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tv   World Business Report  BBC News  April 19, 2024 5:30am-6:01am BST

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taha who are sitting in mohamed taha who are sitting in the studio. just a step back for a moment, this is all moving incredibly quickly for people. of course this all started with a conflict on 7 october in israel and then israel's subsequent response in gaza. explain the links between iran and people in gaza. indeed, israel supporting —— supporting hamas, when the secretary general of hezbollah was speaking, he said without the iranian capabilities hamas would not reach that level of military. so it is obvious that iran is supporting hamas and hezbollah, and also the houthis in yemen. so they have these capabilities in the region. find capabilities in the region. and at the time — capabilities in the region. and at the time of _ capabilities in the region. and at the time of the _ capabilities in the region. and at the time of the 7 _ capabilities in the region. and at the time of the 7 october
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the tax, iran seemed to be surprised by the timing, at the very least. that was the impression people were given. indeed, that might be played like that. there might be not co—ordination on the timing, but they understand the strategy, exactly like the relationship between israel and the united states, the united states now are saying we have no idea about the timing, but we know that israel were about to strike iran. there is that organic relationship between iran and hamas and hezbollah and this region. on the link actually between this attack that happened and what's happening in gaza and rougher, we understand the israelis had a meeting with the americans last week talking about a response in rafah and an operation in rafah, gave an impression to everyone that israel might not attack iran in
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return of a green card from the united states that they would start an operation in rafah, but this didn't happen. we saw that israel attacked what we understand that they attacked iran this morning and now we are evaluating how big is this attack? is it a limited attack, is it a big attack? what we are sure about it is not of the same scale as the iranian attack. because when the iranians attacked israel they use more than 300 drones and missiles and you cannot miss that. but israel with the strike now, it looks like the targeted some facilities, some media are talking about a military airport near isfahan, and some other reports talking about other targeted attacks.
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it's not a widespread attack as iran did. and at the back of the israeli mind on that is that the iranian alliances, so the danger in attacking iran is not on the iranian military capabilities, but on the iranian alliances, the iranians are having an alliance with russia, china, and, as i said, in the region they have forces as hezbollah, hamas, and houthis in the region and this could cause lots of paint to israel and its alliances. patricia was saying we shouldn't read too much into the fact that iran is downplaying this in terms of whether they retaliate or not full top of course.— whether they retaliate or not full top of course. they assess the situation _ full top of course. they assess the situation now— full top of course. they assess the situation now whether - full top of course. they assess| the situation now whether they will retaliate or not. but what we feel that israel is not happy with that downplaying,
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israel wants the world to know that they can attack. isfahan is only 150 kilometres south of the capitol tehran. so attacking isfahan is really significant and the israelis, if they do not want to come out and speak that they were behind that, as exactly they did when they attacked the iranian consulate in syria, this is the way israel does the attacks, they do the attacks, but they do not come out and speak loudly that they did the attack, but all the indications would say that they did the attack. the americans confirmed that there reports from, you know, channel 12, the israeli channel 12, the new york times that they did the attack. that is come from _ that they did the attack. that is come from al— that they did the attack. that is come from al jazeera, - that they did the attack. that is come from aljazeera, this is come from aljazeera, this is a very unverified account. when the israelis to come out and talk about this attack and
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i think peoples perception of deescalation and israel's approach unless we change dramatically, so we should just take those reports with a pinch of salt at the moment. what should we be looking out for? i know you are monitoring all the media across the arabic world, the person well, what should we be looking out for in terms of reaction, who are the people in isfahan that we should —— iran that we should be listening to very closely? tote that we should be listening to very closely?— very closely? we are waiting for the officials _ very closely? we are waiting for the officials to _ very closely? we are waiting for the officials to speak - very closely? we are waiting i for the officials to speak now. they already spoke, they said there are only three drones that came from a local source and now the analysts are assessing whether israel really launched a missile from the israeli territory's or they used the iraqi territories and their bases, whether american bases or other bases of other opposition groups to iran to
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launch that drone attack and we don't know at the moment, but the iranians are downplaying the iranians are downplaying the effect of that attack, they are showing us pictures from isfahan to show us that life is going normally, as if nothing has happened. they said they managed to down these drones and there is no damage that has happened, nobody injured or killed in this attack. are they going to show us more damage? if the iranians would want to retaliate now, i think they will have to show us that this attack was significant and that the coming retaliation would be justified. the coming retaliation would be 'ustified. �* justified. and then the present. _ justified. and then the present, ebrahim - justified. and then the l present, ebrahim raisi, justified. and then the i present, ebrahim raisi, a justified. and then the - present, ebrahim raisi, a lot of people be focused on what he has to say about this and what approach she wants to take now.
