senators, 20 seats outstanding. that is what we are gonna be spending the rest of the night focusing on. republicans need to pick up one net seat in order to regain control of the u.s. senate. but right now, it is tied 40 40, boris sanchez now has the production at the governors desk. >> yeah, jake, a trio of projections to bring, you and all of them republican incumbents hanging on, including in the state of south dakota, where democrats have not elected a governor since the 1970s. there, kristi noem earns another four years, defeating jayme smith. she is someone that potentially has vice presidential aspirations for 2024. an update now, our projection

for the state of oklahoma. there, kevin stitt getting a big boost from national republicans late in the game. a big influx of cash there. he defeats democratic challenger joy hofmeister to turn to the governor's mansion in oklahoma. an update from the state of vermont. in a state that joe biden won by considerable margin, republican governor phil scott earns another four years. he's the only republican holding on to statewide office in his state as a defeat progressive educator brenda segel. a number of key results to bring you now in the state of texas. republican incumbent greg abbott building on his lead. he's out 360 votes ahead of beto arroyo with 58% of the vote in in the lone star state. let's get a look at michigan. right now, gretchen whitmer roughly at the same place, maybe a slimmer advantage to last time we checked in on her contest with tudor dixon. 36,000 votes ahead for the democratic incumbent, with 16% vote in. an update now again,, from

georgia brian kemp there 247,000 votes ahead there with stacey abrams. notable in this rematch. last time around, kemp only won about 50,000 votes. this is a much bigger lead. and as you just saw, he added another thousand votes to that advantage with 77% of the vote in in georgia,. we finish with wisconsin. furious race there. 85,000 votes severing these two candidates. tony eva, as the incumbent, holding on to an advantage over election denier to michaels. 35% of the vote in wisconsin as we turn it over to casey hopkins, to point out there is a big senate race in wisconsin as well. >> there sure is, boris. and we want to walk across the map here. i want to start, take a guess, georgia, which is where we have been talking about all night. raphael warnock back in the league by 0.1%. look at that. 2300 or so votes separating warnock from herschel walker at this hour. we've got 77% of the vote in. but i think it is very obvious to everyone watching this could go either way. let's take a look at wisconsin. we obviously just saw what

boris was pointing out. it's similar on the senate side. mandela barnes, the democrat, sitting at 51.8%. but that is not as strong as the gubernatorial candidate. ron johnson, the incumbent republican at 48%. we expect this to be one of the closest senate contests throughout the night. we've only got 34% of the vote. and so, keep watching that one. pennsylvania, let's check back in. this has changed pretty dramatically since the last time we really look at it. john fetterman is now at 52.1%, two mehmet oz is 45.4%. this is starting to look a lot more like what we expected to look as they count the votes, perhaps over the next couple of days, depending on how close it remains. right, now about 146,000 votes separating them. fetterman has been underperforming the democratic candidate in the governor's race, josh shapiro. so, another thing to keep an eye on. let's check in on ohio, where j.d. vance has expanded his lead a little bit over democrat tim ryan, the congressman who is challenging him. this is of course our retiring republican rob portman, seems to advance, hang on to this

lead. it will represent a republican hold, 53.4% to reince 46.6%. we still do, of course, have about 30% of the vote outstanding there. now, let's go down to north carolina, where ted budd is still leading democrats cheri beasley, 50.8% cheri beasley 47.1%, retiring republican richard burr has this seat right now. so this will represent a republican hold. this has been pretty steady for the past couple of hours. but the vote count creeping upward. we're now at 83% in north carolina. and let's check back in in new hampshire. this is one that a lot of people were looking to for signs of potential an early republican league, if don bolduc the republican had a particularly strong showing. so far, that as just not happening. the maggie hassan is at 57.2%, don bolduc down 45. we have only 40% of the vote in, they're so things may change. i will say the democrats are saying good things about new hampshire right now on the senate side, jake. >> well, it's a nice state.

of course they're saying nice things. let's take a look at the balance of power right now in the competitive seats. remember, we're looking at 82 competitive house seats. we are not going to look at all 435. there are 82 competitive ones. of those 82, there are 51 competitive seats that we think are too early to call. right now, in those 50 want, democrats are leading in 39 of them. republicans are leading in 12 of them. it is early, we do not know that this is going to be determinative. but this is certainly, if you are a democrat watching at home, better news than what a lot of republicans were hoping for at this point in the night. let us go over to the magic wall right now. john king, let's take a look. and if you don't mind my asking, there is a little county, a little district in virginia of the three that we're watching in george india, congressman abigail spanberger's district. and i'm wondering is changed to blue. >> it's changed. blue and we talked about earlier what's happening. three competitive districts in the commonwealth of virginia,

republicans hope to pick up all three. they thought they could maybe get to. the western race, we called it a little earlier. that's the most democratic. she is winning comfortably. now, we come down, and again, washington d.c. is here, we get down to the spanberger race, she has pulled ahead, narrowly ahead. by 4863 votes. much of the estimated votes in. so, some counties here. what happened? last time we're here we don't have any votes from prince william county. . this is the largest population base in the district. it also happen to be the most democratic area, closest to washington d.c.. >> and look at this. >> still 80%. still more votes to come from the most democratic area of the district. joe biden carried this county by 32 points. and there you have a right, there she is carrying it by 32, 33 points. so, this county performing and when you pull back out, democrats are looking at these house races filling in. and what you do see is the democrats are very competitive. is it enough to keep a republican majority? that is a much bigger question when we walk through the night,

because republicans only need a net gain of five. but in terms of democrats fighting, tough in the competitive districts, you see it right here. a lot of red here in the district as you look. the largest population center of the district is right here. again, we have to finish the count here. but we are up to 98%. you come out, i just want to come down sense -- down south of the laurier district. this is the much more competitive district. laurier has narrow, this but she still down nine points, or ten points if you round up the republican candidates, jen kagan's. it's gotten a little tighter as it comes. in you can see it on the county level, here as it breaks up throughout the district. this will be an area people study after the election, right at the virginia beach area just south of norfolk. i want to come back to the house competitive, map again, if you're democrats and republicans looking at virginia looking if you're gonna get two of those three you're thinking at the moment maybe we can keep just one. this is a footnote, i want to make, because it's early. i don't want to draw any conclusions here. but this district has gotten a lot of attention in recent days,

because shawn alone is not just the democratic incumbent from new york, he's the head of the democratic campaign committee. he's head of the fund raising arm to help democrats keep the majority. at the moment, he is losing in his district. i want to turn off the county lines for a minute and show you the district here. here and hudson valley, a little bit northwest of new york city, losing at the moment. but it is only 9%. so, this is one of those races republicans would love this. they consider this, if they could get, it a trophy, because he is the campaign committee chairman. but it is very, very early. again, in the other competitive districts in new york, early for them as well. so, that could change. but democrats are. head democrats still holding the manchin. democrats holding that seat in rhode island, i'm talking. about we're not done, yet but they're leading. democrats, this is another one i have not talked about all night long, republicans were hoping to pick up, you talked about new england earlier, hoping to pick up a democratic seat in connecticut. only 10% of the vote, but the democratic incumbent ahead in the moment. >> vice president kamala harris was dispatched to western connecticut a few weeks ago, early october, to buck up

democratic turnout in this area. and it is only 10%, but still, right now, democrats are holding. it >> 10%, and it's early. vote so, that is one of the reasons, again, we have been urging patients all night. but if you look at the map right now, you see these are the 82 competitive seats that you are seeing. again, these races are not yet. call that's an important point to make. most of them are not called. but you're looking, you're seeing a lot of blue. if you're the democrats, you're thinking, okay, at least in the moment this republican bragging about a big red wave, this map, is incomplete. we are not. down we have not called these races. but if you are looking now, you do not see. it >> can you get a republican majority? here yes you can. >> sure. >> yes you. can but you do not see 30 seats, looking at this map. and we will know a lot more two hours, three hours into the morning that we will now. but, again, we will see if this one holds up. this is an incredibly competitive race for a democrat. he has a narrow lead here, 27% in. again, ranked choice of voting kicks in here. so, this one will take a long time to finish the count.

but if you are going into ranked choice voting, you'd still rather be the guy with the most. and i just want to check where we are the vote count here in new hampshire. because again, these were -- the republicans really thought, especially with the governor chrissy new coasting to reelection, that they could pick up at least one of these. -- holding on as we're up to 27% here. chris pap is leading much more narrowly. this is the more competitive district, this one here. you move off into the north country, this is more republican territory. 24% is more competitive. so we have a long way to go in counting now on. but you pull back out to the map, so, north carolina we had some competitive seats here. democrats in the moment, i just want to check, leading here. 91%. so, you look into hold and you come here. this is a fascinating race here, in the sense -- >> oh, my goodness, 74% in and wiley nickel's. up >> of 11,000 votes. remember what happened in the senate race as well. when the day votes came in. so we have to wait and see. again, if you are looking at the map, and you are a democrat,

you are thinking, you are worried, you are worried if an incredibly bad night would be republicans cutting into you, especially in the northeast, which has been traditionally blue democratic territory for so time. and i'm out, it is not great for democrats. but it is certainly not bad in the sense that when i say not great, again, the margins here. the democrats have no margin for error in the senate in a tiny, tiny margin in the house, meeting how many seats can we lose. but if you're looking at this map right now and you are democrats, you do not see that blow out here. incomplete, a lot of votes to still count here. >> right, i guess the most accurate thing you can say is there are a lot of democrats in washington d.c. that were holding on their breath, thinking that there was going to be a lot more right on this map right now on the night than there is. >> here's example of it, here again, just to come out. we're up to 65% now. we are talk about this earlier, when tim ryan the democrat was leading in the early count of the senate race. we knew that was early vote. and we kept saying we need to wait. we now know that the republican candidate in the senate race has passed and taking the lead.

here is marcy cavalier in a district republicans who control the governor's office and legislature redo her district at 65% vote. still ways to, go and still the republican benefit from the election day votes were still not there. but if you are marcy kaptur, one of the hardest working democrats to not take a partisan side, she works the district hard, she goes home. and you're looking, this is all new territory from here to here. and at the moment, break it down by county and take a look at the district. when they re-drew the district, they added this. so, it is just interesting to watch, jake, as we go through, still a lot of counties to go. but more blue than republicans had hoped on the map at this moment. >> all right, john, and cnn has some projections for you right now. and the u.s. house. one democrat, three republicans. cnn is projecting the democratic congresswoman abigail spanberger is the winner in virginia's seventh congressional district. she's a former cia case officer. she has criticized her party for moving too far to the left. this was a seat republicans had hoped to pick up.

they freely to -- they failed to do so, cnn projects. republican state senator jen kiggans has flipped the southern virginia district. she defeated incumbent congresswoman elaine luria who served on the january 6th committee. that is one of the republican pick ups they're hoping for this evening. republican and emergency room doctor rich mccormick has seen projections flip republican see those gerrymander to become more republican. he was a marine veteran who served in afghanistan. in addition, in new york, a republican, nicole malliet aukus has been reelected in new york's 11th congressional school district. which includes staten island part of brooklyn. rematch of 2020 win over democrat max rose. let's look at the balance of power right now in the u.s. house of representatives. 81 democrats in the house, 145 republicans, including five pickups. there are 209 seats remaining to be called, 218 needed to control the u.s. house of representatives. the u.s. state of play when we see these competitive seats, we've been telling by these 82 competitor house seats all