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of approach she wants to take now. of course. but what we see from iran now, that iranian airspace more or less is close, showing us that there is something big that has happened, and yes we are waiting to see what the president would say, was the other military leaders would say and how they are assessing that and what would be the retaliation. tote that and what would be the retaliation.— retaliation. we 'ust had a re ort retaliation. we 'ust had a report from_ retaliation. we just had a report from afp, - retaliation. we just had a i report from afp, everything retaliation. we just had a - report from afp, everything is changing so quickly and itjust goes to show, doesn't it, they run�*s main airport has resumed flies. that is according to iranian state media. we saw those pictures from isfahan this morning, looks like normal daily life. so at the moment the scene of where this missile attack, according to us officials, they came from israel took place, is very calm. , ~' israeltook place, is very calm. , ~ calm. yes. it looks like, you know, calm. yes. it looks like, you know. the — calm. yes. it looks like, you know, the attack _ calm. yes. it looks like, you know, the attack was - calm. yes. it looks like, you know, the attack was a - calm. yes. it looks like, you - know, the attack was a targeted attack. it wasn't a wide scale
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attack. it wasn't a wide scale attack. israel apparently didn't use that massive amount of missiles or massive amount of missiles or massive amount of drones. because, you know, there is a massive difference between the iranian capabilities and the israeli capabilities. i did the report about that, so the iranians normally when they attack israel they use very cheap drones and they have to use a —— massive numbers of these drones to cause chaos to the defence, the israeli air defence, the israeli air defence and their alliances, and this is what they did when they used cheap drones against a very expensive military equipment that will cause this very expensive military equipment problems, if we look at israel, israel they have ballistic missiles, which has a range of 11,000 kilometres that could hit anywhere in iran,
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they have the f—16, the f—35s, they have the f—16, the f—35s, they use also the boeing 787, they use also the boeing 787, the plane that could be used in military use —— boeing 707. they have very sophisticated military equipment that can hits iran and cause damage. however, we didn't see that buzz of attack, we didn't have any reports of m16 or f—35s flying, we didn't see any evidence of missiles being launched. so what we understand that that was a very limited, very targeted attack to specific targets in iran to retaliate on the attack that happened by iran a few days ago. happened by iran a few days auo. , ., , happened by iran a few days
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auo. ,., h, happened by iran a few days auo. , ago. news of this attack is still likely _ ago. news of this attack is still likely to _ ago. news of this attack is still likely to alarm - ago. news of this attack is still likely to alarm a - ago. news of this attack is still likely to alarm a lot i ago. news of this attack is still likely to alarm a lot of people, as we reported, australia has been telling its citizens to depart israel and the palestinian territories if it is safe to do so. we also have the news that floated bye have the news that floated bye have suspended their flights to israel. there is one report on the ap news agency that the main airport in tehran, flights are resuming around that, that is according to iranian state media. i am sure there will be a lot of disruption in the skies, so people travelling around that area must check the local reports. let us get a quick look on the markets. we will come back to in a moment. thank you for everything so far. what has been the market reaction to these developing events in the middle east? it may affect the oil price. we cross now to get the market's reaction in asia.— reaction in asia. yes, oil -rices reaction in asia. yes, oil prices have _ reaction in asia. yes, oil prices have jumped - reaction in asia. yes, oil prices have jumped on i reaction in asia. yes, oil. prices have jumped on the reaction in asia. yes, oil- prices have jumped on the news, prices havejumped on the news, the us officials telling the bbc that iran has been struck by israel. all prices in early
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trading jumped by around 3%, now they are down slightly, just over 2% increase. that's largely because one fifth of the world's oil consumption travels through the strait of hormuz in the region and there are large concerns, many concerns that escalating tensions will affect supply and will further impact prices. shares and stocks in asia also down on the news. but safe haven assets like gold have risen, with gold nearing a record high. mil risen, with gold nearing a record high.— risen, with gold nearing a record high. all right, thank ou record high. all right, thank you very _ record high. all right, thank you very much. _ record high. all right, thank you very much. let's - record high. all right, thank you very much. let's get - record high. all right, thank. you very much. let's get some more reaction now from the american middle east analyst aaron david mueller, he is from the carnegie endowment for international peace. i the carnegie endowment for international peace.- international peace. i think the israelis _ international peace. i think the israelis probably - international peace. i think| the israelis probably briefed the israelis probably briefed the white house earlier today,