night. democrats, well, let's start with republicans. republicans need to win 23 of the outstanding competitive seats. democrats need to win 51 of the outstanding competitive seats. anderson cooper, i'm going to go to you right now with your panel. this is a suspenseful night. what is great about election night, is at the end of the day, the polling and the prognostication and the pundits, at the end of the day, it is up to the voters. and the voters get their say, and sometimes they there was a lot of surprises, like tonight. >> and that is what makes it exciting. and what makes it a very long, night which is why we are gonna be here for quite some time. i want to talk of the team here in new york about what is going on in virginia. abigail spanberger, winning, elaine luria losing. what does that say where -- >> i am happy, happy, happy, about abigail spanberger because she's great, moderate. she understands kitchen table issues. works hard. and it's a biden plus seven. district if he had gotten wiped out,

you'd be very terrified for the rest of the night. because if she could not hang on, who else is going to go down? in fact, she is still standing, the fact that she won means, you know, that is very positive for democrats. >> i think both republicans and democrats were looking at this as kind of a bellwether district. if she had gone down, that would've been very good news for republicans. it does mean that, i, mean there are races out west that are perilous for democrats. we will see how those go. but, you know, you see this race in rhode island, which i do not think it's been called yet, has it? >> very close. >> but it has been back and forth in jeopardy. that would've been a bad sign for democrats, that this was gonna be a very deep defeat. but all i can tell you is i was in the white house in 2010 when the big wave rolled in. i know what it feels like. it does not feel like this. even if republicans take control of the house, it is not going to be a night like that

where race after race after race went to the republicans. and a whole kind of crew of young democrats were wiped out. you know, the abigail spanberger wind tells me that is not what this night is going to be. >> i just heard from someone at the white house who said that they are really relieved about spanberger and they feel like you do, david, that it does not feel to them that a wave that they're -- >> there judging that by one race? [laughs] >> well, this was, as david said, their bellwether. this is a district that was redistributed, became more blue, and the folks at the democratic congressional campaign committee have said that this kind of was the race that they were looking at because if it were, you know, a blowout and she really lost, you know that would be a good night. i don't think no one is happy about elaine luria, who was on the january six committee and is very well regarded.

and some folks believe that it was her service on the january six committee that really may have hurt her. we know that liz cheney came out and campaigned for spanberger. so, i think democrats feel like not the wave that they were so worried about. but again, we all have to say, even if you're young -- is that all? >> even we've been here for a long time -- >> also, whether it's a wave, a ripple, whatever you want to call it, if the republicans win the house, the oversight will feel all the same. >> [laughs] >> there is no doubt. if you're in the biden cabinet don't -- >> but there is the matter of margin. >> also, let's just look at the georgia race right now, on the screen. i think that 700 700 votes separating, 748 votes separating herschel locker. >> listen, i'm a little bit more optimistic here. because at least, walker is tending to do better on election day. the graphic that we had up earlier about what percentage of election day votes are still

standing really big here. and i think that walker has been slowly nibbling away. scott has a theory here. as long as he is running close to -- >> well, it's been about four and a half and -- between walker and camp. the other number i've been watching is libertarian, all over. he's at -- >> walker, the libertarian has not broken through's state. >> but walker campaigns theory is that if they can keep all over below two and a half, then they might be able to avoid a runoff. so far, he's at 1.9. obviously, incredibly tight margin on. that >> oh, yeah. >> i mean, this, who knows? this looks like a prescription for potential runoff here. and given the way that, you know, the pennsylvania race has run true to form, looks very competitive, democrats pick up that seat. this could be, you know, a buy annual a vent, georgia decides -- >> it's also worth pointing out on the screen, kelly in the lead with 54.6%, blake masters 41.3. but again, 41%, we don't know

-- >> we don't know washington state -- >> this is a mixed bag, it's actually early in the night, despite the fact it may not feel like this. of course, for not just a blow for ron desantis, winning by more than eight points in miami-dade. that is huge for republicans. but then some of the other seats that we are looking at as potential pick ups, like, new hampshire, bullet, at this time is trailing. it's not been called yet. we'll see as votes come in. i tend to agree this may not quite be the wave that republicans were anticipating. do i think the house still goes to the right? absolutely. but that abigail spanberger is significant. >> arizona governor race on the screen, now 35% for katie hobbs, kari lake, 44%. but again -- >> my point, my point is the margin is really, really important in the house. because kevin mccarthy knows he needs to have enough of a majority so that marjorie taylor greene and that freedom caucus does not have essentially -- >> leverage on him?

>> haven't by the neck when it comes to the agenda there. and super pac has spent over $300 million trying to broaden the battlefield so he'll have a larger majority. so, actually, every one of these races that they were hoping to win that they do not get, even if they get the majority, which i still think is likely, makes his position more perilous than trying to run that caucus. >> and we just talk about florida? because we really have not had a chance to do that. i was texting with a source in florida, political sources, who pointed out to me that this will be the first time since reconstruction that florida will not have any democrats in statewide offices. period. and desantis's victory, miami day? >> oh, the message that desantis sent this night. this district got called early, and florida count their votes quickly, so we will not be talking about as we watch these other nail-biter's. the message that ron desantis sent to the republican party tonight about what he is capable of, crushing up and

down the state among the hispanic counties, where they have a lot of hispanic votes, suburban voters, rural voters, when you talk about building a coalition to run a presidential campaign that could win, that is the message that desantis sent tonight. so, that, to me, for 2024 implications, this crushed. because if the rest the country is a little bit more muddled, and four to crashes -- think about the political message that sends about what should this party do? >> sitting across the state at mar-a-lago -- [laughs] i think former president trump has we watching, that looking at the margins. governor desantis, won the last election by 33,000 votes. he is barely winning. he won by 1.6 million right about now. so, it could still grow a little bit. but a huge market. and to scott's point, the coalition of voters he has put together is something completely impressive. that he would need to put together to run nationwide. he has done it here. they replicate it again. >> the other huge number he put together was money. and he is still got $90 million

left to start his presidential race. >> this is as close to a mandate as governor desantis is going to get. and i imagine every elected republican is gonna be calling him saying you need to be the nominee. >> and desantis tonight pointed out, we not only won the election, we have re-written the political map. and he called his own win a win for the ages. >> you say, you say every republican's gonna be calling him and telling him -- >> what did santa say? this florida is where woke goes to die. >> i will say, what he did during the campaign, he ran oh over the country campaigning for all different kinds of republicans. he never made it about himself, unlike others. >> [laughs] >> and look how he got rewarded by the voters of florida. i'm telling you, what he put together in what his team did, it is really impressive. >> big night, let's go back to jake in d.c., jake? >> all right, anderson, thank you so much. standing here at the magic wall, obviously, with mr. king, taking a look at the u.s. senate. and what we've got, we've got 46 democrats leading right now,

two of them republican seats. 46 republicans leading right now. one in a democratic seat. give us the lay of the land. >> one of the democrats leading a republican seat is mandela barnes, lieutenant governor of wisconsin, leading right now, 47% of the vote counted over the incumbent senator by a 30,000 vote margin. remember, donald trump won the state by 20,000 votes, and then joe biden won the state by 20,000 votes, that is today's wisconsin. it will be close. and then you happen to see all the great. those are mostly republican areas. so, we are still waiting for votes to come in. this is going to go. this is a very competitive race. this is one those races, though, north carolina, ohio, and wisconsin, where you have democratic candidates in traditionally red-leaning states in a mid term year. this want more of a battleground. who ran very competitive races. and we're gonna keep counting votes there, because lieutenant governor mandela barnes ran a very competitive race. this is a democratic held seat that is right at the, moment because of herschel walker, who has stretch this out a little bit. but this has been a seesaw. ten minutes ago, senator warnock was up by 647,000 votes. and then walker was up by about

700,000 votes. now walker is up by about 16,000 votes. you see the map filling in. that is one of the reasons why walker's vote total has changed. seal of the smaller counties. this one still has no votes. coffee county, it is tiny, it is less than one half of 1% of the statewide vote. but these are big republican counties. so, it's a couple hundred hundred votes there, couple thousand votes there, given example as you come over here. it does not look like a lot, but in a close race, you need them. so, that is what has happened recently. some of these smaller rural counties have start reporting their vote, and walker has come up. again, if you look at this dynamic, this could matter, right? because whoever is on top, you could -- you need 50% plus one vote to get -- to avoid a runoff. we still have more the vote to come. when these candidates could pull more significantly ahead. but this is a nail-biter at the moment. and just to come over and look. a very known quantity. the republican incumbent governor at 54%, with a 285,000 vote lead if he rounded up just a little tiny bit, right?

so, the well-known republican quantity, the republican incumbent governor with 54% of the vote. the newcomer, the untested in politics herschel walker running below 50% of the vote. so brian kemp helping by not helping everywhere, if you. well >> yeah, it's not just the herschel walker is untested in. politics he's had a very rough campaign with all of the allegations about his personal life, kids fathered and not been there for, and on and on and on. may i ask, you because i know you have this technology, can you show me where herschel walker is underperforming, brian kemp, the governor? >> so you look at this, if you are watching at home, look at this map here. it will change the counties that stay lit up, where herschel walker is underperforming. >> meaning the republican governor is doing better and getting more votes than herschel walker. >> now the almost everywhere. >> pretty much everywhere. one, two, three, four counties so far. and i think any of them have reported votes yet.

>> just changed. three >> just changed three, just about everywhere. so, it matters enormously. if you come in here, and you go fulton county, it's atlanta, it's the largest slice. there's 159 counties in georgia. so it's a complicated statement. 10% the state population is right. here atlanta, majority democratic overwhelmingly. then you move out to the suburbs, still predominately democratic, but republicans votes are to be had. herschel walker got 23% of the vote there. brian kemp is getting 28% of the vote. that matters, and it matters hugely. >> let me also ask you, because first of, all herschel walker was running a beast campaign. he was just trying to get republicans out. brian kemp, who is a very conservative republican, was also trying to appeal to democrats and suburban voters. we see a similar difference in approach between stacey abrams, who is also running kind of a beast campaign, a little less so than herschel locker, versus raphael warnock, the incumbent senator, who is really highlighting work he had done in a bipartisan way. can you tell me, can you show me where stacey abrams is

underperforming senator warnock? >> sure, i can. and i want to add to that point, you know, she ran, stacey abrams ran four years ago, raphael warnock has had to run three times. so this is a campaign where -- so, where is, the question is, where is abrams? >> just to explain this for people who are not in georgia, the race raphael warnock had to run three times it's because he ran for the senate in 2020. nobody got above 50%. so then he had to run again in january 2021. and now he is running again. so, this is the third. time >> and he may have to run again in a month, december 6th, that is the way it is. we'll see how this one plays. out so, where is the question -- the question is where is abrams underperforming warnock? and it is not in as many places, right. it's not in as many places because it's the percentages, the percentages. >> what you mean it's not as many places? >> if you come in and look at it -- i'm sorry, it's everywhere. >> [laughs] >> she's running behind him because nothing changes. so, the point, sorry, i was

distracted because the point i want to make is you coming here and you think, okay, senator warnock is getting blown out here. and he is, and he is. but in close races, to your point about brian kemp, popular conservative governor who is doing okay in the democratic areas. okay -- >> not horrific. >> not horrific, he's doing okay. and then you come out here, where herschel walker's gang 65%. but then you say, why are we talk about that? that is 31 points. but we are talking about because of this. because that is 35 points, right? the little bit matters. 5971 votes for stacey abrams in this county. 6200. >> but that's 300 votes for raphael warnock that stacey abrams did not get. >> and it's 300 there, and it's another couple hundred here, is what i am saying. so, in the very rural conservative areas of georgia, warnock is getting blown out by a smaller margin. >> smaller margin. >> 20 votes here, hundred votes there, matters. now, it matters out here for