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whether they said precisely what they would strike is unclear, but i think they sort of fence or perhaps what they wouldn't. they didn't one—day strike that would produce a lot of civilian casualties. they seem not to want to hit a nucleoside. isfahan has a very important research centre which is extremely important to the iranian nuclear programme, but it is unclear what military target they did hit. and i think, without trivialising the moment, because it is fraught with two adversaries who believe that they are involved in an existential struggle, somehow change the rules of the game in a rather dramatic way, but at the same time, it's not clear to me yet, it may be within the next 2a hours, whether or not this was signalling and messaging, although in a crisis mode, or whether or not we are on the verge of climbing up the
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escalatory ladder to something that the middle east has never seen before. there is another reality here, we are guessing and worse casing and maybe that's simply a natural human tendency, but i mentioned earlier that we are in a sort of information bermuda triangle. we don't know what the israelis intended with respect to the character of their strike, and we don't know, the iranians appear to be sort of ridiculing and trivialising the israeli attack stop i think iranian media referred to it, was told, is a series of drone strikes. so it may well be — and it's certainly possible with the messaging and signalling and it could easily escalate between two adversaries that do not trust one another, but i think we really have to be as sober and as non— hysterical at this
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particular moment. and i think, frankly, we will find out soon enough. the iranians have threatened to respond immediately and massively to the israeli strike. will they follow through on that? and evenif follow through on that? and even if the iranians decide to retaliate in some way, is that inevitably going to climb up the escalatory ladder? the reality is we just don't know. and the last thing we need to be doing, it seems to me, is predicting the absolutes inaudible...—
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predicting the absolutes inaudible... ., , inaudible... inaudible even if we get through _ inaudible... inaudible even if we get through this, - inaudible... inaudible even if we get through this, withoutl we get through this, without something the middle east has never seen before, a major regional war, you still have problems that are unresolved. what to do about proxies, what to do about the reality that iran is already nuclear—weapons threshold states of this relationship will hang over the middle east like some sort of sort for a very long time and the question the two parties will have to ask themselves right now is are they looking for a major confrontation now or has each side discharged the sort of minimum obligation over what they need to re—establish deterrence, protect national pride, without dramatically escalating this into something quite foreboding?—
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escalating this into something quite foreboding? aaron david miller talking _ quite foreboding? aaron david miller talking there. _ quite foreboding? aaron david miller talking there. to - quite foreboding? aaron david miller talking there. to bring l miller talking there. to bring you news are dropping on the wires here from reuters, they are quoting the running state media saying iran's senior commander says noise was heard in isfahan mark overnight and it was caused by a defence targeting one suspicious object. it also reported that there was no damage caused by there was no damage caused by the same in senior commander. we do know from two us officials that were talking to cbs that satan is really missile struck you run and that was in the past few hours. —— and is really missile. talk to editor—in—chief of the independent persian. i hope i got your pronunciation of your name correct. what is your reaction to the evidence overnight?— reaction to the evidence overnight? reaction to the evidence overniuht? ,., ., ., ., reaction to the evidence overniuht? ., ., i. overnight? good morning to you and our overnight? good morning to you and your viewers. _ overnight? good morning to you and your viewers. still _ overnight? good morning to you and your viewers. still we - overnight? good morning to you and your viewers. still we are i and your viewers. still we are hearing from the iranian side
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that they are not comparing it with a missile attack and as the previous guestjust the previous guest just mentioned, the previous guestjust mentioned, they were just downgrading that to the drones attack and some objects may observe and shut it down on the defence minister should at those objects. the iranians side byjohn grading the early—morning attack which means they don't want to get revenge and don't want to retaliate back as they weren't manoeuvring in the past two days ago that if they attacked about even harder. i believe that the israelis are not seeing what they've done, what type of missile attack, and where was the target areas specifically, they are not in the mood, it sounds like both sides want to keep it at ease and they would not be further
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escalated between iran and israel is. still, this is what both of them can claim they retaliate back. for israel it was important, it took them six days to hit back on iran or have a mini retaliation, if we can call it that, but it was important for them in order to show their deterrence, is a defence system and what it has been made for themselves in the middle east as a very strong and capable nation to defend itself, it was very important evenif itself, it was very important even if they launched a very small attack against some military facilities in tehran but keeping that in order, i believe today they would have a serious engagement of diplomacy between the regional countries, the united states and other what matt western partners to make them both stop at this point and we will see further