the democrats. and this is where it matters up here for the republicans. again, this is -- county, joe biden won this county by 67 points. so you're not looking for this to be right tonight. it is not gonna be right tonight. but you see herschel walker and just shy of 12%, 12% of you around that up. >> right. >> the governor is running a 15%. >> again, that matters. >> 33,000 votes to 26,000 votes in a close election, every single one counts. >> so what's the overall right now, because i want to bring in david -- at the battleground desk. right now it's 81% established and reporting. let's bring in david -- at the reporting desk. david, this 81%, where is it from, and where is the 19% we are waiting from coming from? >> right now, or jake, herschel walker is in the league. he's got that one point 674 5 million votes there. raphael warnock, 1,625,000 votes, 81% to vote in. how much of this vote is pre-election vote? right now, our estimate is 70% of it is pre election vote, which we know democrats have been participating in the

reelection vote in more robust numbers that republicans. at the end of the, day we think that is going to drop down to 61%. so, right now there's more preelection vote in the georgia vote as a share that we think there will be at the end of the day. now, i want to break down specific methods of voting. take a look at what is left uncounted here. so, in the mail vote, where raphael warnock has a 36.9% lead, it is a big warnock advantage category, there is still 26% of that mail vote uncounted. i am going to add in early in person. here, warnock has an eight and a half percentage point lead over warnock. and these two buckets together, remember what i just said, make up what we think will be 61% of the overall electorate. the smaller piece is the election day vote, okay. down here. now, that is a big herschel walker category. he is winning it by 27.2%.

and there is still 42% of it uncounted. but remember, the top two categories, let me see if i can un-highlight, that is what we think is going to make up 61% of the vote. and the election day vote, which again, 42% uncounted, we think that is going to make up at the end of the day about 39, 40% of the vote in georgia. this is why you're seeing such a close race right now. >> it is a nail-biter. i have no idea what is gonna happen here in georgia. >> no, and we did it in the presidential race. we did it in the runoffs, and they were. close >> took a few. days >> yes, this is why we can go back in time and show it, if you want. but this is just why. if you go back -- just instructed to go back to 2020. that is the senate race. this is why we had a runoff, right? >> right, neither of them achieved over 50. and at the end of the day, john ossoff one. >> right, so if we are at that point, it is not so much who is on top, it's to go into the

runoff. but if you want to come back to the presidential race, i mean, joe biden ends up winning the state by 11,779 votes. but if you go through it, you know, this is donald trump took an early lead. >> what time are we? at where at 10:30 right now, eastern. >> now we're at, midnight as we're switching to that wednesday. trump is still in the lead as we switch from tuesday to wednesday. new the next day, donald trump still in the lead. starting to shrink a little bit. and then you get to two days later, two days later from wednesday to friday -- >> that's what we're up to. tonight >> because they're counting all the mail-in votes during the covid pandemic. but then biden passes ahead. >> now they, to change the law in georgia so you could count the early votes. you can prepare them and count them. so, they are not completely in the same boat as of now. >> it won't take as long. >> it will not take as long this time. >> so, let's come out of 2020, in close. that >> when you're done with, that i want to drive up i-95 and take me back home to pennsylvania. >> will come out of that. come here, get out of the house. come back to the commonwealth of pennsylvania. >> okay, where are we here? >> you'll see as we get here, 57% vote, 106,000 vote lead.

but a very very close. race that is three points, three points and a little bit of change. and the question is, so and then you start moving around, right. in the suburbs, only 36% of the vote. in bucks county, montgomery county was empty earlier, remember? >> 32 per. set >> up to third of the percent there. if that martin stay's like, that this data can help -- they will interrupt if i'm wrong. but that is early vote. there is no way it is not. because of the margin. again, these are more competitive than this. >> right. >> but if john fetterman is winning bucks county at the end of the night by a margin of this 20 point. >> that's a crazy margin usually. bucks county is usually way closer. >> much more competitive, yeah. and this obviously is a democratic county, recently, joe biden was ahead by 26 points. he doesn't win it by -- >> can you show me where the vote is outstanding, where we are waiting for the vote? >> so, that is the key point. you are waiting for the outstanding vote. you, look the large of the circle, the greater share of the outstanding vote. and the color of the circle is who is leading in that area right. now it does not mean who will win it in the end. but who is leading right.

now >> that is a lot of big blue bubbles. though >> yeah, the bulk of the vote. look, this race will come down to ken mehmet oz compete here? it's the same conversation we are just having in georgia. brian kemp is not winning fulton county, brian kemp is not waiting to cater, he's not winning called, county but he's running, he's getting a decent amount of votes. mehmet oz has to do it down here, philadelphia, the color counties around it. at the moment, fetterman is leading. and we just looked, leading significantly. >> yeah. >> and the question -- is you see these, other circles, these are republican votes. smaller counties. >> erie is not so. small >> areas not so small, but as you come in, and you're looking up here, the question is, can mehmet oz -- the margin, it's the same thing about the margins we see in georgia. >> i want to go to brianna keilar if i can. she is at the voting. desk brianna, where the votes that we are waiting for here? and tell us the status of the counting in pennsylvania? >> so, let's look at this. because officials there are doing this marathon counting. that means they are not stopping until all the ballots are counted. so, no one's going home in the

middle of the night. they are going to keep this up. and we are gonna be seeing these results coming in into some key counties here. so, john, you can kind of walk us through some of this and give us a sense of what this is going to mean for the night unfolding ahead of us. and philadelphia, we have been told, of course, that these final results there could take days. we are now hearing that officials are going to tell us they will do a press conference within the hour to update on their status. but of course, we do not know. obviously, this is going to take some time with some of the measures that we are taking there to verify some of these ballots, right? >> brianna, just remind people, because one of the things that happen in philadelphia is that the republicans made a move, after demanding philadelphia election officials to take steps. that they are not demanding of election officials in any other part of the commonwealth of pennsylvania. and even the republican commissioner was upset about

what was going on. so, let's -- >> that's right, and in the and you had that republican official joined also by a democratic official. and they are going to go ahead and proceed with that verification of what they are seeing at the polls and cross referencing these ballots, just to make sure they do not have anyone challenging or they should not be able to actually challenge. we'll see if that actually means no one does challenge what they're doing. but it just means it is going to add a lot of time to it. i want to head now to berks county, so, you see this here, reddening is obviously in berks county. so what we're looking at here is the mail in ballots. these are expected to be done here in a few hours. we are actually going to see these in person votes by midnight. so, brew a little coffee. but it's not too much farther ahead of us, right, where we will be getting some information about what is going on. there >> let me jump in for one, second brianna, because she makes the point that we've got more ballots to count. again, you're looking at

margins. but joe biden wins -- this i mean, donald trump won this county by will get more, eight points. so, that six points right there. the question is, can john fetterman keep it that close? it's just one county, but you're looking at marches all across. but as brianna notes, we have some outstanding votes to count. so we interrupt, go. >> okay, the other thing we are looking at if we go to -- okay, you're in allegheny county now. let's take a look at allegheny county here. obviously, where pittsburgh is. 90 to 95% of the results should be in by 11 pm. and obviously, allegheny is showing up first, as you've been watching all of those results coming in. but we should be getting a really strong picture of what is happening there, where you can compare what john fetterman's doing obviously to the gubernatorial candidate and get a sense of how things are going. >> yeah, and look, this was obviously going to be a nail-biter. and it was obviously a very tight race, especially when i think it's fair to say, that oz closed pretty strongly.

but at the end of the day, fetterman is a known quantity, the lieutenant governor. and oz, you know, people talked about earlier does it bother them, there is an exit poll, does it bother them that oz is a new resident of the state? as a pennsylvania, the issue was not just that he's a resident of the state, is that he's from jersey. which if you're from pennsylvania, that is not just, that's not from connecticut, that's a whole other thing that it means. but look, we will see what happens. but brianna, go ahead. >> so, let's look at bucks county. heading to the suburbs you are just checking out there outside of philadelphia. 40,000 mail-in ballots now have been scanned. they are expecting all the votes to be counted by midday tomorrow, okay. so, we've got some time ahead of us to find out what is happening there in bucks. >> that's an interesting, point mail-in ballots. so, in 2020, those are disproportionately. democrat we don't know if they are. this time but in 2020, they're

disproportionately. democrat in bucks county, we're talk about this all night, but because it is so important. pat toomey winds bucks county six years ago. he's reelected in a pretty competitive race in the united states senate. so, this is, this is very key. again, the mail in ballots. if you look at the moment, if you look at the moment, that is a 20-point lead in bucks county. if it is anywhere close to that at the end, anywhere close to that at the end, john fetterman is the next senator from the commonwealth of pennsylvania. but we're only -- >> he may win, but he's not gonna win bucks county. >> you're 61% statewide. it's just important. so, in the places, philadelphia, the suburbs, 61%, 30%, which means of a way to go. 32% here. this is 6%, six and a half percent of the state population. this is 5% of the state population. and you've got a lot of votes count. still so, this is democrat 4.4. that would be outstanding. so, we have ways, we have ways to go. we're still counting, we're still counting votes now. and brianna talks about mail in ballots that might not be

counted tomorrow. remember, this was a state, again, there are not as many this time, and they are prepared to count them better this time. but this is the state that took us to saturday in the 2020 election. >> go ahead, brianna. >> i think we'll see that, again acting secretary of state saying be patient, because this will take a few days. so, it sounds like it could very much be a repeat of that. and, you know, we are gonna be dying to see what is happening here, especially in philadelphia. we are just going to have to be patient. the >> other thing to keep in mind is in 2020, donald trump was on top of the ticket, and he was telling people, his supporters, do not vote by mail, do not vote early. oz, to his credit, to his sanity, has not been saying that. and in fact, the way that he won the primary, if memory serves, is that ultimately he beat a very strong challenge from dave mccormack by beating him in the -- obviously in the total vote count, that included early

ballots. he was not, he was not telling people not to vote. >> right, that will be on the grace case studies, again, what we've done with the count. the most important thing, who controls the senate, who controls the house, looking at these governors races, as we get through all of that, when you can do a closer analytical environment, look at the wrong desantis win in florida, you know, florida republicans did much better in early voting this time than they did in 2020. the kemp campaign says they have not looked at the data, yet the kemp campaign says when you look there, they did better. you know democrats dominated in georgia early. voting camp is on the. margin with donald trump saying don't do, just ask yourself this, would you like a month to turn out your vote or one day to turn out your vote? >> right. >> what donald trump did to republicans in 2020 was, forgive the word, asinine. because he cost them the ability to have more time to turn out more votes. and in the digital age, the second you return your ballot, the day after, i know it. so i can move on to somebody else. you are not wasting your money still taxing jake tapper saying you need to vote. your vote is cast, we move on to the next. one of the fact that donald

trump took that away from republicans in 2020 -- >> i, know it's an excellent. point we now have some news from boris. he checked into the desk for governor. >> that's right, jake. a handful of projections to bring you. and in all of them, republican victories, beginning in texas. greg abbott, the incumbent republican, winning a third term, defeating former congressman beto o'rourke. meantime, in the state of iowa, another incumbent republican defeating the democratic challenger kim reynolds there, winning reelection against small business owner detroit during here. we also reject and bring you from the state of nebraska. jim ville, and a veterinarian who defeated donald trump backed candidate in the -- primary, he becomes next governor of nebraska, defeating state legislator carryout blood. and no surprises in the state of wyoming, a state that donald trump carried with some 70 percentage points in 2020. mark gordon the republican -- teresa live in the air force veteran. let's give you some key resorts now. and in for these key races the