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escalation. point and we will see further escalation-— point and we will see further escalation. there was talk for da s escalation. there was talk for days that _ escalation. there was talk for days that israel _ escalation. there was talk for days that israel was - escalation. there was talk for days that israel was going - escalation. there was talk for days that israel was going to | days that israel was going to retaliate, even its allies who are trying to talk it out of retaliating were accepting of the idea. as you said, there was not the initial response, it took about five days for israel to respond. if this missile, if this is a limited attack, do you think there is relief with anyone?- attack, do you think there is relief with anyone? there could be relief in _ relief with anyone? there could be relief in iran _ relief with anyone? there could be relief in iran and _ relief with anyone? there could be relief in iran and it _ relief with anyone? there could be relief in iran and it would - be relief in iran and it would be relief in iran and it would be really for the whole region when they expect a wider and more massive escalation between the two countries. for israelis, maybe it would affect how israelis act in the region, we would no longer see the blind attack against an iranian proxy, militias, the commanders or iranian commanders in the region, maybe they are a little bit more cautious since the previous reaction of the iranians. maybe we can see that
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at the same time we can see iranians seeing how strongly the world condemned their attack to the israelis and several sanctions imposed against them. for both sides, there was cooling down to not hit each other i guess for quite some time until the next presidential election and we can see what is the next policy of the us policymakers in the white house.— white house. iran applause foreian white house. iran applause foreign minister— white house. iran applause foreign minister did - white house. iran applause foreign minister did say - white house. iran applause foreign minister did say in i white house. iran applause. foreign minister did say in the hours before this strike that he would see his country respond quickly and effectively. so does something have to happen even if it's from a proxy of irani, will not be that appetite in the coming days? it be that appetite in the coming da s? e. , be that appetite in the coming da s? , , ., , days? it can be the proxies like the houthis _ days? it can be the proxies like the houthis or - days? it can be the proxies like the houthis or maybe l like the houthis or maybe already we have seen hezbollah so much engaged in attacking israel and israel hitting the back and we can see maybe another event in the persian gulf forced strait of hormuz
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from the houthis in the red sea. that sort of thing. it seems iranians, there are so much downgrading this early—morning attack and they are saying they're resuming flights from half past ten in the morning from all the international airports in iran, they are trying to tell the public it was not as big as the israelis attack, they would retaliate back, as you just said, ircg commander keeps saying in the past few days. we have to see what israelis say, if there are more photos to come, if there is a scene from a huge explosion, that that may change the iranian government's mind but i believe both countries are still on the yellow line, none of them want to cross this to really get to a bigger scale confrontation
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and war. i guess both of them hit each other back in the same kind of delivery and they are not equal, they don't have anything to want to get to another type of war engagement. camelia, thank you for your reaction to what just camelia, thank you for your reaction to whatjust happened. we appreciate it. i want to bring mohmed taha back. we have reports that no damage was caused in the overnight attack. that's according to a senior commander of the iranian army. he said on friday according to state tv, adding the noise overnight in isfahan was due to air defence systems targeting a suspicious object so that in mind the narrative you've been hearing on iranian state tv in the past few hours.— hearing on iranian state tv in the past few hours. indeed, the iranians are _ the past few hours. indeed, the iranians are saying _ the past few hours. indeed, the iranians are saying that - the past few hours. indeed, the iranians are saying that there i iranians are saying that there are objects that came to the airspace to isfahan, the iranian air defences managed to deal with these objects and the
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explosions that were heard in isfahan are due to the iranian air defences dealing with these objects. the iranians are saying that this attack has happened locally, they exclude that there are any missiles came from outside the country orany came from outside the country or any drones or aircraft came from outside the country. they are hinting that this might happen for a maybe a neighbouring country or from inside iran somehow. they didn't tell us much. we do expect they have to tell us more about this in due course. we cannotjust keep saying that there were objects and they were local, nothing has happened. i think they will have to give further details about that and they are assessing the situation at the moment. ~ .,
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assessing the situation at the moment. ~ . ,., , assessing the situation at the moment. ~ . , ., moment. we have reports from american _ moment. we have reports from american media _ moment. we have reports from american media that _ moment. we have reports from american media that the - moment. we have reports from| american media that the united states had advanced warning of israel's attack on iran. we were reporting that a bit earlier. this is significant because although president biden is obviously very close to israel, he encouraged them not to retaliate from the attack that iran launched on israel on thursday night. indeed. we understand that israel was about to strike on iran on monday actually and president biden called prime minister benjamin netanyahu and urged him not to do that, so this attack from israel on iran as we understand was played from monday to this morning. during this time there were numerous amounts of meetings that the israelis did and they tried to assess the situation.