democrat is leading an election denier. first in a -- gretchen whitmer, she builds on the lead she had when we last checked in on this race against tudor dixon, now sitting 112,000 votes ahead with 30% of the vote in in the state of michigan. an update now, jake, from your home state, the commonwealth may be? josh shapiro, the tierney general, therefore have 30,000 votes ahead of documentary on, all with 56% of the vote in. meantime, our first look at the arizona governors. raced with this key race of. lured katie hobbs, the secretary of state that helps certify the 2020 election results in arizona. she is leading former tv anchor turn unrepentant election denier kari lake, 184,000 votes, half of the vote in the state of arizona. then in new york, a race that nobody expected to be as close as it was in polling. and the end, kathy hochul, the incumbent democrat, 646,000 votes in front of lee zeldin, who you may recall voted to reject certify the election

results in 2020 in the state of arizona and pennsylvania. hochul holding on to a lead there. let's get you a look at georgia now. this race that we've been talking about all night. incumbent republican brian kemp nearly 300,000 votes ahead of stacey abrams and this rematch from 2018. 82% of the vote in georgia. let's turn it over to casey hunt now. casey, you've got an update for us from some senate races. >> we do, and we're going to start, can you fill in the blanks for me, boris. georgia! we're going to start in georgia, where herschel walker, again, i want to compare this directly to the number boris just gave you, which was 54% for kemp. herschel walker, sitting at 49.6. that is considerably behind. but he is ahead of raphael warnock, the democrat who holds 48.5% right now. again, this is so close, neither one has 50%. we are potentially looking at a runoff, 83% of the vote in in georgia. so, let's check in on wisconsin, which has been tightening over the past hour. so, mandela barnes, the democrat, look, he sought tightened right there on the

screen. now, at exactly 50%. just 4000 votes ahead of the republican incumbent, ron johnson, at 49.48%. our friends at the magic wall will give us a sense of what -- how we may see this move in a couple of hours with 50% of the vote in in wisconsin. let's check in on jake tapper's commonwealth of pennsylvania. also mine. john fetterman, 49.8%, now below 50%, mehmet oz, 47.7%. this race really tightening up as we have been expecting all night. about 75% -- but 75,000 votes separate them right now, right now you can expect a really long time counting this race. 64% of the vote in in pennsylvania right now. and i do want to check in on arizona, this has been a critical battleground as well. mark kelly, the incumbent democrats. sitting at 58.1%. he's got accountable early lead over blake masters, the republican at 39.6%. i do want to point out, katie hobbs is sitting at 57% in the governor's race.

so, kelly is slightly outperforming hobbs, potential to see a split on that race. there is of course only 50% of the vote in here, so we could see this tighten up throughout the night, jake. >> all right, casey, coming up we are going to go live to georgia as we follow that incredibly close senate race and whether it may be heading for runoff. and we're coming up on the first results from the west coast, including the powerhouse state of california. back in a moment. re dreams that you never forget. what kind of movie are we gonna make? oh, you love those people. oh, your sisters, your mother, your papa, except this i think you'll love a little more. you dismiss what he does. it's playful or imaginative. you can't just love something. you also have to take care of it. it's more important than your hobby. can you stop calling it a hobby? family, art, ugh, it'll tear you in two.

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cnn has some projections for you. now there are three republican senate. holds in iowa, cnn projects that chuck grassley, incumbent senator chuck grassley, will defeat retired admiral and democrat michael frank. chuck grassley holds that seat. in louisiana, senator john kennedy, republican senator incumbent will defeat gary chambers. you may right remember, he smoked a joint during a campaign ad. john kennedy will hold on to that seat, cnn projects. and then in missouri, the attorney general, eric schmidt, will become the next u.s. senator from the state of missouri. he defeats heiress truly bush valentine. let's take a look at the ballot apparently the senate. you know it's 100. sees right, now democrats have 40 of those seats. republicans have 43. there are 17 seats remaining.

that is what the rest of the night is about. in order to control the u.s. senate, you need 50 seats, plus one. republicans need to pick up one net democratic seat. we are about to head into a another round of votes. every contest counts. with the battle for control of congress still undecided. just minutes from now, at 11 pm eastern, polls will close in california and idaho and oregon and washington state. this will be another chance for the parties to pick up some of the 218 house seats needed for control of the u.s. house of representatives. a total of 69 seats are at stake in the four states where polling places are about to close. 15 of those seas are competitive. most in california. we're also gonna be watching the senate race in washington state in the our head. incumbent democratic senator patty murray seeking reelection after serving 30 years in the senate, her -- republican tiffany smiley is positioning herself as a political outsider. the governor's race in california is also on our radar.

the committee governor gavin newsom is a national figure who prevailed over a 2021 recall effort. he now faces state senator brian dolly who's uses as a clear advantage in the state where democrats outnumber republicans 2 to 1. will he take a victory and run on for president? that is the question we are all asking. and the oregon governor's race, former state speaker tina kotek is running to keep the governor's office in the hands of democrats. her republican opponent's former state house minority leader christine treason, and there's a potential wildcard, betsy johnson, a former democratic state senator who is running as an independent candidate. almost anything can happen in oregon and comes to the democrat race there. polls are closing out just west minutes from now. let's turn back to the nail biter race in georgia. jeff zeleny is at the -- walker spoke just a little while ago. >> he did, jake. he came down here to the hotel ballroom. and he said he simply wanted to thank his supporters. and his message was hang in there a little bit longer.

he said he came here to win. he got in this race to win. and he gave an upbeat and very brief message. so, there is no declaration of victory. there was no talk about the process. he said he was simply here to win and just to urge patients. so, that is obviously what everyone here in georgia is going to be patient for this. because this senate race has been seesawing back and forth all night long between raphael warnock, the democratic incumbent senator, and of course, herschel locker, the republican challenger. now, just a few thousand votes, up to 30,000 votes or so separate them. herschel locker has the narrow edge. but the walker campaign tells me they believe that some rural counties, the vote is still out and some rural counties in northern georgia, where they are fairly optimistic about the election day vote that benefits them. however, the warnock campaign is still looking at votes here in atlanta and around the suburbs. they say there is still vote out there as well. but jake, the one thing clear tonight, as this moves forward that herschel walker is

underperforming republican governor brian kemp in his reelection effort, which is leading democrat stacey abrams in a water margin. so clearly, some questions here. and one thing, split ticket voting, we've been watering all season long if there would be coattails are split ticket voting. deftly split ticket voting. but the question here is can kemp still bring herschel walker over that finish line to 50%? we will find out in the coming hours. but indeed, a could take that long. >> that is right. with 83% of the vote in, walker has 49.7%, warnock 48.4%. if it stays like that, and there is still a lot of votes to, count if it stays like, that it will go to a runoff. let's go to warnock headquarters in atlanta right, now where we find our eva mccain. even, what are you hearing from or not campaign voters? >> well, jake, there is a whole lot of cautious optimism here. close aides, the campaign manager, just leaving the stage. not seeing a whole lot. just maintaining that they are feeling good.

i did speak with a democratic strategist working with a campaign. and he says look at cobb county, look at fulton county, look at the different major areas around atlanta. that is where they are tracking tonight. they are looking to see if the biden voters from 2020 are going to stick with them. they are also feeling good about the split ticket voters. because it is splitting in a way that seems to be good for senator warnock. overall, they are confident in the strategy that they have employed here for the past several weeks. by really characterizing warnock, who is a reliable democratic vote, but characterizing him as a moderate, as someone who can appeal to a wide swath of georgians. all of that optimism though couched with the fact that a lot of votes still need to be counted, jake? >> all right, eva mckend, thank you so much. and i'm here with john king at the magic wall because we are getting votes in from all over the country. and one thing, one state we have not talked to yet, significantly in terms of actual votes, is the batter state. wisconsin, where there is a very competitive race between

incumbent senator ron johnson, the republican, and the democratic lieutenant governor mandela barnes, the democrat. where are we in wisconsin? >> as you are introducing wisconsin, a flip from blue to red. just moments ago, the lieutenant governor, mandela barnes, was up by 149, votes now they're helping in combat ron johnson is up by 851 votes. we had a bit of seesaw earlier in georgia. and looks like we are gonna have one as we go through the second half of the vote count, if you will, in wisconsin. 60% of the vote, and ron johnson now on to 1422 vote lead. but you can -- you don't need me to say a word, 49 point, nine 49.9. so, is 1400 votes in an incredibly competitive state in recent years. so, we are gonna watch this play. out 60%, which means we are gonna watch it and count for quite some time. let's just take a look at what we've got. milwaukee is your largest vote thing poll, 16, 16% of the state populations. mandela barnes getting 66% there to 33%. i just want to check in on the

governor's race, see how that is going. there it is about the same. tim michaels a little bit below there. we'll see when you get the final numbers. come back to the senate, raise 57%. again, this is the largest basket of votes in the state. we're only at 57%. mandela barnes, if he holds a margin like that, might not stay if this is all early. vote but able a significant margin, let's go back to the presidential race, just to get a sense of it there. joe biden get 69% of the vote here. so, that gives you the target. joe biden wins the state by 22,000 votes. he got 69% here. but that tells you what you are going to look for as you come through. not all races are exactly the same. >> barnes and evers are both underperforming joe biden in milwaukee. >> underperforming joe biden at the moment. so, if you come back out and you look, and you see here waukesha county, where ron johnson is getting 62% of the vote. i just want to compare him to donald trump in the sense that when you come here, donald trump, ron johnson over performing trump by a little bit here as we go through it again. i just want to check the percentages.

because the percentages can change when you have a mix of which votes count, early vote or election day vote, but of that whole up, bodes well for senator johnson. in the sense that if you have milwaukee here, more of a swing area here in the eastern parts of the county, as we move into the western parts of waukesha county, as republican territory. and that's where republicans need a healthy margin. here >> this is not something we were really looking for as opposed pennsylvania and georgia. but is mandela barnes underperforming governor years? >> if we have that built in, just to check, it but let me look to see if we kept it. i do not believe we have it here. as we come through. >> but we can just look at the number. >> i was trying to do it the easy way. but we can do it, we can do it the harder way just by coming through and looking at the big counties, right. so you look, again, you have the same idea. different parties in georgia, you have an incumbent republican governor and the senate candidate. here you have a democratic governor and his lieutenant governor is the senate candidate right here. so, let's just pick a county here. we just saw it in milwaukee for us. mandela, barnes 66.4. tony ever's at 67.4. so, the governor running just,

a little bit, a little bit -- appoint higher. the democratic governor there. so let's move drop down south to racine county here. it is a competitive county. it's 49.5 to 49.2. the republican slightly ahead in the governor's race. let's flip over and look at the senate. race they have a more healthy lead for ron johnson there. so, democratic incumbent governor is performing more strongly, stronger than his lieutenant governor as who's the senate candidate here. and if you pull it, i just want to see where we are missing votes here, where the live outstanding votes are, and you still see, especially down the largest basket of o six in milwaukee suburbs, here but you see these big red dots. there are a lot of republican votes as. well so in a highly competitive, case state, ron johnson is taking a narrow lead. and if you are the johnson campaign, you see all these red dots up here, jake, you think okay we're in pretty good shape. let's keep counting. >> all right, john king, thanks so much, and right now polls are about to close in the political powerhouse of california as well as three other states out west. we have some projections for you now.

two for democrats, one f