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overnight we saw sanctions on iran and that gave an impression that attack might not happen. fir impression that attack might not happen-— impression that attack might nothauen. , , impression that attack might nothauen. , . not happen. or maybe paused. we now know that _ not happen. or maybe paused. we now know that two _ not happen. or maybe paused. we now know that two us _ not happen. or maybe paused. we now know that two us officials - now know that two us officials have confirmed to cvs that an israeli missile struck you run all the iranians are seeing that there was no damage caused -- cbs. that there was no damage caused —— cbs. stay with us on bbc news for the latest on this story. hello, there. some beautiful rainbows spotted again on thursday, particularly across parts of scotland, such as here in aberdeenshire. and there will be more rainbows on friday with sunshine and showers still very much the theme of the day but lots more dry weather to come in the forecast as we head through the weekend and into the start of next week now with high pressure starting to edge in from the west, killing off some of those showers by the time we get to the end of the afternoon. it's a cloudy, mild start to the day across
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england and wales. it's a little brighter further north across scotland and northern ireland. the focus of the showers gradually shifting further southwards as we head through the afternoon across the midlands, down through central southern england. now, there will be quite a brisk and a chilly northerly to northwesterly wind blowing, lightening again by the time we get to the end of the day. and quite a range of temperatures, too — just eight celsius in aberdeenshire with that northerly wind but 15 celsius across the south—west of england. now, as we head through friday night, the skies will clear and away from north sea—facing coasts, which stay rather cloudy and breezy, then we could again see a touch of frost with temperatures dropping back to low single figures, so another chilly start to the weekend. now, the weekend — a lot of dry weather. in fact, it is looking mostly dry. we'll see some rain across scotland and there will be quite a bit of cloud around at times, especially towards the east, and a bit of east—west split in terms of temperature. with that high pressure over us, we're drawing in quite a chilly north—easterly wind, so those north sea—facing coasts.
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so here, it is always going to feel cooler and there will be quite a lot of cloud around as well — the north sea really quite cold at this time of year. so, west is best in terms of sunshine amounts and temperature, certainly. now, as we head through saturday, there's a warm front gradually easing its way across the far north of scotland. this will bring some cloud, some outbreaks of rain. further south, it is largely dry but cloudy, drizzly perhaps towards these north sea—facing coasts. best of the sunshine out towards the west — it will get to 1a or 15 celsius perhaps here. some of the cloud could break up a little further eastwards, too, and that's also true on sunday, but temperatures towards these eastern coastal areas will really struggle to get much past eight or nine degrees. compare that to further west where, in parts of northern ireland, we could get to 17 degrees perhaps. feeling warmer here.
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split good morning, welcome to breakfast with charlie stayt israel carries out a missile strike in iran, after promising retaliation for last week's drone attacks.
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the husband of scotland's former first minister nicola sturgeon has been charged with embezzlement. peter murrell was the chief executive of the scottish national party. warnings over young children accessing social media, as new figures show nearly a quarter of under—sevens now own a smartphone, good morning from the north french coast. ., , ., , ' :: :: coast. volunteers have placed 1500 silhouettes here _ coast. volunteers have placed 1500 silhouettes here at _ coast. volunteers have placed 1500 silhouettes here at the _ coast. volunteers have placed 1500 silhouettes here at the british - silhouettes here at the british normandy memorial. all ahead of the 80th anniversary this summer of the d—day landings. aston villa are the only british team still standing in europe. and they need a penalty shoot out win, to reach the semi finals of the europa conference league. explosions have been reported in southern syria from missiles targeting baghdad. lie

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